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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 26, 2019 12:29:37 GMT -6
Starting to see the effects of the higher sun angle...this dusting is going bye bye fast.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 26, 2019 12:29:40 GMT -6
euro has 850 temos down to about -28 in st louis on wednesday..lows slightly below 0 thurs morning..way below 0 in north mo.
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 26, 2019 12:30:07 GMT -6
MJO looks to solidly slide into Phase 7. Essentially a neutral phase for us.
SSTs in N PAC look to move a bit further south. However, would suggest more normal temps than anything extreme one way or the other. Then the hammer looks to drop again as the SSTs move further north into the GOA.
Winter isn’t over yet and a prolonged “thaw” is unlikely. Perhaps some above as storms cut to our west, but that’s a case by case basis.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 26, 2019 12:34:52 GMT -6
gee I wish yesterday and today was way warmer then expected here. 39 yesterday, 45 right now Wrong side of the clipper is always warmer than modeled. Hell, compression as they approach is usually good for a temperature jump. thank you mr obvious, lol
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 26, 2019 12:35:12 GMT -6
What part of Syracuse? Looking at traffic cams all around Syracuse. isn't indicating any snow of that depth. My mistake. Watertown
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 26, 2019 12:38:11 GMT -6
I am going to go out on a limb and you all can lol me but clearly Wednesday is the coldest and I am thinking there will be a tight temp gradient of sub zero lowes. But I am going on something like this for Wednesday and Wednesday night for the coldest temps. I would say along a rolla to Farmington line up to about mount Vernon il will see a bottom temp of -4 to -1. A eldon mo to festus to effingham of -7 to -3. A Jeff city to Arnold line of -11 to -5 and then Columbia to Lambert to Indianapolis of -17 to -8 with the -8 at Lambert. And finally Mexico to st.paul to carlinville north -dangerous to -15. Just my thoughts with most areas near and north of 70 remaining below zero Wednesday.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 26, 2019 12:38:24 GMT -6
Wrong side of the clipper is always warmer than modeled. Hell, compression as they approach is usually good for a temperature jump. thank you mr obvious, lol You seemed surprised lol... Not sure what was tricky about the forecast besides some slight variance in track.
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Post by bear1 on Jan 26, 2019 12:39:31 GMT -6
What part of Syracuse? Looking at traffic cams all around Syracuse. isn't indicating any snow of that depth. My mistake. Watertown That makes sense, N. of Syracuse
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 26, 2019 12:55:16 GMT -6
Absolutely pouring snow.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 26, 2019 13:00:17 GMT -6
We’re basically 0-3 on the clipper train for this weekend
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 26, 2019 13:08:08 GMT -6
What is your location? I forgot and Tapatalk app doesn’t tell me like the web base system does.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 26, 2019 13:10:18 GMT -6
Its pouring snow at my house in Mascoutah. Just uploaded a video on FB.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 26, 2019 13:11:49 GMT -6
What is your location? I forgot and Tapatalk app doesn’t tell me like the web base system does. O'Fallon, IL I believe.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 26, 2019 13:15:31 GMT -6
Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaand its gone!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 26, 2019 13:18:27 GMT -6
SC deck becoming agitated...we'll probably see some snow showers later this afternoon as CAA develops.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 26, 2019 13:25:02 GMT -6
Sunny now! Wth?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 26, 2019 13:29:02 GMT -6
The dreaded dry slot! Actually, looking at current conditions closer the CAA will hold off until this evening and it's weak so we're probably done with snow for today.
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 26, 2019 13:51:02 GMT -6
Temp forecast looks tough around here midweek. The sub 500 thickness only briefly reaches us Wednesday AM... then moderates. I think we may get 1-2* below zero Wed morning then hanging in the single digits thru the afternoon- then falling back down to 2-3* below zero Wed evening before rising after midnight.
That's my guess.
Chicago- 60+ hours below zero... coldest -21.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 26, 2019 13:58:42 GMT -6
Temp forecast looks tough around here midweek. The sub 500 thickness only briefly reaches us Wednesday AM... then moderates. I think we may get 1-2* below zero Wed morning then hanging in the single digits thru the afternoon- then falling back down to 2-3* below zero Wed evening before rising after midnight. That's my guess. Chicago- 60+ hours below zero... coldest -21. Yeah we're riding the edge of the deeper cold as usual. But the snowcover is just off to the N so it won't modify much. Thinking sub zero lows are likely for STL...possibly well below N of 70.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 26, 2019 14:01:46 GMT -6
Temp forecast looks tough around here midweek. The sub 500 thickness only briefly reaches us Wednesday AM... then moderates. I think we may get 1-2* below zero Wed morning then hanging in the single digits thru the afternoon- then falling back down to 2-3* below zero Wed evening before rising after midnight. That's my guess. Chicago- 60+ hours below zero... coldest -21. I'll go -25 if we get 4+ inches on Monday. Otherwise, I'll go -18 at ORD.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 26, 2019 14:26:02 GMT -6
I could care less about below zero, if it’s not going to snow I hope it warms up some. Anything below zero is 100% worthless and just miserable
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 26, 2019 14:31:11 GMT -6
I could care less about below zero, if it’s not going to snow I hope it warms up some. Anything below zero is 100% worthless and just miserable Gotta deal with it whether we like it or not...it's coming.
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 26, 2019 14:32:57 GMT -6
45 deg in Festus with milky sun! Just like early spring! Enjoy before the cold returns!
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Post by jeepers on Jan 26, 2019 15:47:38 GMT -6
46 degrees with high clouds. We got spat on with spotty flakes around 9am. Whole bunch of nothing, melted long ago. Laughed at the ice that was frozen in the rain gauge = 1.89 inches.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 26, 2019 15:53:07 GMT -6
48* with a WC of only 43*
Feels like a fresh spring day
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 26, 2019 16:06:34 GMT -6
10-15 degrees warmer then forecast today.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 26, 2019 16:12:28 GMT -6
From disco The combination of bitter cold ambient air temperatures and wind will yield dangerously cold wind chill values of 15 to 30 below zero periodically Tuesday night into Thursday morning across the northern half of the CWA, basically I-70 northward.
Also, the forecast for st louis on south is really nothing special.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 26, 2019 16:15:56 GMT -6
Said coldest since 2014
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 26, 2019 16:22:53 GMT -6
its been below 0 in st louis since 2014..the forecast has no temps below 0 in st louis. at this time
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 26, 2019 16:33:08 GMT -6
10-15 degrees warmer then forecast today. That is going to happen when you sit right on top of a front with a super tight temp gradient. Getting the forecast right is more of an accident than talent or good forecasting.
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