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Post by dmbstl on Aug 21, 2019 16:04:51 GMT -6
Flash flood watch is up for the area. Now that's an odd one. Especially since it's been dry.
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 21, 2019 16:10:29 GMT -6
Not everyone has been dry. Water table is still high to pro ably. And 2 to 4+ inches in short order will cause problems almost anytime.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 21, 2019 16:20:49 GMT -6
Dry as a bone here. Haven’t had meaningful rain in a long while. Obviously I don’t want 4 inches but I could use a bit.
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Post by mosue56 on Aug 21, 2019 16:39:37 GMT -6
The Meramec under 141 is really low again!
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Post by ajd446 on Aug 21, 2019 16:40:04 GMT -6
In st.charles county it wont take much to cause problems we.have had a decent rain every week
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 21, 2019 16:59:56 GMT -6
Saw this on Facebook. Accurate.
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Aug 21, 2019 18:12:00 GMT -6
The Battlehawks opinions seems like a strange name. Of course I meant what do you all think of the name they picked Battlehawks lol. Let’s eat, Grandma. Let’s eat Grandma.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Aug 21, 2019 18:16:21 GMT -6
I will be off air tomorrow to deal with a family emergency. My mother-in-law was in a bad wreck on I-64 today and is in the hospital. Lots of broken bones and bruises, but she is alive. I should be back Friday. Please keep my wife's family in your prayers.
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Post by mchafin on Aug 21, 2019 18:22:12 GMT -6
Sorry to hear that Chris.
As for weather tonight - HRRR keeps shifting the bigger rains south. 2-4 inches my foot.
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ilnois
Wishcaster
Columbia, IL
Posts: 123
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Post by ilnois on Aug 21, 2019 18:27:12 GMT -6
Sorry to hear that Chris. As for weather tonight - HRRR keeps shifting the bigger rains south. 2-4 inches my foot. 2-4 inches my foot? Where are you located?
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 21, 2019 18:32:00 GMT -6
I will be off air tomorrow to deal with a family emergency. My mother-in-law was in a bad wreck on I-64 today and is in the hospital. Lots of broken bones and bruises, but she is alive. I should be back Friday. Please keep my wife's family in your prayers. Sorry to hear this. Never good. You got my prayers
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Post by REB on Aug 21, 2019 18:45:14 GMT -6
Prayers for your entire family Chris
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Aug 21, 2019 19:02:38 GMT -6
Prayers headed her way Chris
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 21, 2019 19:13:18 GMT -6
Sorry to hear that Chris. Thoughts and prayers.
Radar is filling in now. No way to be missed tonight again...
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Post by mosue56 on Aug 21, 2019 19:21:40 GMT -6
Thunder coming, hearing low rumbles in Festus!
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Post by Jeffmw on Aug 21, 2019 19:21:53 GMT -6
Are these storms tonight going to be strong to severe or just heavy?
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Post by amstilost on Aug 21, 2019 19:30:00 GMT -6
Thoughts and prayers for your family Chris.
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Post by cozpregon on Aug 21, 2019 19:31:52 GMT -6
Prayers Chris Low level jet kicking in... developing quickly in this unstable air As of now... does look like metro south
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Post by mosue56 on Aug 21, 2019 19:36:29 GMT -6
The cards are catching up and then.... the rain will arrive!
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 21, 2019 19:36:34 GMT -6
Yea looks like a rainy stormy night ahead down in these parts.
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lunchladyd
Junior Forecaster
On the Troy -Silex, Mo. line
Posts: 399
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Post by lunchladyd on Aug 21, 2019 19:37:43 GMT -6
That's terrible Chris. We will be praying!
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 21, 2019 19:37:53 GMT -6
Seems like that big area to our south is building north and those echoes coming down the 70 corridor will merge...yeah i think 2 to 4 is a good bet.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 21, 2019 19:43:43 GMT -6
Thunder in Dardenne Prairie too.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 21, 2019 19:59:22 GMT -6
Im recalling in 1993 predictions of a snowy winter following a very wet year. The top 5 wettest are 2015, 2008, 1982, 1993, 1984. Interesting to note the winters following those top 5 precipitation years yielded well below normal snow. That, of course does not reflect weather patterns. Just a comparison of snow the following winter after a top 5 amount of precip. I think i have been seeing some internet chatter about high amounts of precip and whether or not it points to more snow. In all 5 cases, snow was well below normal.
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Post by mchafin on Aug 21, 2019 20:00:50 GMT -6
Looks like I was wrong. Things have escalated.
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Post by eurekakim on Aug 21, 2019 20:11:03 GMT -6
Prayers coming to her and to all of you Chris.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 21, 2019 20:11:19 GMT -6
Well so far I’ve managed not to get a drop still.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 21, 2019 20:27:19 GMT -6
I definitely want to take a closer look at precip to snow correlations but i also notice the following winter is not only below normal in snow, but above normal in precip for the months nov to march. 2015 we had over 11 inches in december. I dont mind not getting snow if its sunny and mild...i dont like rainy winters. Of course as i mentioned this is just stats. Havent even begun looking at teleconnections and phases. I did extend my analysis out to top 10, and the relationship starts is still strong but there were 2 winters above avg snow. Not a prediction for this winter at all.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 21, 2019 20:33:09 GMT -6
Of course keep in mind theres the double dip effect in those numbers. But even if you back out 11 inches in december, that year still saw 50 inches of other rain.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 21, 2019 20:44:01 GMT -6
Seeing a ton of lightning to my south. Not sure if this will blow up this way. It doesn't look like it currently.
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