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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 17, 2019 15:08:42 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 17, 2019 15:09:47 GMT -6
I don't pretend to be an expert, but the west is getting slammed in the mountains, and they are predicting the East is going to get slammed too. I think we should get something, but all the big chain weather channels are pretty much writing us off, with just a little bit. The big chains almost always write us off when the coastal cities are impacted by the same system...I wouldn't sweat that. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 17, 2019 15:12:39 GMT -6
I don't pretend to be an expert, but the west is getting slammed in the mountains, and they are predicting the East is going to get slammed too. I think we should get something, but all the big chain weather channels are pretty much writing us off, with just a little bit. The big chains almost always write us off when the coastal cities are impacted by the same system...I wouldn't sweat that. Its because the EC thinks nody lives here. Lol |
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Post by Sparkman - Wildwood, Mo on Jan 17, 2019 15:13:36 GMT -6
Watch is up for our far northern county. Afd speaks of 1 to 3 for metro so tomorrow we may get advisory. The NAM is going to make them sweat a little I think haha. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 17, 2019 15:19:02 GMT -6
The NAM3k at 18z is PERFECT!
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Post by landscaper on Jan 17, 2019 15:19:07 GMT -6
What did the eps mean show for snow in St. Louis?
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 17, 2019 15:21:15 GMT -6
No body here really cares at all about Chicago weather It was a joke lol. Hence the paragraph of analysis about STL metro weather impacts. Feel free to block me. I got it... and appreciate your input from up north. Pay no attention to the peanut gallery  |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 17, 2019 15:22:59 GMT -6
She's a beaut Clark!  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 17, 2019 15:25:29 GMT -6
To say the afternoon update from the NWS is a huge sh1tter is an understatement.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 17, 2019 15:26:47 GMT -6
She's a beaut Clark! There is a hole over Mascoutah... me no likely! |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 17, 2019 15:29:02 GMT -6
18z icon is close, but more progressive than the 3k.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 17, 2019 15:30:13 GMT -6
Watch is up for our far northern county. Afd speaks of 1 to 3 for metro so tomorrow we may get advisory. The NAM is going to make them sweat a little I think haha. I suppose things will be a bit clearer after the 00z runs. I still think where we are headed is a general 2 to 4 inch event with some gusty winds. There really hasnt been enough evidence one way or another on this imo until after tonight. The afd, iirc spoke of another possible maxima setting up se of 44. If that verifies then my thought of 2 to 4 is going to be too high but b4 i jump ship, i wld like to see how tonights runs happen. I dont want to take the 18 nam seriously attm. |
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Post by Sparkman - Wildwood, Mo on Jan 17, 2019 15:30:17 GMT -6
To say the afternoon update from the NWS is a huge sh1tter is an understatement. Hahaha dude I know. Don’t worry it will change. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 17, 2019 15:31:03 GMT -6
That would be an unexpected surprise!! And speaking of unexpected surprises...I have almost full sunshine!! The clouds have really thinned out and I have more blue than white or gray! Good to see it, if only for a couple of hours |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 17, 2019 15:31:08 GMT -6
That is some insane convective looking stuff. Hope you all enjoy it! I might still squeeze out an inch or two.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 17, 2019 15:31:24 GMT -6
She's a beaut Clark! [bris is that union where that little dry spot is? |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 17, 2019 15:32:37 GMT -6
massive snow melt today. More tomorrow..with rain tomorrow night, anyone thinking snow on snow better move somewhere else, lol.
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campingfamily
Weather Weenie
Birdie Hills and Knaust Rd St. Peters, MO
Posts: 54 
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Post by campingfamily on Jan 17, 2019 15:32:56 GMT -6
What is this brightness I am experiencing? Could it be the sun?!!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 17, 2019 15:34:20 GMT -6
18z icon is close, but more progressive than the 3k. The 500 vort is beautiful on that run |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 17, 2019 15:36:11 GMT -6
massive snow melt today. More tomorrow..with rain tomorrow night, anyone thinking snow on snow better move somewhere else, lol. Im am starting to doubt snow on snow next week for sure. Nvr was in my head for this weekend. Even if we get 2 to 4 saturday, tuesday we lose alot of that. |
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 17, 2019 15:39:39 GMT -6
Is it still 3-4 inches in JeffCo?
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campingfamily
Weather Weenie
Birdie Hills and Knaust Rd St. Peters, MO
Posts: 54
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Post by campingfamily on Jan 17, 2019 15:41:23 GMT -6
What is this brightness I am experiencing? Could it be the sun?!! And, it's already gone. Sigh. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 17, 2019 15:42:08 GMT -6
Is it still 3-4 inches in JeffCo? Sticking with 3 or more for now. We are still just under 2 days. That model run I just posted is the closest thing conceptually to what history says should happen... but I would like a little more model agreement before I post a high end number. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 17, 2019 15:48:24 GMT -6
What is this brightness I am experiencing? Could it be the sun?!! And, it's already gone. Sigh. It was nice for the 10-15 minutes while it lasted |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 17, 2019 15:48:32 GMT -6
She's a beaut Clark! That's exactly what I'm expecting from a conceptual standpoint. I saw a reference/comparo to the Feb '07 storm and I strongly agree with that. I flew over that storm on the way to the SHOT show in Vegas. I'll never forget seeing the towering CU with small anvils overshooting the stratoform. I know there were several reports of TSSN in the Metro during that one. |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 17, 2019 15:51:13 GMT -6
Gfs is getting there 3 to 4 for metro
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 17, 2019 15:51:30 GMT -6
I think we are sittingnpeetty
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 17, 2019 15:53:24 GMT -6
Also. Check out the beauty the hrr shows
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 17, 2019 15:54:31 GMT -6
Ya the 18z GFS looks great. Nod to the 3k NAM with that intense backside
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 17, 2019 16:00:54 GMT -6
18z RGEM is very good
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