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Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 26, 2014 19:50:59 GMT -6
OK, since even bringing up to 70s on the other board gets everyone in a frenzy I'll say it here. Now read slowly folks. I do not think this is a 70s winter. That does not mean it does not remind me of one. The repeated sharp cold fronts and the real chance at 3 months of winter are what I remember as a youth. I can't recall anything like that in the last 35 years, at least.
When this winter is over they are gonna have a hell of a time trying to compare it to any winter in the last 40 and maybe 50. Lord knows 2013-14 has not had the favorable ocean setup the doozies of the 70s had, but something was really lined up this winter. I would hazard they are going to have to go back into the early to mid 50s perhaps, to find a close match to this one. It's just that different.
That all said, I think that trend towards colder is well in place now. Time will tell. If these next couple of solar cycles are down hold onto your hats. We are gonna see more of these types of winters and eventually the NAO may trip to the type of stuff we saw in the late mid century. It may do that fairly soon. We'll see.
have fun
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 27, 2014 21:06:04 GMT -6
Found the strongest scientific proof yet!
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 27, 2014 21:14:47 GMT -6
Found the strongest scientific proof yet! That's a defensible position to the end.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 28, 2014 5:45:36 GMT -6
Found the strongest scientific proof yet! LOL
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Here we go
Jan 30, 2014 10:32:54 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 30, 2014 10:32:54 GMT -6
The numbers are in. Solar cycle 24 appears to be the weakest since Cycle 14. We are now on the downswing an activity and in the second half of the cycle. Hold onto your hats because the second half of these weaker cycles tend to have wicked winters in them. My suspicion is that in the second half of the cycles the oceans turn more cooperative. Look for the North Atlantic Oscillation to go down
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Here we go
Jan 30, 2014 10:50:08 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 30, 2014 10:50:08 GMT -6
Honestly I don't even think the NAO has to go down. I think a strong pdo can take care of this.
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