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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 23, 2021 10:48:45 GMT -6
I wish I could find something in my life as reliable as this pattern  |
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Post by amstilost on Dec 23, 2021 10:54:28 GMT -6
Forecast of near 70 New Year's Day on the GFS looks like it's giving us the middle finger and saying no cold air just yet. I think that's only out to hr 216 or so. Pretty sure it's going to get cold after that.🤪🤪🤪🤪
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 23, 2021 10:59:11 GMT -6
death, taxes, and stupid weather patterns
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Post by amstilost on Dec 23, 2021 11:03:13 GMT -6
Usually with such cold air coming down out of Canada, for us to get a 5100 thickness line over st. Louis usually takes more than a 1024 high pressure system doesn't it?
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 23, 2021 12:32:21 GMT -6
Well Folks we are officially the new Florida!
All seriousness enjoy the warm weather and be thankful for your family.
I am definately getting used to the warm Christmas as I think this is at least now 3 in a row where it is shorts weather or close to it on Christmas Day.
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Post by amstilost on Dec 23, 2021 13:11:30 GMT -6
Wow, the Euro looks warmish thru New Year's Day. Hopefully we can stick by the 'models can't handle shallow cold air very well' for another 4-5 days. So considering how close we are to either a record daily temp or monthly average record, the fact that the current records were set during 2 very strong El Nino's and we are in a second year of a modest La Nina what possible 'other' teleconnections can we trace back to 1877 and 1889?
This apparently really proves the point that every El Nino or La Nina are not the same.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 23, 2021 13:15:14 GMT -6
booooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooorrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrriiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiinnnnnnnnnnnnnngggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggg
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 23, 2021 13:15:16 GMT -6
Agreed this pattern almost makes you want to just throw el nino and la nina out the window because they seem to have minimal affect in our area as our area seems to have a mind of its own lol.
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 23, 2021 13:16:57 GMT -6
Also temps are really over achieving today, we are going to 68 folks.
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Post by amstilost on Dec 23, 2021 13:20:47 GMT -6
Sitting at 63* with a stiff breeze 7 miles west of De Soto.
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Post by Tilawn on Dec 23, 2021 14:17:43 GMT -6
Also temps are really over achieving today, we are going to 68 folks. Doubtful......we have already hit peak heating for the day |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 23, 2021 14:22:10 GMT -6
We have seen 4 70+ days this December... second most on record since 1874! Of the two more recent entries in the top 5 for which we have mapping available... 1998 and 2012... I did a composite of the following Jan-Feb's and it is not a pretty picture if you want cold weather. It shows a strong signal for much above normal temps east of the Rocky Mountains and limited hope for much snow. The worm turns a little in March... it looks like a cold pocket developes over the Ohio Valley... likely the result of slow moving early spring cut-offs.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 23, 2021 14:40:51 GMT -6
Off Topic: If your heading to the grocery store be sure to pack some extra patience and time as 'it's as busy as it gets' according to Google's Live Busyness meter. and then some at every Schnucks location at least in the metro-east and I assume elsewhere and other stores. Look for checkouts wrapping around the store and aisles packed with people.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 23, 2021 14:41:51 GMT -6
Just our luck it will be warm all winter and the cold will finally arrive here in early spring. That seems to be a pattern lately.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 23, 2021 16:10:07 GMT -6
Off Topic: If your heading to the grocery store be sure to pack some extra patience and time as 'it's as busy as it gets' according to Google's Live Busyness meter. and then some at every Schnucks location at least in the metro-east and I assume elsewhere and other stores. Look for checkouts wrapping around the store and aisles packed with people. Also remember that Schnucks and Dierbergs close at 530 on Friday and will be closed both Saturday and Sunday. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 23, 2021 16:21:19 GMT -6
Hotels are open, I work all weekend. Lol
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 23, 2021 17:46:10 GMT -6
I had some of the wierdest events occur on or around Christmas when I was working at a hotel in the late 70s/early 80s>
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 23, 2021 20:06:06 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 23, 2021 20:11:59 GMT -6
A snow squall warning and severe thunderstorm warning on the same cell? That's a new one  |
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 23, 2021 21:44:27 GMT -6
Maybe bellevillewxguys prediction of a 2012 like winter won't be that far off haha. It's too early to know of course, but this upcoming "pattern change" just keeps being pushed back.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 23, 2021 23:07:05 GMT -6
Mr. Higgins has made his thoughts known today...unfortunately it confirms what many of us have thought. Maybe we will get surprised, and have a good Jan/Feb but things aren’t looking great right now.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 24, 2021 8:56:58 GMT -6
lol, what happened to Beaker's post? The one from a couple hours ago where he expected 2 inches of snow this winter and didn't post it earlier because he thought people would get upset.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 24, 2021 9:21:46 GMT -6
lol, what happened to Beaker's post? The one from a couple hours ago where he expected 2 inches of snow this winter and didn't post it earlier because he thought people would get upset. Good question... I did not delete it... and I wanted to re-read it after a good night's sleep lol! Merry Christmas boys and girls. I have the 4,5,6,7,9, and 10pm shows tonight... so if I dont drop back in please know that I think you all are great and wish you only the best this holiday season. On a side note, I have a couple of good friends who are fighting off COVID this holiday season and could use your prayers! Have a safe and happy holiday! Chris |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 24, 2021 9:26:02 GMT -6
lol, what happened to Beaker's post? The one from a couple hours ago where he expected 2 inches of snow this winter and didn't post it earlier because he thought people would get upset. Good question... I did not delete it... and I wanted to re-read it after a good night's sleep lol! Merry Christmas boys and girls. I have the 4,5,6,7,9, and 10pm shows tonight... so if I dont drop back in please know that I think you all are great and wish you only the best this holiday season. On a side note, I have a couple of good friends who are fighting off COVID this holiday season and could use your prayers! Have a safe and happy holiday! Chris Merry Christmas to you and everyone also !!! Prayers are heading your friends way🙏 |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 24, 2021 9:39:43 GMT -6
Merry Christmas Chris..and everyone . Hope your friends recover fully. Everyone be safe and have fun BBQing outside or whatever.  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 24, 2021 10:13:59 GMT -6
I'm remembering a warm Christmas in 1982 - the year I bought my first house. I looked it up on the NWS site and there was only a trace of snow during that December as well as numerous warm days and a record high or two set.
I was afraid to look at what January and February 1983 looked like.
Merry Christmas to the MTW members. I hope it's a safe and joyous one for all of you!
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Post by REB on Dec 24, 2021 10:22:40 GMT -6
Merry Christmas. God bless us every one..
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 24, 2021 12:04:49 GMT -6
67 at noon at Lambert. Record is 73
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Post by mosue56 on Dec 24, 2021 12:27:51 GMT -6
Sure is windy here in Festusland! Thinking of those who work this weekend, those who have lost loved ones this year, and we can hope and pray for an end to this pandemic and a wonderful 2022! May God bless and keep you all!
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 24, 2021 12:45:17 GMT -6
record highs in KC, Columbia, tied in Quincy.
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