Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 26, 2014 19:50:59 GMT -6
OK, since even bringing up to 70s on the other board gets everyone in a frenzy I'll say it here. Now read slowly folks. I do not think this is a 70s winter. That does not mean it does not remind me of one. The repeated sharp cold fronts and the real chance at 3 months of winter are what I remember as a youth. I can't recall anything like that in the last 35 years, at least.
When this winter is over they are gonna have a hell of a time trying to compare it to any winter in the last 40 and maybe 50. Lord knows 2013-14 has not had the favorable ocean setup the doozies of the 70s had, but something was really lined up this winter. I would hazard they are going to have to go back into the early to mid 50s perhaps, to find a close match to this one. It's just that different.
That all said, I think that trend towards colder is well in place now. Time will tell. If these next couple of solar cycles are down hold onto your hats. We are gonna see more of these types of winters and eventually the NAO may trip to the type of stuff we saw in the late mid century. It may do that fairly soon. We'll see.
Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 30, 2014 10:32:54 GMT -6
The numbers are in. Solar cycle 24 appears to be the weakest since Cycle 14. We are now on the downswing an activity and in the second half of the cycle. Hold onto your hats because the second half of these weaker cycles tend to have wicked winters in them. My suspicion is that in the second half of the cycles the oceans turn more cooperative. Look for the North Atlantic Oscillation to go down
Welcome to the shout box. Just trying this feature out.
MakeitRain: The 12z NAM wants to develop a line of storms through the metro around 1-2pm this afternoon. However, the HRRR is not picking up on this piece. I would not rule out the chance of severe weather as we head into the afternoon.
May 18, 2017 11:13:07 GMT -6
REB: 1.57 Wednesday. 2.31 since midnight. 5.92 since Friday. Total........7.49 and still coming down.
Apr 30, 2017 9:59:34 GMT -6
fojginmo: Glad I'm on higher ground & won't have to worry about flash flooding any more.
Aug 2, 2016 21:58:56 GMT -6
kkwhit: Would be nice to have 2 events this week!
Jan 18, 2016 23:21:16 GMT -6
evilmonkey: shout box, shout box, let it all out box
Jan 18, 2016 20:33:42 GMT -6
Jan 18, 2016 17:26:56 GMT -6
snowday_lover: I was thinking this was to start late tomorrow night...are we thinking earlier? I'm in Ironton, so I'm not holding my breath for much per the maps that have been drawn up. I'm thinking a little bit of sleet and frz drizzle. Is that correct? It's a balmy 18
Jan 18, 2016 14:32:51 GMT -6
dschreib: You know you make me wanna...
Jan 18, 2016 9:32:36 GMT -6