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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 28, 2019 7:24:35 GMT -6
What did you end up with WSC?
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Post by landscaper on Jan 28, 2019 7:28:04 GMT -6
I would rate it at a solid A , I have received 25” in Wentzville, (2) Winter Storm Warnings (5-7) Winter Weather advisory’s many days of snow, several snow man and sledding days. Just look at the NWS map, we are currently 200% ABOVE the normal snow totals through out the metro area. We are not in a northern climate this is not Canada. I do think we will see more accumulating snow, we have two months of potentiall winter left. I think we will also see an ice storm at some point this year, we are long over due.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 28, 2019 7:30:36 GMT -6
I would rate it at a solid A , I have received 25” in Wentzville, (2) Winter Storm Warnings (5-7) Winter Weather advisory’s many days of snow, several snow man and sledding days. Just look at the NWS map, we are currently 200% ABOVE the normal snow totals through out the metro area. We are not in a northern climate this is not Canada. I do think we will see more accumulating snow, we have two months of potentiall winter left. I think we will also see an ice storm at some point this year, we are long over due. We might not see another winter like this for several years . The last strong winter was 13-14.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 28, 2019 7:36:37 GMT -6
I'll call it a B+ for now. In comparison to the last few years its an easy A+ but I'm just comparing to what winters "should" be around here. I've had 15.5" in Perryville which is a feat in and of itself. Along with 3 winter storm warnings and about as close to a true blizzard as I'll ever see. There's still lots of drifts at the edges of fields and two drift remnants in my yard.
Looks like a pretty chaotic pattern into February with lots of big temp swings.
GFS has us in the 60's this weekend. If that happens the ol' grill is coming out again!
What's the projected epo going forward? Someone posted it last week and I meant to ask for the direct link. My usual source hasn't been brought back up yet since the govt. reopened.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 28, 2019 7:44:52 GMT -6
What did you end up with WSC? It started around midnight and is just ending now. It is so windy, its impossible to measure. I'm comfortable calling it 4-5 inches. It really came down hard the last couple hours. Chicago Public schools never call off, so my wife had a rough commute to say the least. Now time for the deep freeze.
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 28, 2019 7:48:20 GMT -6
Lol, snow in November doesn't count and an 8-12 inch snow is just "solid." That is good trolling. Did the snow in November happen during any winter season? Whether it be astronomical or meteorological? For that reason I don’t count it.
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 28, 2019 7:53:17 GMT -6
Lol, snow in November doesn't count and an 8-12 inch snow is just "solid." That is good trolling. Did the snow in November happen during any winter season? Whether it be astronomical or meteorological? For that reason I don’t count it. That’s like saying rain doesn’t count during the winter season then.......
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Post by rb1108 on Jan 28, 2019 7:58:17 GMT -6
It does look quite active starting next week. Temps become the question for what kind of precip. But this 60* degree stuff doesnt look to stick around past the weekend....then its 30s/40s, which is better for potential winter weather.
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Post by rb1108 on Jan 28, 2019 8:01:59 GMT -6
meh, lame forecast for here. Yes, it'll be very cold. But for very briefly. It's going to be above normal this weekend longer than it'll be below normal. It'll almost cancel out the cold. Probably will by mid week. The disco says that many locations will see record lows and we could beat a record for a low "daytime temp". Breaking records it isn't something we see everyday.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 28, 2019 8:07:09 GMT -6
Looking at the FV3 and euro, I think things are interesting within the next 7-10 days.
The weekend warmup seems like a lock. Then, we see how cutty things get. Even by next Monday-Wednesday there could be an event or two. Definitely not all snow setups. Front side rain to backside heavy snow is the territory we are approaching.
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 28, 2019 8:11:04 GMT -6
Did the snow in November happen during any winter season? Whether it be astronomical or meteorological? For that reason I don’t count it. That’s like saying rain doesn’t count during the winter season then....... Huh? Count towards what?
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 28, 2019 8:12:58 GMT -6
this thread needs a delicious Snickers
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 28, 2019 8:15:14 GMT -6
Looking at the FV3 and euro, I think things are interesting within the next 7-10 days. The weekend warmup seems like a lock. Then, we see how cutty things get. Even by next Monday-Wednesday there could be an event or two. Definitely not all snow setups. Front side rain to backside heavy snow is the territory we are approaching. You’re an eternal optimist.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 28, 2019 8:17:20 GMT -6
I don't think there's ever going to be a winter in metro St. Louis that gets cold in mid to late November and stays cold until late February or early March with a few inches of snow every week or 10 days. The only exception might be something completely fluke like "the year without a summer."
Even in the Sierra there are bears already starting to emerge from hibernation and the trees are starting to show signs of green. In Fairbanks they were going to be up close to freezing this past weekend or this week.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 28, 2019 8:18:48 GMT -6
There is a tight gradient of snow this winter, probably from that November storm. I think im sitting pretty close to what the airport is sitting at, which is pretty close to the total seasonal norm, which implies we are above average so far this season. I think february will be a big month winter wise. Before season, i predicted 24 inches and the airport is pretty close to 18 iirc. So my question is whether or not we will get 6 inches of snow for the remainder of winter. Well im pretty confident,we will get 6 inches of snow....and probably more if the nao can go negative. So the question boils down to nao which has for the most part failed to go negative for any sustained period the last few years. This is why we are seeing the quick intense warmups and we have to rely on perfect timing.
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Post by bororug on Jan 28, 2019 8:43:58 GMT -6
Any thoughts on potential road issues with some light rain falling & temps dropping fairly fast this afternoon. Hoping the wind dries things off. I work in a jeffco school district & don’t want anyone to be caught off-guard. Thanks in advance.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 28, 2019 8:48:27 GMT -6
Hi-res nam looks good for a few hours of snow showers tomorrow. Won't take much to accumulate with temps crashing.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 28, 2019 9:08:14 GMT -6
Starting to think a high wind warning may be in order for today. MCI just reported a gust to 64 mph...and STJ reported a top gust to 59 mph.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 28, 2019 9:25:45 GMT -6
I still am not sold that we will go below zero during this stretch. Far northern counties yes, but the wind and potential cloud combo I think will keep Lambert and points south above zero.
We may get that little band of snow Wednesday afternoon. That would be cool with really cold temps.
I also think Friday morning needs to be watched for a nuisance event with the ground temps being so cold.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 28, 2019 9:30:24 GMT -6
I still am not sold that we will go below zero during this stretch. Far northern counties yes, but the wind and potential cloud combo I think will keep Lambert and points south above zero. We may get that little band of snow Wednesday afternoon. That would be cool with really cold temps. I also think Friday morning needs to be watched for a nuisance event with the ground temps being so cold. Lambert going below zero is a 99% lock, IMO. This airmass is just brutally cold, even with wind and cloud cover the intense CAA will still allow temps to plummet.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 28, 2019 9:32:58 GMT -6
Starting to think a high wind warning may be in order for today. MCI just reported a gust to 64 mph...and STJ reported a top gust to 59 mph. Yeah I noticed a post from NWS about 55-65mph gusts across the Dakotas...looks like it's headed this way.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jan 28, 2019 10:09:23 GMT -6
Batten down the hatches, Labrat!!
Map of the winds approach Omaha from the David Koeller Facebook page as of 2 AM
Woke up at 3 am to one cat burrowing under the covers with the wind howling and the house shaking. The people that put their trash out in Omaha now have to chase down the bags and little recycle bins. Snow was blowing so hard off a field I couldn't see the road or the car in front of me. Only worse windstorm I was in was in CO, when gusts were over 100 mph. This is nuts and cold.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 28, 2019 10:21:43 GMT -6
Wind chill watch for most of the area
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jan 28, 2019 10:23:30 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jan 28, 2019 10:26:25 GMT -6
This was 2 hours ago, KCI has since had a 63mph gust.
NWS Kansas City
Wind gusts this hour:
KCI: 50 KC Downtown: 51 St Joseph: 59 Kirksville: 50 Lee's Summit: 45 Chillicothe: 41 Olathe: 44 Gardner: 45 Lawrence: 53
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 28, 2019 10:35:40 GMT -6
Reports of power poles snapped in Olathe, Kansas
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 28, 2019 10:50:19 GMT -6
Reports of power poles snapped in Olathe, Kansas Wow!
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 28, 2019 10:59:13 GMT -6
I really think there will be some travel concerns Friday morning. I could see a sleet snow mix causing issues with the extremely cold ground and temps still in the 20's. We've seen similar problems with little waves punching into retreating arctic airmasses.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 28, 2019 11:05:32 GMT -6
Models coming in pretty decent with a band of snow on Wednesday night into Thursday with pretty good hints of at least a couple inches of snow in or around Feb 1st. Would be nice to have a white Birthday.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 28, 2019 11:23:03 GMT -6
Looks like the front just came through, cause temps feel like they are dropping and the wind is starting to pick up a bit.
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