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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 16, 2023 8:36:02 GMT -6
window-rattling thunder woke the whole house up around 3:45am (the kind that sounds like a drunken shirtless neighbor is setting off homemade pipe bombs in mole holes)
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 6, 2023 13:28:42 GMT -6
i mean, what does this even mean, you know, without an explanation. Cape had some snow back in 1979. annnnnnd spit-take
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 2, 2023 13:18:37 GMT -6
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 1, 2023 10:57:14 GMT -6
I agree with Snow and Brtn definitely not much of a winter, we’re at that point now where the potential days are limited, so the next two weeks are almost nothing. That leaves you you 2-4 weeks left . March is usually not a great snow month, it can produce but hasn’t done much the last few years with the exception of the Pizza Oven March of 2012 (highs in the 90s!!), March in St. Louis has become an endless string of gray drizzly days in the upper 50s-low 60's. The last BIG March snow I can remember in the metro area was the Palm Sunday storm ten years ago.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 1, 2023 10:55:09 GMT -6
I love the seasons, one of the few reasons I haven't varied my location by much. But, by the end of January, I am done. Time to get the mower ready and garden laid out. No different than when I welcome Summer with open arms, but working outside everyday for the first few months, gets me ready for fall by August. That probably explains why I love Fall/Spring so much, rarely do I want them to leave. And as stated above, the last 10 years we've had some pretty decent winters(you can throw out 16/17). 2012-13-14 isn't the norm. This is pretty much my exact feeling about the seasons. Winter wears outs its welcome for me by Groundhogs Day, and I'm already looking for Halloween decor in the stores about 2 weeks after Independence Day I think I need to live somewhere like Seattle or San Diego. Now, to cover that cost of living change......
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 29, 2023 19:56:56 GMT -6
I had a couple of "Oh S@#$ Moments" driving Page from St. Louis County into St. Peters around 6pm. Schools and some businesses have a potentially interesting decision in the early morning.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 24, 2023 13:44:43 GMT -6
No new data to cause me to make any updates. For sure, the north end of the 4-8..right along I-70...may struggle. But even a tiny shift north will cover that. So my forecast will ride as is. that kinda sounds like a big chunk of the heart of the immediate metro may struggle? does that mean to get to the 4 inches low mark?
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 24, 2023 8:02:57 GMT -6
this is seriously happening NOW? lol. thing starts in like 12 hours!
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 24, 2023 7:49:59 GMT -6
is the HRRRrrrrrrrrrrrrr on to something, or is it hitting grandma's cough medicine a little early?
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 24, 2023 7:36:51 GMT -6
Well... the HRRR has taken a big shift to the south. * sad horn blat noises *
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 23, 2023 11:51:22 GMT -6
for some reason, despite my Chrome being fully updated, etc, some of the posted pics (including Chris' hand drawn map) are showing up as broken pics/links.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 22, 2023 15:59:23 GMT -6
I went back and double-checked in preparation for the site change, my log-in password hasn't changed yet since 2006
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 6, 2023 13:40:18 GMT -6
The last few years February is our one month of true winter Even into March at times. It really seems like our seasonal lag has gotten to be pretty extreme, with winter lagging into March, spring sometimes into early June, and summer blech into late October.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 1, 2023 22:44:09 GMT -6
Happy 2023! The start of the 17th year of MTWSTL!
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Post by ComoEsJn on Dec 22, 2022 22:16:36 GMT -6
For everyone who hates summer humidity, the bright spot would be the dew point is currently a soupy -15.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Dec 22, 2022 13:16:47 GMT -6
Is the wind not what was initially thought for the past few days? Doesn't seem like much out there.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Sept 23, 2022 8:15:32 GMT -6
does the newest potential placement of the hurricane = temps not warming up quite as much here in the midwest a week or so from now? or nah? just judging it based on some maps this morning on temp & dew point forecasts.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Sept 22, 2022 14:58:18 GMT -6
Its September 22nd and the dew point is 43. You could tell me that my dog is uglier than my mom and it wouldn't ruin my mood right now.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Sept 12, 2022 8:43:16 GMT -6
as long as its very short lived, lol
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Post by ComoEsJn on Sept 9, 2022 7:05:39 GMT -6
I'd be amazed if this weekend ends up "nice and dry"...certainly not a washout, but that's an awfully strong front with more than enough moisture to work with. There should at least be some post-frontal showers on Sunday in the deep cyclonic flow and cooling mid-level temps. And I'd expect there to be at least isolated to scattered showers and a few storms on Saturday as that Gulf low meanders northward, setting up a convergence zone across the region as deeper moisture arrives. Definitely a strong signal for unseasonable warmth towards mid-month as that cut off moves out and a deep trof develops along the W coast(-PNA). Might be flirting with some 90s if that holds up. I'm a broken record, but the dew point forecast maps that I'm looking are still showing 50s to very low 60's into next weekend, is it at least not looking like a swampy summer-like heat?
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Post by ComoEsJn on Sept 6, 2022 10:03:48 GMT -6
looks like dew point forecasts get better and better and more early-fall-like over the next week (unless I'm not seeing something I should be)
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Post by ComoEsJn on May 31, 2022 8:16:16 GMT -6
how is the timing looking for rain/storms today in the immediate metro?
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Post by ComoEsJn on May 24, 2022 7:10:45 GMT -6
how soon does the arrival of rain look for this evening? My 5 year old twins have a make-up t-ball game scheduled for 6 tonight that I reallllllly wouldn't mind having rained out, lol
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 25, 2022 8:44:58 GMT -6
Apparently after next weeks warm up, the following two weeks are supposed to cool down again with some storms around. Not sure if that means rain or snow but definitely the next opportunity for something frozen , maybe the 8th-10th looks like some potential. Once we get into March, it gets that much harder for everything to come together for a snow storm. "March 8th" and "snow" sends me immediately back to 2008
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 4, 2022 13:47:54 GMT -6
I question some of those reports as well. jmg378s is closer to the 11" Harvester report than I am and he reported 9.5". I reported 9.4". Two co-op stations nearby recorded 9.5" and 9.9". I'm not saying there is anything nefarious going on. Measuring snowfall is hard and inexact with high uncertainty. But I do question some of these reports. BTW... here is the snowfall report map if anyone is curious. its seems very very localized in ST Chs County. I'm at 94 and Kisker and I was an easy 11.5-12, in multiple flat spots away from too much wind.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 4, 2022 11:42:16 GMT -6
Here are the preliminary storm totals. same graphic has Union at 11.0" and 9.6"? What am I missing here?
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 3, 2022 12:24:12 GMT -6
lambert has had .43 of liquid equivalent since midnight. What's the snow total? Per the 18Z METAR, they have roughly 6 inches on the ground, could be rounded up or down.
KSTL 031751Z 36015KT 1SM R30R/5000VP6000FT -SN BR OVC017 M08/M09 A3030 RMK AO2 SLP279 4/006 933009 P0002 60023 T10781089 11078 21089 58011 $
that's gotta be low. people in NOCO, multiple, are measuring 8-10 in the past hour. right there by Lambert.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 3, 2022 9:19:39 GMT -6
its really hard to measure, but i have to be at about 9-10" near Cottleville here. Another couple of random inches and I have my magic foot.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 2, 2022 22:07:02 GMT -6
5 more inches gets me to double-digits in St. Chuck County. That'll make for one helluva storm.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Feb 2, 2022 11:01:14 GMT -6
Absolutely ripping fat flakes in Cottleville. Piling up to near-4" already.
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