Im talking about it not being a memorable event. I think maybe his parents might remember it. Also he wasn't in the water. I said nothing aboit the press conference. Didnt even watch it. Didnt know there was one. And wouldnt be interested in watching it since i live in Missouri.
Well NHC has screwed the pooch big time...and so has our weather vendor WSI.
They launched this new thing called "Potential Tropical Cyclone" (PTC) but somehow only managed to let a handful of people in the meteorological community know about it.
The concept of the PTC is sound... but it has done nothing but cause extreme confusion within the weather world...particularly among those who have to communicate threats to the public.
For starters...the VAST majority of mets around the country had never heard of it.
Secondly...WSI was not prepared for it. Now, none of the stations using their software... near 100% of the country...can show the information. It shows up in our system as "Tropical Storm #3"
There was no need to add yet another level of classifications to tropical systems. We now have Invest, PTC, TD, TS, Hurricane. What makes a PTC even more challenging is that sometimes they will post a track...and others they will not. It has been an absolute disaster of rollout. They just needed to change one word (cannot to can) in the policy the prevented them from issuing watches, warnings, etc for un-named systems. Just nuts.
Sad times when a respected weather authority engages in a not so respected thing like bestiality.
Areas affected...Southern/eastern Kansas into the Missouri Ozarks/lower Missouri Valley
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 271459Z - 271700Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...At least one, if not several, severe weather watches are likely today across the area. At the present time, this seems most probable later this afternoon, rather than early.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity continues to develop across and northeast of portions of the middle/lower Missouri Valley, in association with an initial weak impulse within the mid-latitude westerlies, which is expected to progress toward the Upper Midwest through mid to late afternoon. It appears that this arcing band will progress through a narrow corridor of relatively moist air ahead of it, before appreciable heating and destabilization can take place. And northeast of the Des Moines IA/Kirksville Mo areas, near surface inflow is likely to become drier and more stable, which appears to limit severe weather potential.
In the wake of this lead activity, an area of enhanced lower/mid tropospheric warm advection is also maintaining convective development across parts of east central and northeast Kansas, on the northern periphery of a plume of very warm, elevated mixed layer air. This forcing is expected to continue to develop southeastward, near and to the west through south of Kansas City into the 18-21Z time. In the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates, relatively strong shear, and sizable CAPE even for elevated moist parcels, the risk for at least severe hail may not be negligible, and could possibly increase a bit through early afternoon. However, rapid substantive intensification seems likely to await weakening of inhibition for moist boundary layer parcels, and this seems most probable southeast of the Kansas City metro into the Missouri Ozarks later this afternoon.
Some recent new convective development is ongoing across parts of the Missouri Ozarks, near the intersection of an outflow boundary left by prior convection, and an apparent southeastward advancing gravity wave. Similar to convection to the northwest, this activity may persist and continue to slowly increase while developing southeastward along the retreating outflow boundary across southern Missouri. But significant rapid increase accompanied by more prominent severe weather potential will probably require considerable further downstream boundary layer heating and destabilization.
St louis NWS says golf ball size hail and 70 mph winds possible. Springfield, MO NWS says baseball size hail and 70 mph winds possible Tulsa NWS says grapefruit size hail and 80 mph winds possible. Yikes. All 3 say tornadoes possible as well.
Last Edit: May 26, 2017 3:47:39 GMT -6 by Snowman99
Started off rather slow, but after a couple minutes wow did the wind howl. And it continued for almost 10 minutes, and just pouring, looked like hurricane. Also, something I've never seen before. I was looking west, right as the brunt was coming in, and it would lightning, then there was a blue flash close to the ground. I'm sitting kind of low here at the hotel, with buildings in the way of my view. It happened about 3 or 4 times. I thought it was power flashes for a minute, but power still looks on back there. Weird.
severe warning for 60 mph winds here, and a severe watch for the metro , stl right in the middle, until 10am
Last Edit: May 19, 2017 3:21:59 GMT -6 by Snowman99
Snowmen fall from Heaven unassembled
Welcome to the shout box. Just trying this feature out.
MakeitRain: The 12z NAM wants to develop a line of storms through the metro around 1-2pm this afternoon. However, the HRRR is not picking up on this piece. I would not rule out the chance of severe weather as we head into the afternoon.
May 18, 2017 11:13:07 GMT -6
REB: 1.57 Wednesday. 2.31 since midnight. 5.92 since Friday. Total........7.49 and still coming down.
Apr 30, 2017 9:59:34 GMT -6
fojginmo: Glad I'm on higher ground & won't have to worry about flash flooding any more.
Aug 2, 2016 21:58:56 GMT -6
kkwhit: Would be nice to have 2 events this week!
Jan 18, 2016 23:21:16 GMT -6
evilmonkey: shout box, shout box, let it all out box
Jan 18, 2016 20:33:42 GMT -6
Jan 18, 2016 17:26:56 GMT -6
snowday_lover: I was thinking this was to start late tomorrow night...are we thinking earlier? I'm in Ironton, so I'm not holding my breath for much per the maps that have been drawn up. I'm thinking a little bit of sleet and frz drizzle. Is that correct? It's a balmy 18
Jan 18, 2016 14:32:51 GMT -6
dschreib: You know you make me wanna...
Jan 18, 2016 9:32:36 GMT -6