Post by WEAXWATCHER on Sept 5, 2017 21:03:58 GMT -6
The video stated above was shared by me and I taged a few from here on it. I didn't do any research and assumed. It won't happen again. None the less it's a spectacular video and one I've not previously seen. If I caused any heartburn, it wasn't intentional.
WEAX Mascoutah IL,
'Sunshine is delicious, rain is refreshing, wind braces us up, snow is exhilarating; there is really no such thing as bad weather, only different kinds of good weather.' John Ruskin
Another vote to get him out of state and home via Orlando. Figure out the quickest way to get him to the airport and then get whatever flight you can. If not home, somewhere not in any potential path. No flight, yep a car, bus or train. Whatever it takes. Just speaking for myself, I wouldn't be able to deal with one of my kids there during this.
Off 109, S of Wildhorse and N of Manchester
"On cable TV they have a weather channel -- 24 hours of weather. We had something like that where I grew up. We called it a window." - Dan Spencer
I have never asked for future forecasts or it snow is going to hit where I travel etc....but I need a favor. My 18 year old son is in his first month of college in Ft Lauderdale. They have cancelled classes for rest of week and we have him heading to a friend's house in Orlando tomorrow morning. He has the option of staying at a college shelter in Ft Lauderdale but I feel that is not a wise move due to possible devastating coastal destruction. Do you feel this is a safe area being 4 hours inland? I expect Cat 4 landfall with maybe Cat 2 worst case in Orlando. My wife and son are pretty concerned about the future. Any advice is important tome as I know I want him safe. Thanks.
DEFINITELY orlando! Staying in shelters is about the most horrible experience a civilized person can go through.
Euro is well north of previous runs. It does not bring Irma over Cuba at all. Euro and GFS are fairly similar, with a monster going up the east coast of FL. Extremely close call for Miami. Landfall in SC.
Last Edit: Sept 6, 2017 0:31:54 GMT -6 by Snowman99
Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 6, 2017 5:02:46 GMT -6
Track 'officially' says south Florida, however the overall cone of guidance says Charleston, SC and also increasing probs for out-to-sea. Florida will get a close shave no doubt, but the odds of a landfall there appear to be decreasing. Jose is likely what's driving the eastward shift along with the stronger Dome over us.
Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 6, 2017 5:12:11 GMT -6
As for our weather I'm expecting back to average to above average temps and dry weather to prevail until Jose turns away from the east coast in 10 to 14 days and allows the upper level flow to become unstuck allowing what should be a powerful upper level ridge to break down and allow more cold fronts to pass as well as cooler temperatures. Precipitation still looks quite sparse at best however with the main flow from the Gulf blocked. Overall shaping up to be the warm dry month I was expecting minus a couple brief cool snaps.
Location: Unincorporated West Belleville @ Stookey Township between IL Route 15 and Old St. Louis Rd/Route 13.
Post by guyfromhecker on Sept 6, 2017 6:50:08 GMT -6
The path straight up into the Glades is still the most desirable. It still would cause quite a bit of damage to the eastern half of the state if it was still a CAT5. Storm surge would be limited to The Glades itself. There would definitely be higher seas in the Miami area but not a true surge. The thing about storms that go up into the Glades is they don't lose as much punch when they're over the Glades because it's mostly water. If it headed straight towards Orlando it could still be a hundred mile per hour storm when it got there. I don't know if there is a good path to take.
maddogchief: LOUD NOISES!!!
Feb 25, 2019 2:31:00 GMT -6
grizzlebeard: I'll put this here since it rarely rolls over: Please include your location in your profile, or identify your location when posting observations. You saying it is 20 and raining doesn't help if we don't know where you are. That is all.
Feb 7, 2019 13:44:40 GMT -6
giarC71: Hello...this could be historic. And those models of 16 inches or 19 inches.. coild be real..
Jan 11, 2019 18:04:52 GMT -6
snowday_lover: So weird.... sun is really out here right now. I just expected it to be full cloud cover by now. Hopefully the clouds move in soon. I'm ready to see what we get down here.
Feb 6, 2018 12:15:23 GMT -6
tk: Wagons East- Never was close....I'm with Snowman for once even though he is crazy negative but I get it....
Jan 9, 2018 20:50:54 GMT -6
STGOutdoors: Why is forum locked?
Dec 18, 2017 10:55:20 GMT -6
gonefishin - WashMO: Okay. I know these storms are no laughing matter, and I don't know if anyone has posted this, AND I know it's from the Weather Channel, which in and of itself causes it to lose some credibility, but this is one of the funniest things I've ever seen.
Sept 10, 2017 11:27:09 GMT -6
bellevillewxguy: Let's give a BIG Shout for the Great American Total Solar Eclipse! Here's to good viewing conditions for everyone!
Aug 20, 2017 19:09:33 GMT -6
MakeitRain: The 12z NAM wants to develop a line of storms through the metro around 1-2pm this afternoon. However, the HRRR is not picking up on this piece. I would not rule out the chance of severe weather as we head into the afternoon.
May 18, 2017 11:13:07 GMT -6
REB: 1.57 Wednesday. 2.31 since midnight. 5.92 since Friday. Total........7.49 and still coming down.
Apr 30, 2017 9:59:34 GMT -6
fojginmo: Glad I'm on higher ground & won't have to worry about flash flooding any more.
Aug 2, 2016 21:58:56 GMT -6