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Post by toddatfarmington on May 15, 2023 15:06:20 GMT -6
That may be on the smallest tornado warning boxes I've ever seen in Dallas county MO.
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 10, 2023 7:48:03 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 5, 2023 6:28:46 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 17, 2023 14:49:49 GMT -6
Up to 8 surveyed tornadoes now
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 15, 2023 17:31:53 GMT -6
Radar confirmed tornado valley park
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 15, 2023 16:13:04 GMT -6
Hearing reports of possible “tornado damage” north of city of Rolla
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 12, 2023 6:16:36 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 7, 2023 7:36:36 GMT -6
If you're a morel hunter, looking at the model forecasts over the next ~10 days is more than a little irritating...that perma-ridge that sets up well into next week may block almost any moisture/lift from impinging on the region. We need that clipper-like system on Monday to dig in but nudge a bit further E into that ridge to get some showers going. Hopefully a cut-off develops under the ridge and drifts back northward later in the week. Most operational models at face value show very little to no precip in the Metro area over the next 10 days...the ensembles give a little hope. The only good news is that the ridge being so close by/overhead will favor lighter winds, so less evaporation potential. But that ~3/4" we got yesterday may have to stretch it's legs for morels to fruit into next week if we don't get more rain...and there may be some low RH days. Found my first morels of the season yesterday evening in my early season honey hole.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 5, 2023 7:53:52 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 5, 2023 5:40:45 GMT -6
After looking at the radar I seen the moisture plume on the last few frames that are SW of STL radar site range and separate from main line of storms. I pulled up SGF radar and seen the tornado warning just south of Branson. Any thoughts on the evolution of this cell? I'm thinking that the main/squall line will 'catch up' and 'absorb' this supercell and shunt it more eastward. After the last few frames of radar I am not so sure now and have concerns this might just continue to 'ride out ahead' of the main front. Concerned, 7 miles west of Desoto www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0481.html
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 4, 2023 16:59:59 GMT -6
Is it just me or does it storm in Hannibal and Quincy every time a mosquito farts? Very accurate assessment
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 4, 2023 14:03:01 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 4, 2023 14:02:39 GMT -6
Appears only slight changes to the afternoon SPC outlook
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 4, 2023 13:55:26 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 4, 2023 13:49:18 GMT -6
Tornado watch coming for NE MO, Iowa and into NW IL
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 4, 2023 12:30:48 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 4, 2023 11:00:47 GMT -6
Two clear areas of long track supercell potential on the HREF I wonder if the southern moderate risk will get extended into the metro on the next update So far steady as she goes and no expansion
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 31, 2023 10:30:43 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 31, 2023 9:38:23 GMT -6
May see an upgrade to high risk by the SPC north of STL ......
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 31, 2023 6:31:37 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 30, 2023 21:43:59 GMT -6
Some of these storms are packing some serious wind gusts tonight. Scanned RadarScope and found over 58 mph wind in line that just passed.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 30, 2023 12:19:05 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 29, 2023 13:17:36 GMT -6
From NWS STL
Due to the increasing threat of severe weather Friday and into early next week, we have worked with our radar contractor to DELAY the NWS St. Louis radar upgrade until April 6th.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 29, 2023 9:49:06 GMT -6
As Chris told me yesterday when I mentioned it to him, which is very true, you could say the same for just about anywhere and anytime these days.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 29, 2023 9:10:01 GMT -6
As far as I’m aware, KLSX is still scheduled to go offline tomorrow for a week for upgrades. They may want to reconsider that Email from NWS on Tuesday afternoon stated the radar upgrade will proceed as scheduled this Thursday, March 30th and last until April 6th.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 27, 2023 5:31:46 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 25, 2023 5:39:31 GMT -6
3.71” the final tally at KFAM
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Post by toddatfarmington on Feb 22, 2023 7:51:41 GMT -6
SPC has shifted greatest severe probabilities into the metro later this morning into this afternoon. 5% of tornado, 15% damaging wind, and 5% for hail. A general slight risk. I don't see any 5% tornado risk in the are as of the 06:46hrs update ?? Tornado is 2% area wide in the slight risk denoted area unless I am missing something.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jan 29, 2023 21:46:50 GMT -6
On an earlier conference call, MODOT did mention that the forecast they use called for a later onset in the metro and an earlier onset south of the metro. They brought in crews early south of metro however didn’t plan to have crews start til later, I believe 7, in the metro area. When precip started they had to go into scramble mode for a while to mobilize crews. I know we all have our opinions, however having some insight into their operation at times, I do believe they try to do the best they can do managing with available resources and crews and the vast area they are responsible for
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jan 24, 2023 22:07:51 GMT -6
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