|
|
Post by landscaper on Jan 22, 2021 22:09:03 GMT -6
I think it’s time to totally throw in the !Drying Cloth!
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 22, 2021 22:09:56 GMT -6
I just have a hard time seeing this thing strengthening much while it’s in the process of being sheared out. Stranger things have happened so who knows It’s got a chance to fuel one hell of an Fgen band There’s some impressive jet support on the GFS before this things gets shredded out. Someone is going to get smacked by this pretty good |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 22, 2021 22:10:43 GMT -6
I think it’s time to totally throw in the !Drying Cloth! For me here in Arnold that time was several days ago lol |
|
|
|
Post by ndolan387 on Jan 22, 2021 22:10:55 GMT -6
It’s got a chance to fuel one hell of an Fgen band There’s some impressive jet support on the GFS before this things gets shredded out. Someone is going to get smacked by this pretty good Kirksville would be my thought now. |
|
|
|
Post by landscaper on Jan 22, 2021 22:21:37 GMT -6
Yes I never had much hope, I just thought it would come in weaker and flatter, maybe we could catch a dusting on the backside, enough to salt . Probably not going to happen
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 22, 2021 23:08:15 GMT -6
The first one is definitely heading north but the good news is the Wednesday system keeps looking better. And colder. Maybe we can get lucky with that system as it looks pretty decent.
|
|
|
|
Post by weatherj on Jan 22, 2021 23:31:56 GMT -6
The first one is definitely heading north but the good news is the Wednesday system keeps looking better. And colder. Maybe we can get lucky with that system as it looks pretty decent. I agree. I would take the trade off of missing the first to the north if we got the goods next Wednesday. I certainly am not counting on it as we have seen too many times things change so quickly. Just from the standpoint of a trade off, I would definitely accept a nice solid 3-6 in area wide snow for this weekend's liquid rain. |
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 23, 2021 3:35:54 GMT -6
I think it’s time to totally throw in the !Drying Cloth! Did it earlier this month... Sigh 😫 |
|
|
|
Post by snowjunky on Jan 23, 2021 7:11:49 GMT -6
I am rooting for the lowest snow fall total record. There is no way next Winter can be this awful again, right?
|
|
|
|
Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 23, 2021 7:14:40 GMT -6
Only around here can we have a low of 17 degrees this morning and have zero chance of snow with a system moving in tonight.......
|
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 23, 2021 8:15:17 GMT -6
How much longer of a drive, Chris? Fortunately, I flew this time. Started to feel a little achy on the plane. May have briefly popped a fever overnight. Now, I'm just dealing with a sore arm. |
|
|
|
Post by birdsonthebat (MO'Fallon) on Jan 23, 2021 8:16:55 GMT -6
Nationally, snow cover is the lowest for this date since they started tracking it in 2003. We aren’t the only ones suffering this year.
|
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 23, 2021 8:20:09 GMT -6
I am rooting for the lowest snow fall total record. There is no way next Winter can be this awful again, right? if only there were blogs in 1953, they probably said that very same thing. |
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Jan 23, 2021 8:55:20 GMT -6
If we do not get a substantial snow on Wednesday, the futility record could definately be in jeopardy.
|
|
|
|
Post by pbc12871 on Jan 23, 2021 8:57:52 GMT -6
Huh?
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Jan 23, 2021 9:00:47 GMT -6
Sorry meant lowest snowfall record.
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 23, 2021 9:28:42 GMT -6
Wsc you may just find yourself under the “death band.”
|
|
|
|
Post by ndolan387 on Jan 23, 2021 9:29:24 GMT -6
I am rooting for the lowest snow fall total record. There is no way next Winter can be this awful again, right? if only there were blogs in 1953, they probably said that very same thing. Haha, I seriously doubt that there were many people back in 1953 who followed the weather to the same caliber we do. I guess there could of been a couple people. It was hard to find weather data. Anyone know on here how many weather models there were in 1953? I'd be surprised if there were more than 3-5 different models. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 23, 2021 9:54:25 GMT -6
Is 99 still in the penalty box? Haven't heard from him in awhile
|
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 23, 2021 9:56:31 GMT -6
if only there were blogs in 1953, they probably said that very same thing. Haha, I seriously doubt that there were many people back in 1953 who followed the weather to the same caliber we do. I guess there could of been a couple people. It was hard to find weather data. Anyone know on here how many weather models there were in 1953? I'd be surprised if there were more than 3-5 different models. The first computer generated model was developed in 1950. Amazing what it must be like for somebody born in the 1940s to watch the evolution of technology. |
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 23, 2021 9:58:53 GMT -6
Wsc you may just find yourself under the “death band.” Maybe, at least the lake shouldn’t pose a temperature problem for me this time. I think far northern Missouri and parts of southern Iowa have a realistic chance of 10-15 inches. This thing should pop some 2-3 inch per hour rates. Just have to hope it doesn’t blow it’s top too far west and then rapidly decay. Very impressive performance by the euro if trends hold. |
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Jan 23, 2021 10:00:47 GMT -6
I am very interested in wednesday, however we need it to get going a bit sooner otherwise, it will likely miss us to the east. And not a ton due to the warm wet ground but maybe an inch is possible.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 23, 2021 10:04:47 GMT -6
12z National Blend of Models drops 1-3" across the area (2-3" in the metro) with the Wednesday system. Last nights EPS run had a mean of 2" for the Wednesday system as well
Send us some snow pics WSC. I owe the Euro an apology if it can pull this one out
|
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 23, 2021 10:12:20 GMT -6
12z gfsv16 looks pretty interesting in STL for Wednesday evening
|
|
|
|
Post by pbc12871 on Jan 23, 2021 10:46:00 GMT -6
99 will be finished sitting in box feeling shame tomorrow at midnight.
|
|
|
|
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 23, 2021 10:49:35 GMT -6
Haha, I seriously doubt that there were many people back in 1953 who followed the weather to the same caliber we do. I guess there could of been a couple people. It was hard to find weather data. Anyone know on here how many weather models there were in 1953? I'd be surprised if there were more than 3-5 different models. The first computer generated model was developed in 1950. Amazing what it must be like for somebody born in the 1940s to watch the evolution of technology. Not exactly the same but there were people, especially farmers, who were better at reading the clouds, the winds, the behavior of animals, and other things we don't really look at much now. |
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 23, 2021 11:28:52 GMT -6
12z ukmet looks great for 1-3 inches in the metro Wednesday evening.
I still have faith this winter cranks a bit through March.
Hopefully, we can get this blog going a bit soon.
|
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 23, 2021 11:42:51 GMT -6
even in the 1970s, when i mentioned to my high school counselor that i would consider a career in atmospheric science, he described that i was in for a lonely life sitting in an airport tower somewhere. interesting to note that in my hometown newspaper, during the big snows they quoted "an FAA spokesman" from the municipal airporr alot when it came to publishing articles that included weather forecasts for the next few days. i doubt the FAA spokesman spoke with any true scientific knowledge but thats all we had to go on in a rural area, i guess. i know they did weather observations then.
|
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 23, 2021 11:47:13 GMT -6
on wednesday, unless something has changed surface temps were modeled in the upper 30s during the event. i would have to assume a dusting immediately after some of the more intense snowfalls along the 44 corridor that melt in a matter of hours. i have not looked today, though. i didnt see any synoptic push of arctic cold air, so i doubt nothing much has changed overall other than just another model possibility.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 23, 2021 12:01:21 GMT -6
Surface temps could be an issue Wednesday depending on when the snow hits, but mid level temps look nice and cold. Lapse rates through the DGZ look steep as well. This has some kaboom potential for a portion of the area. That's one of the better look vorts I can remember coming through here in a while. GFS has PW values at 0.50" so this thing has some moisture to work with
|
|
