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Post by REB on Jun 1, 2019 10:36:37 GMT -6
What is the timing? I have DIRECTV and will be highly upset if its raining during the game. Get a ride to somewhere that’s showing the game. Car won’t get dinged and hopefully they won’t lose a signal. 👍 |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 1, 2019 10:44:02 GMT -6
Noon SPC update virtually identical to the 8AM update.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 1, 2019 11:34:51 GMT -6
Airmass becoming pretty unstable across W/Central MO with mid/upper 60s dewpoints and strong heating...front just north of KC up through IRK or so. So far there's not much CU developing though. It's going to be interesting to see how things trend today...the EC has almost nothing here while the NAM blows up storms like crazy across the region which is probably overdone like usual.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 1, 2019 12:34:30 GMT -6
HRRR continues to de-escalate the storms this eve. That's ok, there's a much more important storm happening inside Enterprise Center tonight!
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Post by Jeffmw on Jun 1, 2019 12:40:37 GMT -6
This is what the Fox2 Interactive Radar is showing around 9pm.  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 1, 2019 12:56:37 GMT -6
HRRR continues to de-escalate the storms this eve. That's ok, there's a much more important storm happening inside Enterprise Center tonight! I’d be completely fine with the storms tonight not happening. Going to an outdoor watch party and don’t want to deal with any rain |
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Post by tedrick65 on Jun 1, 2019 13:09:03 GMT -6
This is what the Fox2 Interactive Radar is showing around 9pm. If it was winter... I'd say that looks about right. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jun 1, 2019 13:09:43 GMT -6
This is what the Fox2 Interactive Radar is showing around 9pm. Looks like the classic GAP! Arch in full force tonight! Lol |
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Post by Jeffmw on Jun 1, 2019 14:09:43 GMT -6
When are a the next model updates?
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jun 1, 2019 14:15:08 GMT -6
18z 3k NAM has a mean cell in Lincoln co into Saint Charles co tonight. We shall see. Latest HRRR doesn't have much until south of STL.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 1, 2019 14:32:54 GMT -6
Thunderstorm watch just to the north and west of the metro until 11 PM
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 1, 2019 14:36:24 GMT -6
There’s some beefy CAPE out across Western Mo and Eastern Kansas that will try to advect this way. Already pretty unstable around here anyway
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 1, 2019 16:15:40 GMT -6
Here it comes!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 1, 2019 16:16:09 GMT -6
I would expect it to build more South and maybe a touch Southwest with time towards the higher instability
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Post by unclesam6 on Jun 1, 2019 16:29:15 GMT -6
Looks like spill over from the anvils in KS is creating a bit of a cap over central MO. I'm wondering if that's what's slowing our development here.
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Post by REB on Jun 1, 2019 16:29:30 GMT -6
Hanging plants are down and tender pots inside or up against house. I sure hope the hail stays away from here
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 1, 2019 16:32:13 GMT -6
Since KTVI is airing LPGA (with a scary lightning strike earlier in the afternoon, I might add) I went to Hive to catch their weather. They must have been having some sort of technical problem. Beginning at 5 PM they aired 15 straight minutes of commercials.
Guess it makes up for those times when there's breaking news or weather and they go for 15 minutes without a single commercial.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 1, 2019 16:34:10 GMT -6
Picture from my friend in KCMO taken about 430  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 1, 2019 16:47:07 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 1, 2019 16:52:58 GMT -6
The storms near Hannibal look like some nasty hailers. A bit of a fail by the HRRR again.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jun 1, 2019 16:56:30 GMT -6
Some rotation by Louisiana MO as well
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jun 1, 2019 17:15:00 GMT -6
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Post by RyanD on Jun 1, 2019 17:15:09 GMT -6
Sure looks to me like a tornado signature to me west of Nebo. No tornado warning on it yet though.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 1, 2019 17:15:45 GMT -6
DISCUSSION...Several supercells have developed in northwest flow
across portions of the Missouri Valley. Up to this point, storms
have been confined to the greater instability (KS/MO border), and
closer to the mid-level shortwave (NE MO and western IL). Storms
have tried to form along the cold front between these two clusters
but have struggled up to this point. Given we are past daytime
heating and the strongest forcing is moving away from this area,
storm coverage may remain quite sparse (as supported by the 21Z
HRRR). Where strong updrafts have developed, storms have quickly
taken on supercell structures, which is not surprising given around
70 knots of flow around 8km that is being sampled from the LSX and
EAX VWP. Expect these supercells to continue through the evening
with primarily a large hail threat, and eventual growth upscale and
increasing damaging wind threat (including the St. Louis metro
area).
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Post by RyanD on Jun 1, 2019 17:33:06 GMT -6
I'm shocked that cell isn't tornado warned. Last few frames it has recycled and looks to have a fairly strong signature to my novice eye.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 1, 2019 17:33:25 GMT -6
Supercell north of Elsberry showing sustained mid-level rotation...
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Post by RyanD on Jun 1, 2019 17:37:13 GMT -6
Supercell north of Elsberry showing sustained mid-level rotation... Can also see a notch in the radar. May be no tornado but have to think there's at least a rotating wall cloud. |
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jun 1, 2019 17:37:41 GMT -6
Looking for recommendations on either free or low cost radars to use with a desktop (website or software, no apps). I've used Weather Underground for years, but it seems they are discontinuing their Nexrad radars as they are not working more often that they are these days.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 1, 2019 17:38:06 GMT -6
VIL of 70 on that storm as well...possibly 2"+ hail.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 1, 2019 17:41:02 GMT -6
That’s a suspiciously strong couplet to not be tornado warned
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