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Post by Tilawn on Jan 20, 2020 21:29:31 GMT -6
A friend of mine just told me Washington Schools are closed tomorrow. I didn’t realize roads were that bad. There are several highways north of the river that are still closed Every large hill in southern warren county is closed due to accidents and slick conditions |
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Post by tedrick65 on Jan 20, 2020 21:44:36 GMT -6
There are several highways north of the river that are still closed Every large hill in southern warren county is closed due to accidents and slick conditions Northwest may have a bad surprise if they don't pull the plug on tomorrow. No way that a school bus makes it into and out of my subdivision safely tomorrow morning. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 20, 2020 21:46:12 GMT -6
Yep all the schools out here are closed tomorrow now. Roads are pretty bad right now. Amazing how an inch of snow and cause so many problems. We went out to eat tonight lol. Just got know how to drive.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 20, 2020 21:47:09 GMT -6
"The big 3" out here are closed tomorrow..Union, Washington and St Clair. Along with Pacific, New Haven and several others.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 20, 2020 21:52:31 GMT -6
Already starting to get a not so good feeling that this thing will end up north.
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sullivanjohn
Wishcaster
Sullivan, MO
Posts: 141 
Snowfall Events: Code Monkey
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Post by sullivanjohn on Jan 20, 2020 21:53:27 GMT -6
"The big 3" out here are closed tomorrow..Union, Washington and St Clair. Along with Pacific, New Haven and several others. Figured Sullivan would make your top 3 over St Clair...see how ya are? 😁 |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 20, 2020 21:54:03 GMT -6
gfs lol
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 20, 2020 21:56:00 GMT -6
hope no one had hopes for good runs tonight, lmao
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Post by amstilost on Jan 20, 2020 21:57:14 GMT -6
Already starting to get a not so good feeling that this thing will end up north. Quit looking at the GFS.... Looks a little stronger and further north. The High over Canada appears weaker and a little further north and east, |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 20, 2020 21:58:30 GMT -6
the 500, 850 and 700 all north on this run, after good placement earlier
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 20, 2020 21:59:37 GMT -6
I heard MODOT had an issue of getting drivers in today due to it being a paid holiday today.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 20, 2020 22:00:07 GMT -6
Models took a huge step back tonight pretty much back to the solution a couple days ago or even a bit warmer. While one model cycle isn't the end all be all the fact that most of the models have almost all pulled back on snow and introducing warming temps isn't a good sign. GEM is going to be make or break. If it caves then this could be over before it even starts. Then again it could just be a fluke and we'll see a return to a more southern solution and colder one.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2020 22:02:11 GMT -6
It is absolutely determined to keep this a 33 degree rain |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 20, 2020 22:02:32 GMT -6
jesus
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2020 22:03:16 GMT -6
Models took a huge step back tonight pretty much back to the solution a couple days ago or even a bit warmer. While one model cycle isn't the end all be all the fact that most of the models have almost all pulled back on snow and introducing warming temps isn't a good sign. GEM is going to be make or break. If it caves then this could be over before it even starts. Then again it could just be a fluke and we'll see a return to a more southern solution and colder one. How is it make or break but could also be a fluke. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2020 22:03:25 GMT -6
The operational GFS run has been wonky with this storm from the beginning. The GEFS will be much more telling
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2020 22:05:16 GMT -6
The operational GFS run has been wonky with this storm from the beginning. The GEFS will be much more telling Gfs has been wonky for years. It has its moments, though. |
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Post by amstilost on Jan 20, 2020 22:05:19 GMT -6
Looks like a 200/250 mile 'jog' north, rough estimate....although, chances are with that big storm just out in the Atlantic, this storm won't jump/redevelop into a Nor'easter.
Edit: Could be wrong
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Post by amstilost on Jan 20, 2020 22:12:12 GMT -6
Apparently, I was wrong  ....but the amazing thing is, the huge difference between 0Z and 18Z at 84hr. At Hr120 the secondary lows are in almost the exact placements between the 2 runs. |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 20, 2020 22:20:30 GMT -6
When the Euro/Gem/Euro Ensembles/GEFS/ Ukmet all go way north I will get concerned. The icon and gfs do not not very strong track record’s lately.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 20, 2020 22:25:52 GMT -6
My favorite part of storm expectations. Discount the have nots.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 20, 2020 22:28:14 GMT -6
My favorite part of storm expectations. Discount the have nots. Lol right? I’ve been caught up in the digital snow porn potential and need to realize that setup is nearly impossible. We are likely to see reality soon and this may be the beginning. Again just my opinion but it’s a gut feeling that is rarely wrong. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2020 22:36:40 GMT -6
Canadian is still beefy
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 20, 2020 22:38:02 GMT -6
It’s pretty sad that with storm after storm in January we can’t get a decent snow...... I miss old fashioned winters around here
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 20, 2020 22:45:44 GMT -6
00z ukmet looks good, probably still east based but nothing like the gfs
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 20, 2020 22:53:48 GMT -6
00z gfs ensemble mean certainly favors Iowa, northern Illinois, and Wisconsin
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2020 22:55:39 GMT -6
00z ukmet looks good, probably still east based but nothing like the gfs Thats a huge improvement from previous runs |
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 20, 2020 23:12:20 GMT -6
SNOWSTORM920**
hell of a call on today's storm. You had it dead to rights.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 20, 2020 23:15:25 GMT -6
That clipper energy Monday has sneaky written all over it. The atmosphere is going to be very cold so it won't take much moisture to kick off some accumulating snow. Snow liquid ratios will be sky-high if anything falls  the post in question... nice job |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 20, 2020 23:25:05 GMT -6
Whats the mean on the gefs for here. Im on mobile.
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....but the amazing thing is, the huge difference between 0Z and 18Z at 84hr. At Hr120 the secondary lows are in almost the exact placements between the 2 runs.
