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Post by cozpregon on Jul 21, 2020 10:26:23 GMT -6
See the shortwave wrapping up across Eastern KS... ML Capes are already 2000+ along and south of 44.  |
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jul 21, 2020 10:28:13 GMT -6
See the shortwave wrapping up across Eastern KS... ML Capes are already 2000+ along and south of 44. Joy |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 21, 2020 10:39:43 GMT -6
Good call Coz  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 21, 2020 10:52:16 GMT -6
Definitely strong instability building along and S of that remnant boundary with 3000j/kg+ CAPE...25-30kts of bulk shear will support a wind and hail threat.
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Post by cozpregon on Jul 21, 2020 10:53:11 GMT -6
CU getting agitated across the Ozarks  |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 21, 2020 11:04:14 GMT -6
Definitely strong instability building along and S of that remnant boundary with 3000j/kg+ CAPE...25-30kts of bulk shear will support a wind and hail threat. It is quite muggy out there. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 21, 2020 11:29:23 GMT -6
Small storms are popping quick to the SW
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 21, 2020 12:50:34 GMT -6
 DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have developed over the last hour along an outflow boundary left behind by morning convection. Strong heating along/south of the boundary has allowed temperatures to warm into the 80s to near 90 degrees amid mid 70s dewpoints. This has resulted in moderate to strong destabilization to the south of the outflow boundary. Additional storms related to a decaying MCV have re-intensified across east-central MO as well. All of this activity is occurring on the southern fringes of stronger effective shear, though 25-30 kt effective shear should be adequate for at least briefly-organized and intense cells. Some uncertainty exists regarding the extent of the severe threat across the region into the afternoon and early evening hours as storms track generally eastward. The downstream airmass has been impacted by earlier convection associated with a bowing segment now tracking into central IN. This could be of some detriment to the longevity of organized convection across IL depending on how much airmass recovery occur. Nevertheless, at least a few strong storms capable of locally damaging winds will be possible. Convective trends will be monitored for a possible watch issuance this afternoon. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 21, 2020 12:54:53 GMT -6
I'm getting thunder but no rain so far.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jul 21, 2020 13:10:20 GMT -6
looking like a pretty decent microburst sig on the svr cell on TSTL
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 21, 2020 13:16:27 GMT -6
looking like a pretty decent microburst sig on the svr cell on TSTL Saw that too. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 21, 2020 13:20:12 GMT -6
Yuck!  |
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Post by mosue56 on Jul 21, 2020 13:22:06 GMT -6
Anyone ready for fall yet?
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 21, 2020 13:26:46 GMT -6
What tilt do you guys usually use on radar scope?
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 21, 2020 13:33:58 GMT -6
Wife reported small hail for a few minutes at Jungermann and Willott in St.Peters
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 21, 2020 13:48:11 GMT -6
What tilt do you guys usually use on radar scope? Tilt 1. That shows you the lowest possible data from the storm |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 21, 2020 13:52:05 GMT -6
That’s what I use too but they issued that thunderstorm warning for this little cell and I couldn’t for the life of me find the winds or hail sigs they mentioned.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 21, 2020 13:59:32 GMT -6
VIL suggesting ping pong hail moving into Alton area...
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Post by Tilawn on Jul 21, 2020 14:03:29 GMT -6
Yuck! Same one I have. Sometimes when it resets at midnight it doesn’t record the next day tho. Does yours do this also sometimes? |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 21, 2020 14:03:59 GMT -6
VIL suggesting ping pong hail moving into Alton area... Surprised a watch hasn’t gone up yet. These storms seem to be going severe pretty quick |
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Post by cozpregon on Jul 21, 2020 14:17:42 GMT -6
Shortwave still hanging well back into KS still... storm threat looks to persist well into tonight.  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 21, 2020 14:23:01 GMT -6
VIL suggesting ping pong hail moving into Alton area... Surprised a watch hasn’t gone up yet. These storms seem to be going severe pretty quick "Isolated severe"  |
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Jul 21, 2020 14:37:24 GMT -6
Looking due east  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 21, 2020 14:52:04 GMT -6
Lead supercell just N of SPI rotating with a well-defined inflow notch...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 21, 2020 15:09:01 GMT -6
Lead supercell just N of SPI rotating with a well-defined inflow notch...  |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 21, 2020 15:10:26 GMT -6
Yuck! Same one I have. Sometimes when it resets at midnight it doesn’t record the next day tho. Does yours do this also sometimes? Not that I've noticed. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 21, 2020 15:19:27 GMT -6
Lead supercell just N of SPI rotating with a well-defined inflow notch... Warned now EDIT: Cell south is warned. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 21, 2020 15:21:22 GMT -6
Two knotches, two rotations.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 21, 2020 15:59:53 GMT -6
Sunny here. Been dry today.
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Post by birddog on Jul 21, 2020 16:34:12 GMT -6
Got dry slotted. Did get the cloud cover and rain cooled breeze minus the rain though. Take what you can get I guess.
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