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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 10, 2018 8:11:45 GMT -6
As I head south to New Orleans, its time to post a fresh thread before my turn to drive the bus arrives.
Today is quiet. This evening is fine. Lots of questions remain about the system for tonight and Sunday. They key features to track will first be the 500 and 700 low centers. heaviest precip will be east of the 500mb low... and under/just left of closed 700mb circ. There is still enough variability in those features that its hhard to pin down the most likely area to see a few inches of slop Sunday morning. Im leaning on an axis pretty much right down the MS River. The actual area of accumulation will be fairly narrow as it will be the only area where snow is heavy enough to overcome melting. Outside of that narrow band...much of what fallls will melt. I think at least some snow is likely as far south as Hwy 50 in MO... and down to within a few miles of the Kaskaskia River in IL. However accumulating snow will be confined to ares near the Mississippir River...and mainly north of I-70.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 10, 2018 8:33:00 GMT -6
Enjoy NOLA! Thanks for the new thread!
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Post by RyanD on Mar 10, 2018 8:39:44 GMT -6
Yeah, NWS only has me getting rain tomorrow. I think that's wrong. We'll see.
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Post by Labrat-Bellevue NE on Mar 10, 2018 9:04:21 GMT -6
Hoping for hamsters for you all. Have fun down south, Chris!
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 10, 2018 9:22:21 GMT -6
The Nams are now west of the area, haha. Just don't see much sticking unless it really comes down for a decent period of time. Hamsters melting on contact is lame. Wasted inches. (That's what she said)
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Post by ajd446 on Mar 10, 2018 9:24:58 GMT -6
I think metro north. We are golden. Nam was always west except a run or 2 I am throwing it out
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 10, 2018 9:32:40 GMT -6
The Nams are now west of the area, haha. Just don't see much sticking unless it really comes down for a decent period of time. Hamsters melting on contact is lame. Wasted inches. (That's what she said) Lol, read your post from yesterday. |
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Post by ajd446 on Mar 10, 2018 9:44:32 GMT -6
Gfs holds strong for the metro
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 10, 2018 9:44:50 GMT -6
12z gfs looks awesome.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 10, 2018 9:45:37 GMT -6
uh, I know what I posted yesterday. This is likely still nothing to be fascinated over unless it magically lasts a long time or comes in 8 hours sooner or later, or the temp is 10 degrees colder. After 3 winters of junk, watching it snow big time only to add up to nothing is a waste.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 10, 2018 9:50:04 GMT -6
uh, I know what I posted yesterday. This is likely still nothing to be fascinated over unless it magically lasts a long time or comes in 8 hours sooner or later, or the temp is 10 degrees colder. After 3 winters of junk, watching it snow big time only to add up to nothing is a waste. This makes literally no sense. Every day or so you complain it never snows. Now it will snow really hard and you can find no joy in it. I mean come on, heavy snow is heavy snow. Some will pick up several inches of now tomorrow. That is cool. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 10, 2018 9:51:01 GMT -6
On the other hand, on the off chance it adds up to several inches somehow, then great.
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Post by landscaper on Mar 10, 2018 9:52:43 GMT -6
Who is going to balance out the doom and gloom next year when work Series leaves for Chicago?
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 10, 2018 9:53:49 GMT -6
makes no sense my a$$. The joy of snow is not just seeing it fall. It has to be meaningful and be something. If I wanted to see it snow and add up to nothing I'd shake and watch a snow globe all day. It's always about getting the ground white. Otherwise what's the point.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 10, 2018 9:55:43 GMT -6
Who is going to balance out the doom and gloom next year when work Series leaves for Chicago? My second personality 'perpetuallyhappysnowman' should be fully formed by then. I got this. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 10, 2018 9:57:49 GMT -6
makes no sense my a$$. The joy of snow is not just seeing it fall. It has to be meaningful and be something. If I wanted to see it snow and add up to nothing I'd shake and watch a snow globe all day. It's always about getting the ground white. Otherwise what's the point. Did you find any joy in the snow squall on Tuesday? It was brief, but intense. I went outside and was in blizzard conditions for 5-10 minutes. It was gone soon after, but was cool to experience. It factors into my assessment of this winter considering it was some of the heaviest snow I have ever seen. It is hard for me to comprehend somebody who loves snow not being excited about heavy snow. It is a paradox. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 10, 2018 10:04:13 GMT -6
Both the Euro and GFS are dropping .5” of QPF or more tomorrow morning in the metro. I’m not to worried about accumulations. Elevated and grassy surfaces should get covered quick but roads will just stay wet. Should be a fun morning
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Post by cozpregon on Mar 10, 2018 10:04:37 GMT -6
7+ lapse rates thru the DGZ  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 10, 2018 10:09:06 GMT -6
makes no sense my a$$. The joy of snow is not just seeing it fall. It has to be meaningful and be something. If I wanted to see it snow and add up to nothing I'd shake and watch a snow globe all day. It's always about getting the ground white. Otherwise what's the point. Did you find any joy in the snow squall on Tuesday? It was brief, but intense. I went outside and was in blizzard conditions for 5-10 minutes. It was gone soon after, but was cool to experience. It factors into my assessment of this winter considering it was some of the heaviest snow I have ever seen. It is hard for me to comprehend somebody who loves snow not being excited about heavy snow. It is a paradox. Didn't see it. I saw some light to mod snow showers that's it. May have been sleeping. Heavy snow melting is not fun to watch, if I wanted to see a wet ground I'd just want it to rain all the time The people who make money from snow removal get nothing. What's the point. Watching the fround turn from brown or green to white is awesome. Seeing it get wet is boring. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 10, 2018 10:11:34 GMT -6
7+ lapse rates thru the DGZ Monster hamster sounding. Light winds from the DGZ to the surface are ideal for huge flakes |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 10, 2018 10:12:27 GMT -6
Did you find any joy in the snow squall on Tuesday? It was brief, but intense. I went outside and was in blizzard conditions for 5-10 minutes. It was gone soon after, but was cool to experience. It factors into my assessment of this winter considering it was some of the heaviest snow I have ever seen. It is hard for me to comprehend somebody who loves snow not being excited about heavy snow. It is a paradox. Didn't see it. I saw some light to mod snow showers that's it. May have been sleeping. Heavy snow melting is not fun to watch, if I wanted to see a wet ground I'd just want it to rain all the time The people who make money from snow removal get nothing. What's the point. Watching the fround turn from brown or green to white is awesome. Seeing it get wet is boring. Ahh, it all makes sense now. Tilt your head up instead of down. All you will see is a cascade of giant flakes tuning the entire sky bright white. |
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ElburnDave
Junior Forecaster
aka CarlyleDave
Posts: 433 
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Post by ElburnDave on Mar 10, 2018 10:56:33 GMT -6
Therein lies the problem. Sadly, snowmen have no necks.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 10, 2018 11:13:42 GMT -6
lol
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Mar 10, 2018 11:27:05 GMT -6
If it does indeed snow good tomorrow, all will be well. It's just hard to believe it will since we haven't even had a good snow in the core of Winter. I'm hoping for heavy snow! Would be so awesome!
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Post by mchafin on Mar 10, 2018 11:41:53 GMT -6
in my opinion, seeing it snow, even if it doesn’t accumulate, will be cool.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 10, 2018 11:47:12 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 10, 2018 11:47:39 GMT -6
Too bad it's not coming in a couple hours earlier. That was the difference a few weeks ago. Gonna have to snow like the dickens to accumulate.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 10, 2018 13:27:24 GMT -6
Just about all the models have a few inches of slop to our north, then more to the south. They have a break over the metro with very little if any accumulation. Gotta believe because of the time of day the snow moves through here..right during peak heating during midday. Always something. Lol.
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cowboy
Wishcaster
10 miles west of rolla
Posts: 134
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Post by cowboy on Mar 10, 2018 13:27:35 GMT -6
makes no sense my a$$. The joy of snow is not just seeing it fall. It has to be meaningful and be something. If I wanted to see it snow and add up to nothing I'd shake and watch a snow globe all day. It's always about getting the ground white. Otherwise what's the point. Love him or hate him mr snowman has pretty much nailed this winter. Called the east trend early and has stuck with it all winter. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 10, 2018 13:37:21 GMT -6
makes no sense my a$$. The joy of snow is not just seeing it fall. It has to be meaningful and be something. If I wanted to see it snow and add up to nothing I'd shake and watch a snow globe all day. It's always about getting the ground white. Otherwise what's the point. Love him or hate him mr snowman has pretty much nailed this winter. Called the east trend early and has stuck with it all winter. Well, that's like saying the Browns will lose a football game. Its a lot easier when the probabilities are always in your favor. We are far from the snowbelt. |
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