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Post by weatherj on Apr 16, 2024 9:52:13 GMT -6
Seeing a lot more sun than I thought we would. I envisioned a lot of cloudiness and convective debris. It may not matter in the end given the dynamics are a bit displaced from the region, but am wondering if instability will get a better than expected boost from the sun.
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Post by weatherj on Apr 4, 2024 16:59:13 GMT -6
You are in my and all of us on this board thoughts and prayers MoSue. I'm so sorry to hear this.
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Post by weatherj on Feb 26, 2024 16:20:52 GMT -6
Yep, it was in the mid/upper 70s with severe storms along the front and sleet/snow squalls behind it with temps crashing into the 20s That was Feb 2nd, 2006 right? I believe it was 2008. There was originally a " 5 minute blizzard " video on youtube that still may exist under fox2. I'm almost positive that was the "superfront" you guys are talking about. I could easily be wrong about what day or if it was this specific event, but I distinctly remember a very sharp front in 2008 causing a drastic drop.
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Post by weatherj on Feb 19, 2024 7:19:00 GMT -6
Can't remember who set up the Discord site. Any one? Snowstorm920
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Post by weatherj on Feb 17, 2024 13:48:33 GMT -6
We ended up with 5" over here. It was a very nice overachiever out this way as well. Kudos to you Chris as I believe in one of your earlier posts you said east of St. Louis in southern Illinois could be in a heavier band.
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Post by weatherj on Feb 16, 2024 14:49:14 GMT -6
Thunder and lightning about 15 minutes ago here in the far east with heavy snow currently.
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Post by weatherj on Feb 8, 2024 22:21:56 GMT -6
Certainly way far off from what looked like another possible Iowa/NE MO/NW IL crusher a few days ago.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 22, 2024 4:08:19 GMT -6
Light to moderate ZR here...a few sleet pellets mixed in. Temp is 27*.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 21, 2024 9:15:58 GMT -6
12z NAM hangs onto sub-freezing wetbulbs in the Metro until at least 3pm...the hi-res agrees with prolonged icing on the E side of the river into the afternoon. Once 850mb temps warm above 5*C the elevated glazing should wane due to warm droplets but surface glazing may last into the evening hours. The 3k NAM holds onto freezing surface temps until after 12z Tues which is concerning with the EC showing a similar outcome. The NAM looks like it pushes the heavier ice accretion a bit S/E as well from previous runs.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 18, 2024 11:54:15 GMT -6
I just hope we can pull off a gangbuster February for the whole area. I'd love to see many of us add 15-20" on top of our seasonal totals.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 15, 2024 17:14:55 GMT -6
Flake size and intensity is picking up here Isn't it nice to not have to worry about rain or even sleet for once ? Lol.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 9, 2024 22:17:08 GMT -6
I just want us all to cash in on one storm at least. A " Marissa Mauler " type storm would be especially nice. What gives these storms the right to keep missing us....lol.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 8, 2024 7:29:19 GMT -6
GFS keeps coming north for Friday ……grrrr a couple more shifts and we’re in the rain again 06z ICON is a bruiser for the entire area. In fact, Marissa is ground zero on that run..lol. I do have a feeling this next storm (Friday's) will take a further S track than tomorrow even if it still does end up NW of the benchmark.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 7, 2024 4:32:31 GMT -6
The 06z GFS is well NW for Tuesday, but still great for Friday. It looks to bury most of the area with a foot + still....lol. I'm hoping it's reality to be able to cash in then since most of us will see little to no snow Tuesday except the far W/NW counties.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 6, 2024 10:34:14 GMT -6
It started as snow over here around 8 pm, but then changed to a rain/snow mix soon after with no accumulation on any surfaces. I am happy to see you guys cash in on the extra bonus you got last night. Tuesday looks like next to nothing where I am but hoping you metro guys and NW can get lucky. I think we all get our turn before the end of the month.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 5, 2024 12:08:50 GMT -6
For tonight...snowfall rates currently around Little Rock are fairly impressive, and even a good coating on the ground on some of the traffic cams. Time of day and further development may lend to a little bonus tonight for some. Maybe a nice little appetizer before the crap sandwich Tuesday! If only the GEM could verify
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Post by weatherj on Jan 5, 2024 7:11:29 GMT -6
6z nam is interesting for tonight into tomorrow. Has the southern viewing area picking up a couple inches. 11z HRRR picking up on this as well. 6z euro looks to have it too. So, an appetizer could be on the way. That may be the only snow I see over here in the east for a week..lol. So be it, I'll take it if it can materialize. I hope someone to the west gets wacked good early next week.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 4, 2024 7:15:32 GMT -6
Can we just lock the 06z GFS in and convince ourselves it's the final outcome?....lol. That is a great run and is a half foot + for the entire viewing area. A crush job for showtime and dschreib!
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Post by weatherj on Jan 2, 2024 7:14:53 GMT -6
My condolences to you and the family snowman99. You all are in my thoughts.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 29, 2023 11:49:09 GMT -6
Another heavy dusting here this morning. It's definitely not as much as yesterday morning but still pretty nonetheless. I'm considering myself lucky to have had accumulation both nights. I believe that's just it though because most of our precip fell at night and once again it changed to rain after dawn on the tail end of the precip.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 28, 2023 7:53:05 GMT -6
I'm eyeballing easily a half inch...maybe closer to an inch of snow over here. It's caked to the grass and trees beautifully. Roads are just wet and the backend precip has transitioned to rain now. This was definitely an odd one as Effingham,IL which is about 45 miles to my NNE saw nothing but rain and temps never fell below 37* up there. I guess lighter precip rates and being further displaced from the cold core of the low were the factors in that one.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 27, 2023 19:40:35 GMT -6
Snow here about the last 30 minutes in the far eastern viewing area. So nice to see again...moderate snow with big flakes.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 27, 2023 3:35:57 GMT -6
Aside from Feb 14/15th 2021 and the second half of the GHD 2.0 storm in 2022 these last several years have had so many borderline/marginal/rain-snow and just flat a$$ annoying surface temp situations..lol. It's always a fine line between too cold/dry and too warm. The dates I mentioned above were very rare exceptions when we were deep into an arctic airmass and received several inches of pure powder. Hopefully the pattern shifts to more of a consistent sufficiently cold and active one soon.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 23, 2023 9:39:05 GMT -6
We don't have winter here anymore. We have short intervals of cold with even shorter intervals of snow in a vast land of non winter. What gets me about this winter season so far is usually someone is getting some decent snow even if we haven't seen a flake even in el nino/mild patterns. I remember those few years where TX, AR, and OK and along the gulf coast saw snow before we did. Many years the east coast and of course the upper midwest saw quite a bit of snow even if here in the lower midwest did not. So far this year no one and I mean no one has seen squat really overall minus that one small event just to our N a few weeks back.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 17, 2023 9:33:47 GMT -6
Losers & Winners I believe that map went until noon Saturday. I know the far east side definitely had much more rain after noon.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 16, 2023 18:32:08 GMT -6
It's rained almost exactly 1 inch over here on the far east side. I knew we'd get rain obviously, but wasn't expecting quite that much. It might suck that it's rain in mid December, but needed moisture nonetheless.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 16, 2023 14:17:14 GMT -6
Yeah, this month is basically a write off unless we can get a sneaky surprise event timed just right with a brief chilly shot. I guess that wasn't all too unexpected given the possibility that el nino would come into play, but as we all know not all el ninos are created equal. At least we can face up to the fact that the rest of this month is looking rather bleak and accept it now vs. last year where we had that brief but very sharp arctic blast then it flipped back to mild in January. That to me was quite disappointing as it seemed the pattern would change to colder/stormy in January 2023 a couple weeks before that pre christmas cold snap. Maybe we will be able to make up for this pattern later in January and February....one can only hope.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 11, 2023 13:31:01 GMT -6
Through mid January 2021 Lambert had only 0.3" of snow. Looks like we may unfortunately make a run for that this season. We all know what happened February of 2021 though so let's hope this is a strong backloaded winter.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 26, 2023 10:49:17 GMT -6
To at least see some flakes fly last night/early this morning would have been nice but just wasn't meant to be. I consider any snow before December 15th as a bonus truthfully.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 11, 2023 23:00:52 GMT -6
I remember 09-10 being highly annoying with all the bigger systems missing to our S/SE and of course the award winning 99 rant worthy christmas eve monster cutter that moved NNW. It was cold overall and we had several clippers that brought 1-2" type events which was nice, but definitely nothing to write home about in our neck of the woods. IIRC though on a national scale it was a blockbuster winter season. I believe that winter had an El Nino factoring in that really gave parts of the S and the NE a huge season. The 10-11 winter season was much more action packed locally with the moderate/strong La Nina coupled with blocking in play. We had significantly more snow overall than 09-10 and some memorable events with the severe wx outbreak on NYE plus the sleetfest GHD storm no one in the immediate metro wants to remember.
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