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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 22, 2019 20:33:43 GMT -6
The MS River was forecast to fall very steadily just a couple days ago. Now it is forecast to hold steady around 39 feet for another week or so, and I'm concerned about what the current storms are doing out to our west. This is greatly affecting several large industries along the river, barge traffic, and railcar traffic.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 22, 2019 20:40:13 GMT -6
The MS River was forecast to fall very steadily just a couple days ago. Now it is forecast to hold steady around 39 feet for another week or so, and I'm concerned about what the current storms are doing out to our west. This is greatly affecting several large industries along the river, barge traffic, and railcar traffic. As Chris pointed out several weeks ago very reminiscent of 1993. The rivers would drop off some. Then there's be a bunch more rain to the north and they'd go right back up again |
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Post by unclesam6 on Jun 22, 2019 21:11:32 GMT -6
That squall line is a precipitation monster.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jun 22, 2019 22:47:58 GMT -6
As a whole that line is almost stationary. Definitely not good for the Missouri River basin.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jun 22, 2019 23:59:53 GMT -6
The intense part of the line is definitely weakening. Not as much red returns. Or lightning. But rainfall is still holding strong. Not good for the flooding.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 23, 2019 5:28:24 GMT -6
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jun 23, 2019 6:52:27 GMT -6
Don’t look now. The Meremac is next
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 23, 2019 6:59:11 GMT -6
There really hasn't been that much rain in the Meramac basin yet. With what falls today i wouldnt really even expect flooding. maybe close.
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Jun 23, 2019 8:09:10 GMT -6
There really hasn't been that much rain in the Meramac basin yet. With what falls today i wouldnt really even expect flooding. maybe close. Pacific took a jump because of the Bourbeuse. Must have been a lot of rain upstream from you. Is there a good place to check rainfall totals? Is the "Storm Total" mode of the NWS radar anywhere close to accurate? |
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Post by Jeffmw on Jun 23, 2019 8:42:50 GMT -6
I know it’s a little ways out still but how does 4th of July look weather wise.
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Post by jmg378s on Jun 23, 2019 8:42:51 GMT -6
There really hasn't been that much rain in the Meramac basin yet. With what falls today i wouldnt really even expect flooding. maybe close. Pacific took a jump because of the Bourbeuse. Must have been a lot of rain upstream from you. Is there a good place to check rainfall totals? Is the "Storm Total" mode of the NWS radar anywhere close to accurate? |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 23, 2019 8:59:31 GMT -6
Wall 'O Water
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304 
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Post by padlur on Jun 23, 2019 9:12:01 GMT -6
That's a lot of water moving up from the SW...
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 23, 2019 9:44:47 GMT -6
That's a lot of water moving up from the SW... Luckily the deep convection looks to stay well to the S...for now. There's definitely potential for one last complex to develop this evening into tomorrow morning though, and the ground is pretty much saturated. |
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Post by amstilost on Jun 23, 2019 10:33:51 GMT -6
Actually the way it's coming up into Jefferson County and disappearing on radar makes me think of our snowstorms. Not complaining, after yesterday morning, we must have had at least two inches here. I am not complaining, just making an observation.😊
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 23, 2019 10:51:33 GMT -6
The outflow boundary from yesterday morning has remained ft. he effective boundary this morning and is clearing holding back the severe convection and creating an effective oclussion...with a triple point over southcentral MO. There is just a mess of boundaries and interactions out there which is like throwing a pile of rocks into a quiet pond....there are ripples bouncing off everything making any specific forecast for timing and even location of rain a crap shoot.
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jun 23, 2019 10:58:03 GMT -6
The outflow boundary from yesterday morning has remained ft. he effective boundary this morning and is clearing holding back the severe convection and creating an effective oclussion...with a triple point over southcentral MO. There is just a mess of boundaries and interactions out there which is like throwing a pile of rocks into a quiet pond....there are ripples bouncing off everything making any specific forecast for timing and even location of rain a crap shoot. So what you’re saying is no real way to tell when, how much or how little rain for metro with the next wave? |
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Post by scmhack on Jun 23, 2019 11:22:47 GMT -6
The outflow boundary from yesterday morning has remained ft. he effective boundary this morning and is clearing holding back the severe convection and creating an effective oclussion...with a triple point over southcentral MO. There is just a mess of boundaries and interactions out there which is like throwing a pile of rocks into a quiet pond....there are ripples bouncing off everything making any specific forecast for timing and even location of rain a crap shoot. So what you’re saying is no real way to tell when, how much or how little rain for metro with the next wave? Or if there will even be a wave |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 23, 2019 11:43:30 GMT -6
Definitely a chaotic pattern...
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jun 23, 2019 11:54:49 GMT -6
Looks like some pretty heavy rain coming up from the south and south west
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 23, 2019 11:57:36 GMT -6
The outflow boundary from yesterday morning has remained ft. he effective boundary this morning and is clearing holding back the severe convection and creating an effective oclussion...with a triple point over southcentral MO. There is just a mess of boundaries and interactions out there which is like throwing a pile of rocks into a quiet pond....there are ripples bouncing off everything making any specific forecast for timing and even location of rain a crap shoot. So what you’re saying is no real way to tell when, how much or how little rain for metro with the next wave? Best we can do is say showers and some storms are likely at times today...along with intervals of dry weather. When it rains...it pours...but some dry time for sure. Severe weather seems unlikely. That is the best we can offer. You cant always give people specific timing and IMBY forecasts. It is foolish to think we (I) can. Sometimes, when the features are less chaotic it can be more straight forward obviously... but this is just a sloshing bathtub right now. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 23, 2019 11:59:26 GMT -6
It is like playing baseball. Sometimes you have good games...other times you have to really fight through and gut it out (like now) You cant pitch a shutout in every game. Fortunately our winning percentage is still way over .500
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 23, 2019 12:09:55 GMT -6
Tremendous lightning here with pouring rain in Perryville with this batch out ahead of the main line. Wouldn't surprise me if the line went severe as it comes in.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 23, 2019 12:12:31 GMT -6
Tremendous lightning here with pouring rain in Perryville with this batch out ahead of the main line. Wouldn't surprise me if the line went severe as it comes in. Yeah that line is looking pretty frisky... |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 23, 2019 12:28:46 GMT -6
Screw the rain... beef short ribs and a small chuck roast smoking over a hickory fire... a few adult beverages and a few hours will do the trick! Two hours in!  |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jun 23, 2019 13:14:37 GMT -6
Screw the rain... beef short ribs and a small chuck roast smoking over a hickory fire... a few adult beverages and a few hours will do the trick! Two hours in! Looks fantastic! |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 23, 2019 13:19:41 GMT -6
Screw the rain... beef short ribs and a small chuck roast smoking over a hickory fire... a few adult beverages and a few hours will do the trick! Two hours in! Looks fantastic! Just took the off and added a braising liquid, covered and back on for an hour and a half or so. |
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Jeke
Junior Forecaster
Old Jamestown, MO
Posts: 320
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Post by Jeke on Jun 23, 2019 13:29:01 GMT -6
And the directions and time is???
Looks great!
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Post by Tilawn on Jun 23, 2019 13:33:02 GMT -6
Suns starting to come out here
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 23, 2019 13:42:27 GMT -6
Thunder...........
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