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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 13, 2018 23:57:53 GMT -6
All comments about team members deleted. I personally am a huge “Z” fan and have been since a kid. I really like his style and approach. Just think a few more tweaks would be very awesome as he is a very good meteorologist which is why he runs the ship now. He Emceed a charity auction at my kids' school a few years back. He somehow got me to bid on (and win!!) an organ. A church organ. Why did I bid on it? He said it had a "cow bell" mode. So i won it. It was mine an my wife's wedding anniversary that day, and a friend posted on Facebook: "What says Happy Anniversary? A church organ." Yeah. Thanks, Glenn! It was for charity. I gifted it back to the school who got a double donation when they sent it to someone who could actually use it. News like this is awesome! That’s what makes him so unique and a staple st Fox. Very laid back but does a lot behind the scenes that few people other than several of us in here even know! |
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Post by mchafin on Nov 14, 2018 0:04:43 GMT -6
He Emceed a charity auction at my kids' school a few years back. He somehow got me to bid on (and win!!) an organ. A church organ. Why did I bid on it? He said it had a "cow bell" mode. So i won it. It was mine an my wife's wedding anniversary that day, and a friend posted on Facebook: "What says Happy Anniversary? A church organ." Yeah. Thanks, Glenn! It was for charity. I gifted it back to the school who got a double donation when they sent it to someone who could actually use it. News like this is awesome! That’s what makes him so unique and a staple st Fox. Very laid back but does a lot behind the scenes that few people other than several of us in here even know! I think that's what makes this group so special. Die-hard weather nuts that also have the human side. I love the fact that I can come here and express my opinions and questions and walk away thinking that I have what I need to make prudent decisions. I travel for a living and DEPEND on this forum to help me figure out what I need to do. I'm flying back to the Lou tomorrow evening, but the folks on my team leaving Thurs evening for a trip back to StL may need to reconsider their travel plans. I feel empowered to say, "well........you may want to leave earlier to ensure your safe return back." THIS is why I'm here. THIS is why I love the passion and drive. You all help me be a better leader. Awwwwww |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2018 0:08:13 GMT -6
Euro is a bit drier this run..subtract an inch or 2 from 18z. Not bad though
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2018 0:09:22 GMT -6
Isn't a track of the 500 vort over Cape Girardeau one of the points we looks for to have heavy snow in stl?
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 14, 2018 0:24:52 GMT -6
The euro takes longer to bomb out.
It's pretty lame honestly. I expect the system to move more slowly through NE Arkansas than the euro depicts.
It's just East of the nam and rap
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 14, 2018 0:26:11 GMT -6
EURO is still pretty amazing. Roughly 5” in Union to 8” in immediate STL. I’ll take it. Really think it’s time for the NWS to move that watch now...should be a warning...atleast one more county northwest. Just imo.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2018 0:31:28 GMT -6
EURO is still pretty amazing. Roughly 5” in Union to 8” in immediate STL. I’ll take it. Really think it’s time for the NWS to move that watch now...should be a warning...atleast one more county northwest. Just imo. You must be looking at 18z run. The 0z is an inch or 2 less. Has about 3-3.5 Union, 5 or st louis |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2018 0:37:46 GMT -6
For those still interested. There is still a chat room. In IRC in on the Quakenet. the room is stlweather
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 14, 2018 0:54:16 GMT -6
~.38 here / .50 wildwood / and .6 downtown stl all app falling as snow. To me with slightly higher ratios would give us that range. Just my take on the 00z but I could be thinking in the wrong. Does show Union ~.30 though...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2018 0:58:10 GMT -6
All the models have locked in on the 500mb low track and its darn near perfect for the metro and puts us right in the pivot zone
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2018 1:04:24 GMT -6
Starting to see the first signs of precep associated with the upper low in the Texarkana area
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2018 1:05:45 GMT -6
Euro has a cold rain on Turkey day with temps in the 40's.
Snowstorm 92--I forget what the perfect track is for the 500 and 850 lows for heavy snow here? 500 is over Cape right?
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 14, 2018 1:14:25 GMT -6
About to head to work… but what I've seen from the 0z models has me leaning towards a Max band of 4 to 8" roughly along and East of highway 67 in both Missouri and Illinois... Bounded on the South by a Sullivan to Saint Genevieve line or thereabouts... have to play with that on the map when I get there |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2018 1:16:27 GMT -6
Euro has a cold rain on Turkey day with temps in the 40's. Snowstorm 92--I forget what the perfect track is for the 500 and 850 lows for heavy snow here? 500 is over Cape right? 500 we want right around Paducah
The 850 you want just a tick south of your location (25 miles or so)
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 14, 2018 1:22:50 GMT -6
500mb vort max...120 miles on the cold side of track.
850mb low...90 miles to the cold side.
Heavy snow almost never falls to the East or South of the 850.
Heavy snow placement is usually between the -3 and - 5ﾟC 850 temperature.
Heavy snow typically forms just North of the Apex of a 700 millibar dry slot.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2018 1:29:57 GMT -6
Thanks for the correction Chris. For some reason I always thought you wanted the 850 low to be closer. Maybe because its just been so long since we had a legit winter cyclone to track
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2018 1:35:27 GMT -6
Yeah, thanks Chris, and 920.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2018 1:49:17 GMT -6
Take the 6z HRRR, stick it in your pocket and smoke it. Beautiful.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2018 2:02:30 GMT -6
6z NAM is going to be super high grade A beef
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 14, 2018 2:11:25 GMT -6
The nam drops like 6-8" in 3-4 hours over most of us.
It's truly a crippling outcome for Thursday morning.
This is reaching winter storm warning level quickly.
It being November wont mean jack bleep.
The Roads will be paralyzed if the nam is even close to right.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2018 2:17:06 GMT -6
Yeah, NAM is amazing for the entire area
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2018 2:32:50 GMT -6
Hires NAM has the dry slot from hell still. Heaviest snow is north and west of the metro. Still 3-6 in metro.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 14, 2018 2:39:35 GMT -6
Hires NAM has the dry slot from hell still. Heaviest snow is north and west of the metro. Still 3-6 in metro. That doesn't mesh very well with the track of the system. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2018 2:40:08 GMT -6
Warning up east of the river
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 14, 2018 2:40:49 GMT -6
Winter Storm warning for the SWIL counties.
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Post by RyanD on Nov 14, 2018 2:42:44 GMT -6
Winter Storm Warning now for SE counties. Doesn't look like the NWS is buying into as much snow NW of STL as the HiRes NAM suggests so they are sticking with the areas in Illinois.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2018 2:51:23 GMT -6
Winter Storm Warning now for SE counties. Doesn't look like the NWS is buying into as much snow NW of STL as the HiRes NAM suggests so they are sticking with the areas in Illinois. The Illinois counties are basically a lock for warning level snowfall at this point. The advisory for 2-5” further west allows for a quick upgrade to a warning if solutions like the NAM and Hrrrr verify |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2018 2:59:20 GMT -6
Boooooooooo!
j/k
I have a feeling a warning will be issued tonight for some MO counties.
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Post by Sparkman - Wildwood, Mo on Nov 14, 2018 3:01:24 GMT -6
Boooooooooo! j/k I have a feeling a warning will be issued tonight for some MO counties. Agreed |
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Post by jason0101 on Nov 14, 2018 3:05:09 GMT -6
I think they are waiting another set to fine tune things and upgrade if necessary
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