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Post by landscaper on Dec 12, 2020 22:06:53 GMT -6
Not a lot of love on any of the models, we might be waiting a long time for some snow
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 12, 2020 22:08:24 GMT -6
If it makes you feel better, the 00z gfs shafts NYC pretty good I'll assume this is a joke  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 12, 2020 22:20:39 GMT -6
If it makes you feel better, the 00z gfs shafts NYC pretty good I'll assume this is a joke I’m eyeballing like a foot this run. Nothing to write home about |
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 12, 2020 22:24:21 GMT -6
I'll assume this is a joke I’m eyeballing like a foot this run. Nothing to write home about Mixing precip types could be an issue in NYC. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 12, 2020 22:25:27 GMT -6
2020 being 2020 again. No Snow for u until after New Year's. year started lame, might as well end lame cause 2021 isn't going to be much better at least out of the starting gates.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 12, 2020 22:28:57 GMT -6
Long term there's still subtle hints of a pattern shift as we move through January however the signal is more mixed now than it was a couple days ago. Not saying January will be a complete dud but it's looking a bit less favorable then previously thought. Going forward our best bet for any substantial winter weather, i.e. snow, arctic outbreaks, ice, etc will be late February into March with the potential SSW that some of the longer range models are hinting at but if that fails than we can chalk this one up as our 2011-2012 winter of the decade with the hopes that things will look up as we move through the mid 2020s.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 12, 2020 22:30:05 GMT -6
Final call, NY Central park 14, La Guardia 12, Boston 15  |
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 12, 2020 22:32:45 GMT -6
Long term there's still subtle hints of a pattern shift as we move through January however the signal is more mixed now than it was a couple days ago. Not saying January will be a complete dud but it's looking a bit less favorable then previously thought. Going forward our best bet for any substantial winter weather, i.e. snow, arctic outbreaks, ice, etc will be late February into March with the potential SSW that some of the longer range models are hinting at but if that fails than we can chalk this one up as our 2011-2012 winter of the decade with the hopes that things will look up as we move through the mid 2020s. That's a bold prediction with it only being Dec 12th haha |
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Post by bdgwx on Dec 12, 2020 22:33:52 GMT -6
I wonder what it's like to be pissed off that you only got 12" where you were expecting 24".
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 12, 2020 22:38:04 GMT -6
Long term there's still subtle hints of a pattern shift as we move through January however the signal is more mixed now than it was a couple days ago. Not saying January will be a complete dud but it's looking a bit less favorable then previously thought. Going forward our best bet for any substantial winter weather, i.e. snow, arctic outbreaks, ice, etc will be late February into March with the potential SSW that some of the longer range models are hinting at but if that fails than we can chalk this one up as our 2011-2012 winter of the decade with the hopes that things will look up as we move through the mid 2020s. That's a bold prediction with it only being Dec 12th haha Bwx has predicted years into the future. This is pretty tame. I expect a follow up detailing our scorching summer starting in March |
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 12, 2020 22:42:09 GMT -6
That's a bold prediction with it only being Dec 12th haha Bwx has predicted years into the future. This is pretty tame. I expect a follow up detailing our scorching summer starting in March Good point, that's true haha |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 12, 2020 22:45:16 GMT -6
00z Icon looks solid Tuesday night
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 12, 2020 23:13:49 GMT -6
0Z and 18Z GFS are worlds apart in the long range with the 18Z dumping a PV into the Northeast and eastern Great Lakes, and the 0Z having the 'dome' of the century (O.K. That's a huge overstatement) that swallows the entire lower 48 or at least a very good chunk of it, but it is of late Spring/Summer Caliber. Geez I'd take the dome any day, at least you know what's your gonna get and not get bought into the teases.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 12, 2020 23:14:43 GMT -6
It’s like Missouri has a snow force field on the GEM
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 12, 2020 23:16:22 GMT -6
That's a bold prediction with it only being Dec 12th haha Bwx has predicted years into the future. This is pretty tame. I expect a follow up detailing our scorching summer starting in March That's unclear. Spring will decide that. But there is always a 100% chance of sunglasses and muscle shirts... They even have ones with hoods now. So I can still has 'hoodie'!  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 12, 2020 23:16:34 GMT -6
It’s like Missouri has a snow force field on the GEM Saw that. Amazing. |
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 12, 2020 23:35:09 GMT -6
Honestly I truly felt a 2011 2012 winter was most likely. I said that from the beginning. Maybe we could at least get a record for least snowy winter lol
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 12, 2020 23:56:33 GMT -6
Ugh ya, gfs is so bad. Dang, I really hope we get a surprise winter storm around Christmas week or New Yrs.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 13, 2020 0:44:10 GMT -6
HRRR continues to look good for the southerners tomorrow at least.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 13, 2020 1:09:13 GMT -6
/photo/1
This just makes me mad lol
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 13, 2020 1:12:35 GMT -6
Euro is so close... just need the low to close off a little sooner.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 13, 2020 3:00:01 GMT -6
While it is frustrating (though at the same time a nice treat for them) to see the panhandle and across the state of OK/ NW AR to see a substantial amount of snow before STL does...it doesn't annoy me near as much as if areas straight south and especially southeast of us (TN, AL, S KY, GA) get the goods. That's when I feel we really get screwed. Lol.
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Post by scmhack on Dec 13, 2020 4:56:16 GMT -6
While it is frustrating (though at the same time a nice treat for them) to see the panhandle and across the state of OK/ NW AR to see a substantial amount of snow before STL does...it doesn't annoy me near as much as if areas straight south and especially southeast of us (TN, AL, S KY, GA) get the goods. That's when I feel we really get screwed. Lol. And with the aquifer draining so rapidly out there, any water they get is super needed. Snow me is sad, environmental me is happy. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 13, 2020 7:15:48 GMT -6
Looks like OKC is getting railed by TSSN this morning...must be nice!
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Post by toddatfarmington on Dec 13, 2020 7:23:12 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 13, 2020 7:42:03 GMT -6
Well, it looks like pretty much every single model shows a non-event next week...the feed of dry low-level air and transfer of energy pretty well screws the Bi-State over for any significant snow chances.
If this stretch of weather doesn't prove that this area is a complete and utter snow hole, I don't know what will.
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 13, 2020 8:36:12 GMT -6
Yes chances of snow are gone. Im guessing we wait another 5 to 7 weeks
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 13, 2020 9:19:30 GMT -6
LOL
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 13, 2020 9:29:37 GMT -6
Hard to imagine a radar presentation like the current one that doesn’t translate to accumulating snow from Farmington/STG points south but here we are. Maybe it’ll bump just enough to get me in pville.
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Post by snowday_lover on Dec 13, 2020 9:39:18 GMT -6
So is it looking like a no go today for Iron County???
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