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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 18, 2024 17:23:12 GMT -6
Not sure I understand the argument lol. This was the strongest storm complex to come across the metro in a little while. Kind of non arguable lol.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 18, 2024 16:38:18 GMT -6
Debris signature on the south STL storm.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 18, 2024 7:19:24 GMT -6
HRRR is starting to indicate more discreet cells this afternoon/evening than it was before. Maybe noise, but it has my attention.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 18, 2024 6:43:42 GMT -6
Stormy looking skies this morning. I'm definitely concerned about wind damage/power outages tonight with that second batch that the models want to develop after the first one goes through the metro.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 16, 2024 17:52:30 GMT -6
We always did elevated rows for potatoes. “Long hills” I guess lol.
I’m planning on getting my summer garden in weekend after next. First time I’ve had one in 6 years after having one every year before that.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 16, 2024 17:05:02 GMT -6
Man, it’s been tough to get some good old spring time thunderstorms as of late.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 16, 2024 15:14:42 GMT -6
Well that de-escalated quickly.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 8, 2024 16:56:47 GMT -6
I agree that it was much better all around. The cool air was awesome, and the corona I believe was much more impressive than 2017 for whatever reason.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 8, 2024 15:15:29 GMT -6
That was everything I hoped it would be and then some. Did others see the pink solar flare at the bottom? Wow! I feel like the aura was also more impressive than 2017 too.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 8, 2024 10:45:41 GMT -6
Anxiously awaiting here at the farm in Perryville! Looking pretty darn good.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 6, 2024 12:57:11 GMT -6
Yeah, you could be right. Trying to research this has proven to be challenging. I'm getting mixed information. Some say cirrostratus is no bid deal. Some say it could fuzz things out too much to see Bailey's Beads which I don't personally care about, but some do. I think the corona will still be visible even through a reasonably thick layer of cirrostratus which IMHO is the neatest part of the experience. Your concern about CU is well taken too. Right now I'm optimistic. The dewpoint depressions in the lower part of the atmosphere in combination with the reduction in solar insolation should help keep those suppressed. But the weak front and closeness of the vorticity advection at 500mb certainly keeps it from being a lock. In the 2017 eclipse, Columbia MO where I watched it from was locked in with cirrostratus the whole eclipse time, and it did not damper the experience at all. The only concern then was the cumulus clouds that tried developing as totality approached, but they seemingly were knocked down considerably by the lack of extra daytime heating from the eclipse. I’m not going to panic at all if cirrus or cirrostratus develop. You could actually watch on satellite the cumulus stop growing and start to dissipate in the hour or so leading up to totality. I’m sure someone has a video out there on YouTube.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 3, 2024 10:43:56 GMT -6
I’ll be watching from my farm. Took off work this year so I could watch it with family.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 1, 2024 18:47:35 GMT -6
Cell north of Springfield MO just went warned for baseball sized hail and 70 mph winds Tornado warned now. Nasty storm.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 1, 2024 17:25:49 GMT -6
Waynesville cell might be the one to watch. Rotation tightening up. Waynesville? My bad. Wardsville at the time of that post.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 1, 2024 17:25:02 GMT -6
I wouldn’t be surprised to see that west county cell wrap up after it crosses the river. Maybe before.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 1, 2024 17:12:28 GMT -6
Surprisingly I don’t think there’s been a tornado warning anywhere yet today.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 1, 2024 17:08:07 GMT -6
Waynesville cell might be the one to watch. Rotation tightening up.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 1, 2024 14:37:50 GMT -6
We need to watch the differntial heating boundary near STL between the clouds/clearing. This may become an effective boundary to focus enough convergence to generate a storm. With the warm front moving north, Round 1 in our viewing are may be slow to ramp up. It is interesting that several CAMS are generating a supercell very near the Missouri River that passes over/near STL in a couple of hours. No signs of development yet... but we continue to watch. Its hard to envision supercells developing with that rain shield present. Short range models missing that?
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 27, 2024 13:58:37 GMT -6
I know its still a ways out there but models have been pretty consistent with a large lingering system over the middle of the country on April 8...that would suck.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 16, 2024 11:38:11 GMT -6
Looks like March is fixing to go OUT like a lion. Indications for multiple mid latitude cyclones. Hopefully some fun weather to track across the country.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 14, 2024 16:20:36 GMT -6
That’s a mean bow echo headed for the southern half of the area Part of it is warned for 80 mph wind Yup. Gonna plug my devices is now.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 14, 2024 10:25:45 GMT -6
HRRR keeps showing a large rogue supercell this afternoon out ahead of the main line this evening. Time to be on guard today.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 12, 2024 19:12:32 GMT -6
It’s definitely the earliest I’ve looked at my lawn and actually considered mowing it.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 12, 2024 9:41:45 GMT -6
FV3 and RGEM are on board with that idea too. Many rotating supercells being modeled in western MO initially before moving into our area late Thursday night. That looks pretty nasty.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 27, 2024 10:43:32 GMT -6
I'm a little on guard about tonight. I think it'll blow just to my west or right on top of me.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 26, 2024 16:11:23 GMT -6
I believe you are correct. I think we had some ice after that as well. Yep, it was in the mid/upper 70s with severe storms along the front and sleet/snow squalls behind it with temps crashing into the 20s That was Feb 2nd, 2006 right?
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 24, 2024 21:06:27 GMT -6
2012 had a few found in SW MO on around February 27-28. Then, by third week of March it pretty well was over for us. The blowtorch that ran from March through July basically. That particular year was rough for me personally (my own doing mostly), and I don't remember much about the 2012 Spring weather or morel season. I definitely remember the record setting hot dry summer, though, so it makes sense. Also a little concerning if it also translates to this summer's pattern. It was bad. Dry warm winds started late Feb. no moisture at all. Very Different than the current pattern.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 24, 2024 19:46:06 GMT -6
BRTNWXMAN did you see they've recorded the first official morel find of the Spring in the state of MO down in far SWMO in McDonald county?? Soil temps in my area are already running about 40°. This seems WAY out of the norm. 😳 2012 had a few found in SW MO on around February 27-28. Then by third week of March it pretty well was over for us. The blowtorch that ran from March through July basically.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 23, 2024 6:28:13 GMT -6
Check out the moon this morning, wow!
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 16, 2024 16:20:56 GMT -6
Heavy snow in Perryville under the last bands. Might muster out an inch. I had my fun up at work with the thunder snow though earlier!
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