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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 14, 2020 15:21:13 GMT -6
amarillo tx has had 11.5 inches of snow, 7 inches above normal. due north, bismark, nd checks in with 4.9, which is nearly 10 inches below normal. definitely a southern pattern in play here. wldnt surprise me if memphis gets action eventually with this pattern. The exact opposite of what folks were thinking in a Nina pattern... we'll see if it persists into J F M... |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 14, 2020 15:57:25 GMT -6
Ok city wwa for 2 to 3 inches on top of 3 to 4 from yesterday. Whatever. Oh and the ice storm a while back.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 14, 2020 16:15:56 GMT -6
18z hrrrrrrr drops an inch in the metro 12z HRRR was more robust on snow accumulation than the 18z HRRR. It's going to be interesting if models go poof, hold course or beef up the potential on the 00z suite. |
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Post by amstilost on Dec 14, 2020 16:50:05 GMT -6
Total snowfall map wise the 18-GFS and 18-3km Nam could be another candidate for a Corner T-Shirt. The 18-12km Nam gives us a little love. Hopefully, we see meteors tonight and snow tomorrow night.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 14, 2020 20:06:11 GMT -6
NAM hinting at some enhanced banding tomorrow night.
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Post by landscaper on Dec 14, 2020 20:06:12 GMT -6
NAM coming in now looks great so far , nice shield of light snow for the area tomorrow night. It looks like the best run yet. I think the meso models will continue to out perform the globals on this storm
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 14, 2020 20:13:55 GMT -6
Remember lots of dry air to overcome. Nam always overdoes precip. I take it as showi g some snow showers and flurries. Maybe a very light dusting. It it and other hires models show it ievery run thru tomorrow afternoon, it may be good.
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Post by landscaper on Dec 14, 2020 20:16:55 GMT -6
Yea dry air or not it’s definitely shows way more than flurries. I still think this is 1” or less for everyone, with most only getting 1/2” . But as others pointed out 1/2” of partially melted and refrozen snow could definitely make for some slick roads on Wednesday morning if it does end up snowing.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 14, 2020 20:54:14 GMT -6
0Z NAM follows suit with the 18Z. 21Z RAP looking good too. Maybe we can sneak out something afterall? Sure nothing to write home about, but odds of at least seeing some snow maybe even a brief period of moderate snow is there right along I-44/I-55.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 14, 2020 21:50:51 GMT -6
I guess everyone is super excited for our chance at a slight dusting.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 14, 2020 22:16:03 GMT -6
I’m always excited when flakes may fall
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 14, 2020 22:24:33 GMT -6
I guess everyone is super excited for our chance at a slight dusting. I got the heavy duty broom ready in case things get serious |
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 14, 2020 22:27:13 GMT -6
The 00z HRRR has been frozen. It stops on both Tropical Tibits and COD MET.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 14, 2020 23:12:44 GMT -6
I guess everyone is super excited for our chance at a slight dusting. Yeah its not looking very good for anything. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 15, 2020 0:36:11 GMT -6
Glenn is talking about something significant on Dec 24.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 15, 2020 1:22:47 GMT -6
lol rain maybe
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Post by weatherj on Dec 15, 2020 1:33:33 GMT -6
Areas south and east of St. Louis yes, but not from Union and areas west and north.  |
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 15, 2020 3:14:10 GMT -6
06 suit looks decent but this looks and reminds me of the 100 systems that we will and will and just end up with a good dusting.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 15, 2020 6:03:58 GMT -6
06 suit looks decent but this looks and reminds me of the 100 systems that we will and will and just end up with a good dusting. It's a crapshoot with the dry air...if it's overwhelmed early we could get an inch or two...if not, we could get almost nothing. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 15, 2020 7:30:11 GMT -6
06 suit looks decent but this looks and reminds me of the 100 systems that we will and will and just end up with a good dusting. It's a crapshoot with the dry air...if it's overwhelmed early we could get an inch or two...if not, we could get almost nothing. Yep. Ground is frozen solid this morning. Feels like coldest morning yet. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 15, 2020 7:42:32 GMT -6
Glenn is talking about something significant on Dec 24. we are in a nw flow in the upper ams in that timeframe. as active as the flow is, any system isnt off the table. even the 06 gfs has a little system in iowa. but 9 or 10 days out is unlikely to resemble any model output today. may hv been more of the point of nothing significant between now and christmas eve maybe? |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 15, 2020 7:42:47 GMT -6
06z gfs was decent but the short range models are looking worse, namely the HRRR. I think someone will end up with an inch or two if they get lucky under one of the bands.
I'm ready for a real storm to track.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 15, 2020 7:46:07 GMT -6
Some patchy hoar frost around Brighton/Godfrey this AM in the sheltered valleys. 23* at sunrise.
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Post by landscaper on Dec 15, 2020 8:16:17 GMT -6
1/2” for most if it saturates up to an inch if any meso bands can develop. Definitely enough to cause slick roads tomorrow morning
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Post by amstilost on Dec 15, 2020 8:39:48 GMT -6
I had a low of 20* 7 miles west of De Soto. I have noticed that the SREF Plumes have steadily increased the 'mean' total snowfall over the last 6 runs. Granted, no laughing, the latest total is around 3/8".....but the trend is what I am pointing toward. It certainly looks like there could be some issues on the roads Wed. morning. Combining several days of cold plus an overnight event....= sneaky. I will make a bold prediction that I will have to drive my wife to watch the grandkids tomorrow morning.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Dec 15, 2020 8:45:21 GMT -6
Was 22* IMBY this am at sunrise, rose to 26* in about 20 minutes. 28* at the moment. Heavy frost on everything. I dont recall if there's been a colder morning.
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Post by Tilawn on Dec 15, 2020 9:04:20 GMT -6
21° this AM. Couple hour late start this morning due to frozen ground to get 10 trees in the ground today.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 15, 2020 9:09:47 GMT -6
12z NAM still showing a weak TROWAL developing across IL tomorrow AM...thinking at least the eastern counties could see an advisory level(2") snowfall from this as better quality moisture gets wrapped in.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 15, 2020 9:38:30 GMT -6
Looks like RadarScope is having some issues this morning. I can’t get any radar sites to load and others online are reporting the same problem
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Dec 15, 2020 9:40:31 GMT -6
Looks like RadarScope is having some issues this morning. I can’t get any radar sites to load and others online are reporting the same problem Ya same here |
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