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Post by TK on Nov 13, 2018 21:51:13 GMT -6
Glen was hinting at a possible shift earlier in evening and he is now getting on board...Just posted potential of 10"
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Post by TK on Nov 13, 2018 21:52:17 GMT -6
i am interested in the sat sun system. frontal precip...prolly air snow. was actually more interested in it than the thursday system until today. Looks way to warm to me BUT this snow could be a temp game changer... |
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Post by cozpregon on Nov 13, 2018 21:53:53 GMT -6
Soundings off the GFS certainly has heavy snow  |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 13, 2018 21:57:51 GMT -6
GEM is a dream.
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Nov 13, 2018 22:00:42 GMT -6
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 13, 2018 22:02:43 GMT -6
Enter metro does well with around 6" of snow which is improvement from 12Z. Pretty much metro northeast to Litchfield is the bullseye. |
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 13, 2018 22:03:17 GMT -6
The top analog from CIPS is November 26-27, 1980. 7.7" fell at the airport. There were a lot of duds in the analog list though.  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 13, 2018 22:06:07 GMT -6
Chris mentioned the 1980 storm the other day. I vaguely remember going to my grandarents that day dresswd i. Winter gear walking in deep snow. I was 6..turning 7 in 2 weeks.
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Post by mosue56 on Nov 13, 2018 22:10:06 GMT -6
Could the watch go to a warning, or do we need lots of wind for that?
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 13, 2018 22:10:18 GMT -6
EPS is 3" for the NW metro, 6" for the SW metro, and 8" for southern IL.
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 13, 2018 22:12:24 GMT -6
If this verifies it is really going to wreak some havoc with my hypothesis that the GFS is biased towards advertising more snow than we actually get.
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Post by TK on Nov 13, 2018 22:13:03 GMT -6
Could the watch go to a warning, or do we need lots of wind for that? Wind will not be a factor for NWS to issue watch....Is is normally based on precip - I predict they will post Winter Storm Watch within next 6 hours |
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Post by RyanD on Nov 13, 2018 22:13:37 GMT -6
Feeling pretty good where I'm at for once.
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Post by cardsnweather on Nov 13, 2018 22:13:39 GMT -6
Wait, Glenn just posted a potential double digit snowfall total? This is officially real and we all should go to the store.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 13, 2018 22:15:40 GMT -6
If this verifies it is really going to wreak some havoc with my hypothesis that the GFS is biased towards advertising more snow than we actually get. Typical small sample size problems. Boe Hart was a .450 hitter for a month. |
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 22:19:53 GMT -6
Wait, Glenn just posted a potential double digit snowfall total? This is officially real and we all should go to the store. Anyone take a screenshot of that? |
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Post by TK on Nov 13, 2018 22:20:00 GMT -6
Wait, Glenn just posted a potential double digit snowfall total? This is officially real and we all should go to the store. He showed POTENTIAL but he did mention and show his metro map verifying what he was seeing....He said it's all about watching the models now.... |
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Post by TK on Nov 13, 2018 22:21:03 GMT -6
Wait, Glenn just posted a potential double digit snowfall total? This is officially real and we all should go to the store. Anyone take a screenshot of that? He showed the latest data - Looked like he was going off NAM |
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Post by nascarfan999 on Nov 13, 2018 22:21:10 GMT -6
Could the watch go to a warning, or do we need lots of wind for that? Wind will not be a factor for NWS to issue watch....Is is normally based on precip - I predict they will post Winter Storm Watch within next 6 hours Wind is only a factor when it comes to Blizzard criteria, not for a WWA or WSWarning. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 13, 2018 22:21:32 GMT -6
Has anybody meationed that this is all happening because Dave retired! Lol
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Post by TK on Nov 13, 2018 22:22:55 GMT -6
Has anybody meationed that this is all happening because Dave retired! Lol Thanks Dave |
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Nov 13, 2018 22:23:04 GMT -6
Has anybody meationed that this is all happening because Dave retired! Lol permawinter? |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 13, 2018 22:23:06 GMT -6
chris' map has got the ladies talking! 😂 Fish pointed that out. All I can say is nature has a way of imitating art. |
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Nov 13, 2018 22:25:28 GMT -6
Anyone take a screenshot of that? He showed the latest data - Looked like he was going off NAM I feel like he was pretty clear that likely someone will get close to 10 based on that model but was expected to be within 25 miles east or west of east st. louis. Never said for sure 10" in metro Stl just that its possible and to keep an eye on the weather. |
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Nov 13, 2018 22:26:22 GMT -6
chris' map has got the ladies talking! 😂 Fish pointed that out. All I can say is nature has a way of imitating art. I think at this point you may as well just stay up |
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Post by dschreib on Nov 13, 2018 22:26:34 GMT -6
chris' map has got the ladies talking! 😂 Fish pointed that out. All I can say is nature has a way of imitating art. Good, Lord, man. Get to bed. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 13, 2018 22:30:30 GMT -6
I have to get up in 2 hours. Just needed to look at 00z models. Now I am going back. I think my map is in good shape for now.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 13, 2018 22:38:01 GMT -6
3Z RAP showing a lollipop of 12" west of St. Louis near Jefferson city with a smaller lollipop between 8-10" southeast of St. Louis, but pretty much 5-7" for most of us outside of those zones.
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Post by dschreib on Nov 13, 2018 22:38:35 GMT -6
I have to get up in 2 hours. Just needed to look at 00z models. Now I am going back. I think my map is in good shape for now. Rock solid...so to speak. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Nov 13, 2018 22:40:09 GMT -6
I have to get up in 2 hours. Just needed to look at 00z models. Now I am going back. I think my map is in good shape for now. Just stay up for the euro and then go get some 5 hour energy’s and a bunch of coffee. Snow will wind down in about 42 hours. |
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