|
|
Post by landscaper on Dec 14, 2019 18:30:45 GMT -6
Has anyone seen what the 18z EURO looks like ? Just curious
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 14, 2019 18:34:12 GMT -6
I keep trying to will it further south but I think I need to wave the white flag.
|
|
|
|
Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 14, 2019 18:38:19 GMT -6
I keep trying to will it further south but I think I need to wave the white flag. If anyone deserves a nice surprise this week it’s you..... it’s happened before |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 14, 2019 18:40:12 GMT -6
Has anyone seen what the 18z EURO looks like ? Just curious Holding course. Max band in the 44/70 corridor |
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 14, 2019 18:41:10 GMT -6
I keep trying to will it further south but I think I need to wave the white flag. If anyone deserves a nice surprise this week it’s you..... it’s happened before Yea, it has. It would take a lot though. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Dec 14, 2019 18:45:01 GMT -6
someone move the snow machines from hidden valley to stg's house..stat!
|
|
giarC71
Wishcaster
Posts: 220 
Snowfall Events: Blizzard of'82 I became addicted to weather
|
Post by giarC71 on Dec 14, 2019 18:47:22 GMT -6
Has anyone seen what the 18z EURO looks like ? Just curious Holding course. Max band in the 44/70 corridor With the Max band would you say totals are higher than 2-4 inches that is predicted? |
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Dec 14, 2019 19:30:02 GMT -6
the 0z HRRR is pretty bonkers thru just 4pm tomorrow
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 14, 2019 19:35:31 GMT -6
Ya good stripe of snow 4-5 inches thru hr 25 along I-44 per 0z Hrrr
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 14, 2019 19:37:14 GMT -6
HRRR is the Belleville Slam... Lock it in!
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 14, 2019 19:45:02 GMT -6
Fravo-meter is just getting warmed up tonight. Wait until 0z NAM and GFS come in. Are we lucky enough to get a KABOOM tonight?
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Dec 14, 2019 19:46:09 GMT -6
Im thinking metro stlouis along 70 and 30 35 miles either side is a slam dunk.
|
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 14, 2019 19:48:01 GMT -6
The HRRR and RAP look great.
But damn they are super sharp with the cut off from 4-6" to nothing.
Like 30 miles between the two along the SOUTHERN EDGE
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Dec 14, 2019 19:51:57 GMT -6
00z nam looks like it's about to go super saiyan.
|
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 14, 2019 19:58:48 GMT -6
The NAM has almost no accumulating snow South of I70 with wave one
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Dec 14, 2019 19:59:45 GMT -6
Nam is awesome for st.charles.county
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Dec 14, 2019 20:00:38 GMT -6
Sharp cut off in st.Louis county though between heavy snow and heavy ice
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Dec 14, 2019 20:03:42 GMT -6
Nam is usually a north bias. So i think it is perfect for the metro
|
|
|
|
Post by ndolan387 on Dec 14, 2019 20:07:41 GMT -6
It's going to be interesting to see where the sleet/snow line sets up a usual with wave one haha. I think the 00z HRRR seems to be doing a good job with the placement of that line. Originally (yesterday), I thought sleet would be an issue in the immediate metro (more in line with the 00z NAM). IR looks to be a given though as the lower level WAA warms 700mb down to 850mb more and the tail end of wave 1 swings through our area. Due to all this unpredictability, this is why I fell in love with wx I believe back when I was a little boy.
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 14, 2019 20:09:55 GMT -6
3KM NAM looks like it'll be fine though...
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 14, 2019 20:11:28 GMT -6
Well St. Clair county gets zip wave one wise, but Madison county gets 6-10... Go figure.
|
|
|
|
Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Dec 14, 2019 20:14:24 GMT -6
The HRRR and RAP look great. But damn they are super sharp with the cut off from 4-6" to nothing. Like 30 miles between the two along the SOUTHERN EDGE That will be at my house I bet. Always seem to be on the edge. The lower side of the edge that is. |
|
|
|
Post by bdgwx on Dec 14, 2019 20:15:28 GMT -6
21Z SREF looks good. It shows a mean of 5" of snow and 1.0" QPF. It looks like snowfall probabilities are maximized along I-70.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Dec 14, 2019 20:22:04 GMT -6
wave two coming in a bit sheared out, but still looks good for I-44 up into STL for an additional 1-3"... just one model. We'll see if our friends follow suit.
|
|
|
|
Post by bdgwx on Dec 14, 2019 20:28:13 GMT -6
18Z HRRRv4 out to 48 hours looks great too. Still waiting for the 0Z cycle to fully roll in, but based on a sneak peak I saw I believe it may jackpot Union and Arnold.
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Dec 14, 2019 20:29:26 GMT -6
I think for once metro st.louis is the bullseye
|
|
|
|
Post by ndolan387 on Dec 14, 2019 20:36:02 GMT -6
Freezing rain/drizzle will happen between wave 1 and 2 as we know. But overall there looks to be around 12ish hrs between wave 1's snow and wave 2's snow. That's me assuming we get mostly all snow with both waves and don't have problems with sleet. To assume makes an ! BACKSIDE ! OUT OF U AND ME haha.
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 14, 2019 20:36:08 GMT -6
ARW, NMM, WRF all cooking up something epic for the metro.
|
|
|
|
Post by MakeitRain on Dec 14, 2019 20:58:28 GMT -6
I think for once metro st.louis is the bullseye Calm it down folks. Lots of questions. |
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 14, 2019 20:59:20 GMT -6
ARW, NMM, WRF all cooking up something epic for the metro. Ugh the nam is concerning. The one thing I'll say is the NAM is right back to it's insane LLJ. |
|
