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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Mar 18, 2020 20:27:28 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 18, 2020 21:12:44 GMT -6
May as well bring on the locusts! |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 18, 2020 21:25:30 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 18, 2020 21:42:34 GMT -6
There actually has been a massive locust explosion in east Africa that is feared to cause major food shortages. Worst in decades.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 18, 2020 21:43:19 GMT -6
This is right out of a Dan Brown novel... |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 18, 2020 21:43:53 GMT -6
There actually has been a massive locust explosion in east Africa that is feared to cause major food shortages. Worst in decades. ...and there it is. |
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Post by jmg378s on Mar 18, 2020 21:52:58 GMT -6
GFS is very stingy with afternoon convection in MO. Focus is much further to the southeast. Socked in with clouds all day.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 18, 2020 22:00:00 GMT -6
GFS is very stingy with afternoon convection in MO. Focus is much further to the southeast. Socked in with clouds all day. Meanwhile, the latest HRRR shows 2000j/kg+ SBCAPE and fires supercells across W/central MO by mid-day. It does seem overblown with Tds though, with widespread 65*+ across the Bi-state. Lots of mixed signals with this one. These setups are always tricky with the subtle forcing but prime wind shear and potential instability in the warm sector. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 18, 2020 23:28:04 GMT -6
GFS is very stingy with afternoon convection in MO. Focus is much further to the southeast. Socked in with clouds all day. Meanwhile, the latest HRRR shows 2000j/kg+ SBCAPE and fires supercells across W/central MO by mid-day. It does seem overblown with Tds though, with widespread 65*+ across the Bi-state. Lots of mixed signals with this one. These setups are always tricky with the subtle forcing but prime wind shear and potential instability in the warm sector. More times than not with these conditional setups not a lot happens. I think a lot will depend how quick the convection this morning gets out of the picture |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 19, 2020 1:14:39 GMT -6
There actually has been a massive locust explosion in east Africa that is feared to cause major food shortages. Worst in decades. You beat me to it.  Here's the article |
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 19, 2020 3:28:32 GMT -6
Here comes the morning rain and storms. Gonna be a soaker for a few hours. Gross. I'm so sick of rain. Blah.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 19, 2020 4:32:26 GMT -6
Tough call for redevelopment this afternoon. Im calling for spotty, but strong, redevelopment mid to late afternoon into this evening... with main area of concern south and southeast of STL.
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Post by Tilawn on Mar 19, 2020 4:51:55 GMT -6
We have spent the week at the camper this week due to not being able to work from rain etc. it is quite loud here now with the thunder as the storms roll in from the SW. (callaway county)
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Post by maddogchief on Mar 19, 2020 5:40:50 GMT -6
We have spent the week at the camper this week due to not being able to work from rain etc. it is quite loud here now with the thunder as the storms roll in from the SW. (callaway county) A week in a camper sounds awesome right now. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 19, 2020 5:46:16 GMT -6
The fog this morning over on the east side of the river was oatmeal thick! I have a feeling the enhanced area on the SPC guidance from overnight may be either completely cut or moved further south and east with the next update. The area to our North shouldn't change much though.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 19, 2020 5:47:35 GMT -6
Just rain here. No thunder or lightning.
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Post by Tilawn on Mar 19, 2020 6:31:58 GMT -6
We have spent the week at the camper this week due to not being able to work from rain etc. it is quite loud here now with the thunder as the storms roll in from the SW. (callaway county) A week in a camper sounds awesome right now. It has been!! |
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Post by Tilawn on Mar 19, 2020 6:32:43 GMT -6
Pretty heavy rain here since it started. Gauge looks like right at an inch so far and still coming down.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 19, 2020 7:09:53 GMT -6
Going to be tough for the airmass to recover...rain socked in all the way back towards Joplin.
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Post by scmhack on Mar 19, 2020 7:11:21 GMT -6
Going to be tough for the airmass to recover...rain socked in all the way back towards Joplin. Don't taunt missouri |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 19, 2020 7:13:28 GMT -6
Well, they kept the enhanced risk area, though moved slightly SE.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 19, 2020 7:21:36 GMT -6
Going to be tough for the airmass to recover...rain socked in all the way back towards Joplin. Don't taunt missouri Missouri - "hold my beer" |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 19, 2020 7:36:37 GMT -6
Going to be tough for the airmass to recover...rain socked in all the way back towards Joplin. HRRR still develops the strong batch SE of I-44 this afternoon/evening but I agree with you. This is a bigger general area of rain and storms than expected and there won't be a lot of time/space for things to recover. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 19, 2020 7:53:05 GMT -6
Going to be tough for the airmass to recover...rain socked in all the way back towards Joplin. Yes... for sure. Definitely not a slam dunk. |
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Post by Tilawn on Mar 19, 2020 9:49:24 GMT -6
Missouri - "hold my beer" Don’t you mean “corona”? |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 19, 2020 10:15:10 GMT -6
Don't see much opportunity for severe weather in the metro today. Southern counties need to stay on alert
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Post by perryville on Mar 19, 2020 10:35:26 GMT -6
Don't see much opportunity for severe weather in the metro today. Southern counties need to stay on alert I see a swath of rain southwest of Jonesboro, Arkansas. We expect some clearing after that and refire this afternoon? |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 19, 2020 10:44:45 GMT -6
Looks like the SPC nudged the enhanced risk back NW to include the SE metro
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 19, 2020 10:56:24 GMT -6
Don't see much opportunity for severe weather in the metro today. Southern counties need to stay on alert I see a swath of rain southwest of Jonesboro, Arkansas. We expect some clearing after that and refire this afternoon? Doubt we see much clearing, but looks like storms will continue to develop in S and SW Mo today |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 19, 2020 11:04:55 GMT -6
Don't see much opportunity for severe weather in the metro today. Southern counties need to stay on alert We can't even hardly muster any thunder so far...let alone severe storms. |
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