Jeff, I don't have access to level 2 data or extra scans so I'm only going off that one picture at the moment, but that certainly looks like a mesovortex (not necessarily a tornado - though I'm not willing to rule it out). At first glance one might conclude that the low CC is a TDS, but where you have to be careful is that the low CC doesn't match up exactly with the strongest rotation and higher reflectivity. In fact it looks like that could possibly just be low CC inflow (bugs and bits of vegetation or other debris) being wrapped around the mesovortex. Mesovortices can produce tornadoes but often just produce damaging winds at the surface, especially on the right flank.
Last Edit: Apr 26, 2016 20:56:16 GMT -6 by jmg378s
Here's some pics I got with my bigger home built drone from a few hundred feet up. Was disappointed I didn't catch any lightning. I had to taking photos at 5 sec intervals. I wish I had left it filming when I saw the one big bolt nearby. I was worried it might strike my drone. I was up 50m I think. Can't recall what the telemetry was saying at the time.
So how are we looking for tomorrow in terms of severe chances?
Have to see how quickly the remnants of tonight's plains outbreak clears out of here in the morning. Looks like the models(NAM in particular) clear us out by noon then get us pretty unstable by the afternoon
This is Washington MO just as the storm was rolling in today. A friend took the pic. Easily had 60 mph winds and pea to marble size hail between Washington and Labadie. Just checked the gauge at home and 1.75" of rain today. Lots of extra work to be done now around the area for limb and tree removals.
Learned something today... the NAM yesterday really hinted at this MCS moving thru today. It sharply collapsed the CAPE across northern/central MO... and I thought it was just some type of convective feedback, because it really didn't show an organized area of storms on the simulation. Obviously it was picking up on the this severe MCS.
If I see that again... it will certainly catch my attention.
Last Edit: Apr 26, 2016 18:17:07 GMT -6 by cozpregon
Welcome to the shout box. Just trying this feature out.
bellevillewxguy: Let's give a BIG Shout for the Great American Total Solar Eclipse! Here's to good viewing conditions for everyone!
Aug 20, 2017 19:09:33 GMT -6
MakeitRain: The 12z NAM wants to develop a line of storms through the metro around 1-2pm this afternoon. However, the HRRR is not picking up on this piece. I would not rule out the chance of severe weather as we head into the afternoon.
May 18, 2017 11:13:07 GMT -6
REB: 1.57 Wednesday. 2.31 since midnight. 5.92 since Friday. Total........7.49 and still coming down.
Apr 30, 2017 9:59:34 GMT -6
fojginmo: Glad I'm on higher ground & won't have to worry about flash flooding any more.
Aug 2, 2016 21:58:56 GMT -6
kkwhit: Would be nice to have 2 events this week!
Jan 18, 2016 23:21:16 GMT -6
evilmonkey: shout box, shout box, let it all out box
Jan 18, 2016 20:33:42 GMT -6
Jan 18, 2016 17:26:56 GMT -6
snowday_lover: I was thinking this was to start late tomorrow night...are we thinking earlier? I'm in Ironton, so I'm not holding my breath for much per the maps that have been drawn up. I'm thinking a little bit of sleet and frz drizzle. Is that correct? It's a balmy 18
Jan 18, 2016 14:32:51 GMT -6
dschreib: You know you make me wanna...
Jan 18, 2016 9:32:36 GMT -6