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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 21, 2019 7:27:05 GMT -6
Thunderstorm Watch for entire area coming shortly.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 21, 2019 7:45:27 GMT -6
Any word on what the local corn-on-the-cob crop is going to be? If any, given the soggy fields. Have they even been able to plant? row crop Farmers are having a much harder time with the flooding and heavy rains there will be a big loss this year but the sweet corn will be in this week already had a shot of Arkansas sweet corn it was great! We had some from Dierbergs (don't know where it came from) last night. It was really good. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 21, 2019 7:46:06 GMT -6
I guess NWS expects it to crash south? Last few radar frames show some weakening. Also found it interesting that the southern edge of the line had some respectable rotation there for a bit.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 21, 2019 7:54:35 GMT -6
The storms out west of Warrenton, are moving Northeast. Almost perpendicular to the line coming. Is that indicative of some sheer or how the storm will eventually move as it nears STL?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 21, 2019 7:56:29 GMT -6
HRRR is lost right now
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 21, 2019 8:00:13 GMT -6
Sure is. Remember last summer when that complex came from Nebraska, then survived the hostile environment in Iowa and northern MO before finally taking the right turn and blowing up as it plowed through the area? HRRR was clueless until it was basically happening. That thing made it damn near to the Gulf Coast by the next morning. Most incredible shelf cloud I've ever seen as it backed up into Perryville from Illinois. Had some awesome pictures from that before my iPhone 7 crashed and I lost everything  . Speaking of shelf clouds, there should be a pretty good one with this. |
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savunma
Weather Weenie
Granite City
Posts: 72 
Snowfall Events: 11/16/14 - 1.5"
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Post by savunma on Jun 21, 2019 8:13:30 GMT -6
So is the first line gonna make it here or will it do the STL split?? Place your bets, place your bets....
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 21, 2019 8:15:38 GMT -6
It is showing some signs of weakening but the southeast motion is still evident. We may just get a nice shelf cloud with some remnant thundershowers, who knows.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jun 21, 2019 8:27:44 GMT -6
High and dry for tomorrow according to almost all guidance. Probably going to get mid 90s if things are close enough for storms to pull up warm air from the south. Heat Advisory may be necessary. Glad I got the lawn done tonight, this weekend looks like a Sauna.
Edit: I say that, but the NMM, WRF, and ARW clobber us as well as the RAP. Metro northeast still very much in the threat for now. Logically thinking even if the first round of storms is north it should draw a outflow boundary for secondary storm clusters to follow farther south. Gonna be interesting one way or another.
Doesn't feel like 90s brolio |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jun 21, 2019 8:30:59 GMT -6
I'm at work and I feel like crap with no energy.
If it rains we go home.
So yeah...
Is it goin to rain.
Hamptom/clayton rd
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 21, 2019 8:53:07 GMT -6
That second line is going to try to catch up to the lead line...could congeal into one big line like the 12z 3k Nam shows, albeit a bit sooner than the model would indicate. Fascinating things to watch from a weather perspective.
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Post by scmhack on Jun 21, 2019 8:55:45 GMT -6
That second line is going to try to catch up to the lead line...could congeal into one big line like the 12z 3k Nam shows, albeit a bit sooner than the model would indicate. Fascinating things to watch from a weather perspective. Thats a whole lot of rain about to dump into the Missouri. |
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Post by mosue56 on Jun 21, 2019 8:56:24 GMT -6
Get it all over and done with for people on the road! oh and the ball game!
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jun 21, 2019 8:57:32 GMT -6
I just want to see the bow echo flare out into a more smooth front edge and maintain it's red radar returns into the immediate metro.
A wild shelf cloud, lighting strikes, and blinding heavy rain will have me in bed resting my stomach by 1pm.
Otherwise I'm working till 430-5.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 21, 2019 9:01:40 GMT -6
All of Iowa is covered with pretty heavy rain. How much will that slow the fall of the major rivers?
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jun 21, 2019 9:20:17 GMT -6
Looking good.
Even a tornado warning now
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Post by cozpregon on Jun 21, 2019 9:36:52 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 21, 2019 9:49:24 GMT -6
Those are some wicked storms on the northern fringes of the viewing area. We will see what happens when line #2 catches the ! BACKSIDE ! end of the first line. May re-energize things.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 21, 2019 9:55:04 GMT -6
DISCUSSION...Organized MCS with bowing segment from western IL into
central MO north and west of St. Louis continues east southeast at
35-40 kt. The associated expansive cirrus shield is slowing boundary
layer warming downstream. Nevertheless, latest objective analysis
shows a reservoir of strong instability (3000-4000 J/kg MLCAPE) in
the warm sector from southeast KS through southern MO. Most likely
scenario is for storms to continue southeast along instability
gradient in vicinity of a warm front currently extending from near
St. Louis southeastward through middle TN. As the surface layer
continues to destabilize, some increase in intensity may occur this
afternoon. Damaging wind is expected to remain the primary threat.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 21, 2019 10:33:40 GMT -6
Looks like a series of small lines developing across the state heading this way before that next big line gets here. Will they help to stabilize the atmosphere?
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Post by Tilawn on Jun 21, 2019 10:42:29 GMT -6
   Just finished this account and took the opportunity to snap a few pics off to the W/NW of me. This is in middle of Washington MO. I may just end up being on the very southern edge of this one. So dark here now all street/parking lot lights are on. |
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Post by jmg378s on Jun 21, 2019 10:44:27 GMT -6
Those are some wicked storms on the northern fringes of the viewing area. We will see what happens when line #2 catches the ! BACKSIDE ! end of the first line. May re-energize things.
Yeah the northern part of the complex is better organized due to the orientation of the 3km shear vector pointing due east. Higher line normal shear promotes outflow restriction and stronger more upright convection.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 21, 2019 10:52:45 GMT -6
Sky is going dark green. Just getting first drops of rain. 30 mph winds
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Post by Tilawn on Jun 21, 2019 10:56:04 GMT -6
Never mind.......it’s pouring now
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mrbogs
Weather Weenie
Posts: 19
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Post by mrbogs on Jun 21, 2019 11:01:11 GMT -6
Haven't done this before....how do I post pictures from a cell phone?
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Post by jeepers on Jun 21, 2019 11:02:58 GMT -6
Big winds, now hearing some thunder
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Post by jkfriedmann on Jun 21, 2019 11:04:31 GMT -6
 At Eureka High School |
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 21, 2019 11:17:01 GMT -6
Haven't done this before....how do I post pictures from a cell phone? It's best to post them to an image hosting site first. I use imgur.com. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 21, 2019 11:19:04 GMT -6
Nothing too impressive here on Alton...a few 30mph gusts and heavy rain with occasional thunder...classic weakening as it approaches the river valley.
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Post by jeepers on Jun 21, 2019 11:19:15 GMT -6
Some pretty impressive tiny bursts of thunder, over a half an inch of rain
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