bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 334 
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Post by bob on Feb 17, 2019 0:08:55 GMT -6
what does euro show for tuesday and next weekend?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 17, 2019 0:19:15 GMT -6
Euro looks rather icy/snowy Tuesday night
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Feb 17, 2019 0:23:16 GMT -6
Got a layer of sleet and now a glaze of ice over it. Freezing drizzle currently
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 17, 2019 0:24:18 GMT -6
Verbatim, the euro is printing out 2” of snow and 0.3” of freezing rain for the metro
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Post by landscaper on Feb 17, 2019 0:25:32 GMT -6
I like the Euro it looks a lot like the NAM
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 17, 2019 0:50:28 GMT -6
With the system next weekend, the euro has a 1000mb low over Colombia, Mo Saturday night and by sunrise Sunday morning has a 979mb low over central Michigan lol
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 17, 2019 5:08:53 GMT -6
Out checking lots and sidewalks this morning and only finding that concrete sidewalks is about all that needs attention with chemicals. All driving surfaces concrete or asphalt are just wet.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Feb 17, 2019 7:50:26 GMT -6
Time to replace Polar Vortex with a new catch phrase of the day “atmospheric river” (excerp Taken from online article, credit “Wired”) If you haven’t heard the phrase “atmospheric river” before, don’t feel too bad. It’s a meteorological term of art that hasn’t yet cracked the pop cultural lexicon, unlike some of its flashier cousins—the polar vortex, bomb cyclone, and fire clouds, to name a few. Even the American Meteorological Society only added a definition for atmospheric river to its glossary last year. Since a Category Scale is being assigned to these by Marty Ralph, a research meteorologist at UC San Diego, I am sure we can expect that will start getting some exotic names from other weather outlets in the near future  |
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 17, 2019 7:54:07 GMT -6
It's something to keep an eye on...a blend of the EPS and GEFS would put the surface low track in the ballpark of where we want it to be for snow. This is for the potential storm next weekend.
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 17, 2019 7:59:17 GMT -6
With the system next weekend, the euro has a 1000mb low over Colombia, Mo Saturday night and by sunrise Sunday morning has a 979mb low over central Michigan lol That looks like a fun setup for us. The potential for thunderstorms to snow in the same day. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 17, 2019 8:13:02 GMT -6
It's something to keep an eye on...a blend of the EPS and GEFS would put the surface low track in the ballpark of where we want it to be for snow. This is for the potential storm next weekend. I’ll take the 6z FV3 personally to even the score for the January storm |
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Post by rb1108 on Feb 17, 2019 8:32:16 GMT -6
The high on Saturday is forecasted in the 50s right now....is there really potential for accumulating snow with the next weekend system?
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Post by landscaper on Feb 17, 2019 8:36:59 GMT -6
No, not in St. Louis maybe way west and north of St. Louis
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 17, 2019 8:46:56 GMT -6
I'm beginning to thing Tuesday night could be a doozey. Looks borderline ice storm with 2 inches of snow and sleet.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 17, 2019 8:55:58 GMT -6
I'm beginning to thing Tuesday night could be a doozey. Looks borderline ice storm with 2 inches of snow and sleet. Nam has trended west and would effectively dry spot you |
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Post by rb1108 on Feb 17, 2019 8:56:16 GMT -6
I'm beginning to thing Tuesday night could be a doozey. Looks borderline ice storm with 2 inches of snow and sleet. First Ice Storm Warning in years in our future? Lol. |
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Post by landscaper on Feb 17, 2019 8:57:23 GMT -6
It looks like 1-2” of snow/sleet and maybe a.10” of freezing rain on top. The 3” amounts look north and west of the area. It’s only a 6-9 hour amount of WAA precipitation then we’re basically dry slotted. Temps will be in the upper 20’s to low 30’s . Time line looks to be 6pm -3am Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning . Time of day and no sun angle will help us out a lot on this storm.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 17, 2019 8:59:52 GMT -6
Looks like nam.puts out .5 inch of qpf. With a heavy intense front end hit
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Post by landscaper on Feb 17, 2019 9:01:24 GMT -6
The NAM has the initial push of WAA precipitation then it dry slots St. Louis. Basically all models showing that as I said maybe 6 hours of decent precipitation then some freezing drizzle. Definitely not an ice storm warning or a big storm, similar to all the other storms an average advisory level type. If it comes in during rush hour it could cause some problems.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 17, 2019 9:03:35 GMT -6
Decent layer of Glaze Ice in st.peters this morning  |
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 17, 2019 9:04:35 GMT -6
I just know how intense waa can be. Often over performs. Not saying crippling. But could be a short notable event
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Post by landscaper on Feb 17, 2019 9:05:30 GMT -6
It’s definitely not showing .5” qpf, it’s basically.20-.30” depending on location. It actually has St. Louis Metro in the .20” area. There is some .40-.50” out near Columbia
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 17, 2019 9:07:23 GMT -6
The gem. And euro are much heavier on the front end.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 17, 2019 9:13:21 GMT -6
It’s definitely not showing .5” qpf, it’s basically.20-.30” depending on location. It actually has St. Louis Metro in the .20” area. There is some .40-.50” out near Columbia That was my point. Not everything needs to be hyped. It could be a solid advisory level hit. Knowing WAA averages 3-6 hours early, it should be gone before rush hour Wednesday |
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Post by rb1108 on Feb 17, 2019 9:35:42 GMT -6
Not related to weather but - I just passed the registration examination for dietitians and am now officially a registered dietitian (RD). Who needs some nutrition education? lol.
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Post by jmg378s on Feb 17, 2019 9:37:41 GMT -6
I'm beginning to thing Tuesday night could be a doozey. Looks borderline ice storm with 2 inches of snow and sleet. First Ice Storm Warning in years in our future? Lol.
We had an ice storm warning a couple years ago. Much of the immediate metro did not reach warning criteria accumulation for that storm. Some in the southern part of the area did though.
It's very unlikely for Tuesday.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 17, 2019 9:46:49 GMT -6
I am.not saying warning. Buy heavy worded advisory likely
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 17, 2019 9:47:03 GMT -6
Congrats rbd
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 17, 2019 9:50:25 GMT -6
The 12z icon tracks next weekend’s storm right over STL. So, it has shifted considerably south, but obviously not far enough.
Probably a rainy weekend on tap.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 17, 2019 10:06:41 GMT -6
Gfs is a bit more wintry Tuesday night
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