Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 23, 2017 16:55:58 GMT -6
Some good Friday night TV for you during Fox 2 News at 11pm...
I am running my story about the research project I worked on down at the Hazardous Weather Testbed in Norman OK earlier this month. The NWS is looking to overhaul...maybe even completely replace the current watch and warning systems we have for severe weather.
Im talking about it not being a memorable event. I think maybe his parents might remember it. Also he wasn't in the water. I said nothing aboit the press conference. Didnt even watch it. Didnt know there was one. And wouldnt be interested in watching it since i live in Missouri.
He was probably not intending to be in the water...that I think is more accurate. However, there is no question he was in the water when the log hit him...because the water/wave came to him. He didn't intend to be in the water...but that's what happened.
Again, you can warn folks about a tropical storm...and the potential dangers...and people can even still do all the right things...and a bad/tragic outcome may still be the result. This was a tragic accident that will leave emotional and mental scars few can imagine.
That said, Cindy...from a meteorological perspective...was just a run-of-mill poorly organized tropical storm.
It is incredibly heartbreaking. And it proves a sad point, that no matter how hard we try to tell the public to be prepared, we cannot stop all bad things from happening. I am so sorry for this poor family and all who know the young boy.
Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 20, 2017 22:25:09 GMT -6
Well... as I look at the 00z data so far...I can see a path to a completely ... or nearly completely dry pattern late this week. I can see (and expect) moisture from C I N D Y to largely miss the area to the southeast... and then because of the timing of the cold front...storms with the front may fade before they get here...with the front rolling through dry. I'm not ready to forecast that.... but it would not surprise me at all.
Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 20, 2017 9:14:54 GMT -6
I am beyond blown away by what is going on with the tropical system in the GOM.
We have tropical storm warnings and advisories now for more than a day on a system that hasn't even been classified as a tropical depression...and NHC says it may be named a storm later today????? Are we going to have this crazy pattern of just skipping tropical depressions and going straight to storms again this year? We did that more times than I can count last year.
Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 19, 2017 23:10:34 GMT -6
Well NHC has screwed the pooch big time...and so has our weather vendor WSI.
They launched this new thing called "Potential Tropical Cyclone" (PTC) but somehow only managed to let a handful of people in the meteorological community know about it.
The concept of the PTC is sound... but it has done nothing but cause extreme confusion within the weather world...particularly among those who have to communicate threats to the public.
For starters...the VAST majority of mets around the country had never heard of it.
Secondly...WSI was not prepared for it. Now, none of the stations using their software... near 100% of the country...can show the information. It shows up in our system as "Tropical Storm #3"
There was no need to add yet another level of classifications to tropical systems. We now have Invest, PTC, TD, TS, Hurricane. What makes a PTC even more challenging is that sometimes they will post a track...and others they will not. It has been an absolute disaster of rollout. They just needed to change one word (cannot to can) in the policy the prevented them from issuing watches, warnings, etc for un-named systems. Just nuts.
Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 18, 2017 9:24:27 GMT -6
Some pretty bad damage apparently in Clay County...in Flora. EM reports tree in a house, power poles down and lots of tree damage. Just outside my viewing area...but they like to keep in touch with us.
Not sure why the warning doesn't say "confirmed" tornado....
This is what I was talking about 2 nights ago. Warning was never changed to radar confirmed and there is still no local storm report on record for a tornado, but it appears to have been a tornado there. I don't know, I'm sure forecasters see these things but I can imagine it gets very busy in the office and perhaps it isn't top priority to update existing tornado warnings?
It may be that some offices have policies not to go with "Confirmed" tag for TDS... I'm not sure.
Very moist/unstable airmass out along the tail end of the boundary in NE KS...mid-90 degree temps with mid-70 Tds...genesis region looks to be out near KC or a bit further NE. There appears to be a weak wave along the front out that way as well.
Yeah, I was thinking the genesis for our stuff would be somewhere in northwest MO up to about the IA line. CAPES are steadily recovering. This will not be as potent a set-up as yesterday...that is for sure...but still some decent potential...especially for wind.
Welcome to the shout box. Just trying this feature out.
MakeitRain: The 12z NAM wants to develop a line of storms through the metro around 1-2pm this afternoon. However, the HRRR is not picking up on this piece. I would not rule out the chance of severe weather as we head into the afternoon.
May 18, 2017 11:13:07 GMT -6
REB: 1.57 Wednesday. 2.31 since midnight. 5.92 since Friday. Total........7.49 and still coming down.
Apr 30, 2017 9:59:34 GMT -6
fojginmo: Glad I'm on higher ground & won't have to worry about flash flooding any more.
Aug 2, 2016 21:58:56 GMT -6
kkwhit: Would be nice to have 2 events this week!
Jan 18, 2016 23:21:16 GMT -6
evilmonkey: shout box, shout box, let it all out box
Jan 18, 2016 20:33:42 GMT -6
Jan 18, 2016 17:26:56 GMT -6
snowday_lover: I was thinking this was to start late tomorrow night...are we thinking earlier? I'm in Ironton, so I'm not holding my breath for much per the maps that have been drawn up. I'm thinking a little bit of sleet and frz drizzle. Is that correct? It's a balmy 18
Jan 18, 2016 14:32:51 GMT -6
dschreib: You know you make me wanna...
Jan 18, 2016 9:32:36 GMT -6