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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 29, 2019 14:02:53 GMT -6
Skies around these parts don’t look stable to me. They have that look of the “well. Something’s cooking”. There’s some big towering cumulus around here. A very unstable look for sure |
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Post by flinthillsgal on May 29, 2019 14:11:07 GMT -6
Skies around these parts don’t look stable to me. They have that look of the “well. Something’s cooking”. There’s some big towering cumulus around here. A very unstable look for sure Yes, the air has that 'feel' to it in Crestwood.  I'm helping a friend move to their new home today up near the airport. Hoping the storms stay south for them...and south of my home too. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 29, 2019 14:45:13 GMT -6
Ya it doesnt look to impressive coming up 44.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on May 29, 2019 14:51:12 GMT -6
Sadly it’s looking like more rain that we don’t need
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 29, 2019 14:51:44 GMT -6
DISCUSSION...Downstream of widespread convection across AR into
south-central MO, more isolated thunderstorms have recently formed
along a nearly stationary front draped generally east-west across
central IL into western and central IN. In the wake of thunderstorms
earlier today, the airmass across this area has been able to
destabilize along/south of this boundary. As temperatures have
warmed into the lower to mid 80s, moderate to strong instability has
developed, with MLCAPE of 1500-3000 J/kg estimated from
mesoanalysis. Although low-level flow remains generally weak, strong
mid/upper-level winds are supporting 45-55 kt of effective bulk
shear. There is some concern that an isolated large hail and
strong/damaging wind threat may develop with these thunderstorms as
they move generally east-northeastward. Additional convection that
is developing across southern MO may also pose an isolated severe
threat over the next couple of hours as it moves eastward. It
remains unclear whether any portion of these regions will need a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch due to nebulous large-scale forcing for
ascent and related concerns about convective coverage, but radar
trends will be closely monitored.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 29, 2019 15:01:29 GMT -6
Linwood, KS tornado last night rated EF-4. Nearly a 32 mile path and a mile wide at it's largest.
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mmkjmg
Weather Weenie
Posts: 21 
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Post by mmkjmg on May 29, 2019 15:21:17 GMT -6
And it begins
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 29, 2019 15:38:52 GMT -6
Just a side note. Be careful with snakes. A classmate of mine since kindergarten...her husband died of a snake bite over memorial day in alabama. He stepped out to his patio and was bitten by a copperhead. Within minutes he was unconscious. Marilou had posted updates on her facebook reports for a day or two afterwards, none of which were all that encouraging, and he succumbed after 2 or 3 days. He never regained consciousness. This was a copperhead and he might have had some kind of alkergic reaction. From what i understand they tried to airlift him but he wasnt stable enough. Life is random and precious.
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Jeke
Junior Forecaster
Old Jamestown, MO
Posts: 320
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Post by Jeke on May 29, 2019 15:44:31 GMT -6
How terrible! So sorry for your friend and the family.
You just never know...
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Post by cozpregon on May 29, 2019 15:47:21 GMT -6
Pea sized hail 94 and harvester
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 29, 2019 15:48:50 GMT -6
Never know. You really dont hear of too many snake bite deaths these days. Growing up, our dads worked together at semo as math and computer science professors.
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Post by Steven Penrod- HLEW on May 29, 2019 15:49:49 GMT -6
Rotation showing up south of Sullivan
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Post by cozpregon on May 29, 2019 15:51:22 GMT -6
Marble and gusts to 50
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 29, 2019 15:51:34 GMT -6
Wow that cell looks like it went rt over my house. Guess im staying downtown for a while.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 29, 2019 15:52:26 GMT -6
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 29, 2019 15:56:34 GMT -6
Is that like raining cats and dogs? |
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on May 29, 2019 16:00:03 GMT -6
Just a side note. Be careful with snakes. A classmate of mine since kindergarten...her husband died of a snake bite over memorial day in alabama. He stepped out to his patio and was bitten by a copperhead. Within minutes he was unconscious. Marilou had posted updates on her facebook reports for a day or two afterwards, none of which were all that encouraging, and he succumbed after 2 or 3 days. He never regained consciousness. This was a copperhead and he might have had some kind of alkergic reaction. From what i understand they tried to airlift him but he wasnt stable enough. Life is random and precious. And especially with all this flooding, wildlife is being displaced (and confused/panicked). |
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Post by ComoEsJn on May 29, 2019 16:06:52 GMT -6
it looks like a real split in the precip shield to the SW
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Post by mosue56 on May 29, 2019 16:18:03 GMT -6
Starting to thunder in Festus!
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 29, 2019 16:21:06 GMT -6
Got in the the northern edge of a storm. Rained a bit and some minor winds. The temperature drop is great though!
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 29, 2019 16:40:30 GMT -6
Yup... an enhanced risk bust. Not nearly enough shear to support updrafts... they go up and collapse. Just no sustained convergence to keep them going...not enough shear to keep them from killing themselves.
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Post by jeepers on May 29, 2019 16:50:03 GMT -6
Crazy gusts and cracks overhead.
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Post by jeepers on May 29, 2019 17:14:57 GMT -6
I agree that was borderline severe. I did get some impressive gusts, sheeting rain, and a smattering of hail that was definitely bigger than salt during the heaviest rain. Power wavered three times. I’m near a switching station so odds low that it would go out but it looked like it could. Had multiple lightning strikes nearby, with one almost directly over head. .89 in
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Post by ComoEsJn on May 29, 2019 17:26:24 GMT -6
yeah, the immediate metro is definitely getting hammered, severe or not. I'm past being bummed out about this constant crap.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 29, 2019 17:31:29 GMT -6
Looking at what's been over the city for the last hour from the northwest edge it sure looked nasty enough. But in the end it was just a garden variety strong thunderstorm
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 29, 2019 17:42:47 GMT -6
Meh...
Edit: hopefully nobody takes my "Meh" as i wanted damage, detruction and lives lost....
😉
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 29, 2019 18:01:02 GMT -6
These high CAPE, low shear days are always tough to forecast. Hard to get any organized severe weather with with virtually no low level shear
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 29, 2019 18:13:02 GMT -6
Man its like this stuff is just blowing up east and north now. As soon as it passed me, it just starts getting better organized. Lol
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 29, 2019 20:16:16 GMT -6
Meh... Edit: hopefully nobody takes my "Meh" as i wanted damage, detruction and lives lost.... 😉 I thought for a moment that snowman hacked your account. |
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Post by nascarfan999 on May 29, 2019 21:59:29 GMT -6
Play Gloria!
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