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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 5, 2022 13:16:02 GMT -6
This winter has been really boring. Does anyone see any hope for any snow this month or we now into February before we get a storm? After tomorrow it looks pretty uneventful for the next couple of weeks. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 5, 2022 13:18:29 GMT -6
2 or 3 would be nice in Union..right on the line. My dog would appreciate it too. You need to look more closely. I left a doughnut hole over Union  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2022 13:26:30 GMT -6
Meh
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 334 
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Post by bob on Jan 5, 2022 13:34:28 GMT -6
Thanks 99, i was afraid of that hopefully things will change in a couple of weeks.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2022 13:39:48 GMT -6
Latest NBM  |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 5, 2022 13:44:29 GMT -6
The SREF plumes just dried up. Down to less than 1" in STL... but the spread is still very wide.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 5, 2022 14:05:55 GMT -6
Latest hi res nam puts 1 to 2 right up to 70 again
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 5, 2022 14:15:11 GMT -6
For KSTL the latest NBM 90% confidence interval is 0.0" to 1.0". The best guess is 0.3".
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2022 14:16:46 GMT -6
I’d be pretty ecstatic if I could get the 2” the 18z 3k and 12k NAM drop here
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 5, 2022 14:20:58 GMT -6
Both 18z NAM are a major improvement across the board and picking up more moisture.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 5, 2022 14:35:25 GMT -6
WE'RE GOING TO GET BURIED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 5, 2022 14:39:55 GMT -6
I have never seen so much snow forecasted in my life, Im truly scared for the st.louis area tonight lol. This is absolutely historic we may see 18 to 24 flakes near 70, and out where snow man lives Im calling for 24 to 36 flakes with locally higher flakage possible.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2022 14:48:24 GMT -6
Looks like the NAM has initialized the mesoband currently across NW KS at least 30-50 miles too far north. I'm afraid this one is probably toast for STL...and I dont mean French!
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 5, 2022 14:51:00 GMT -6
the 18Z nam doesn't bring 1-2" to i70.
The rap and hrrr are essentially dry along 70.
The Hires nam is the only model bringing accumulation to 70.
The euro is Good but dry.
That's about it
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 5, 2022 15:01:16 GMT -6
Looks like the NAM has initialized the mesoband currently across NW KS at least 30-50 miles too far north. I'm afraid this one is probably toast for STL...and I dont mean French! The lighter snows look okay but another band you're right it looks like it's a good 30 to 50 miles south of where the name had its afternoon. we'll have to see if it migrates east or not if it doesn't then yeah that's not good sign |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 5, 2022 15:07:08 GMT -6
The 20z rap is better. However it shows precip accumulation way after the radar shows nothing within hundreds of miles. Like what the???   It does have the band in Kansas. |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 5, 2022 15:14:27 GMT -6
The Hi-Rez nam is what I go off of Friv, it looks great for the metro
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 5, 2022 15:21:13 GMT -6
The Hi-Rez nam is what I go off of Friv, it looks great for the metro Can't say great but it gives us something.  |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 5, 2022 15:24:26 GMT -6
Well great compared to nothing lol
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 5, 2022 15:26:09 GMT -6
Looking at this weekend…. Just another slap in the face ….. a high temp Friday of 22 and 24 hours later a chance of thunderstorms……. Our weather really stinks the last few years lol
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 5, 2022 15:33:48 GMT -6
I’m actually concerned about the rain possibilities on Saturday due to the frozen ground. By the time Saturday gets here frost should be getting fairly deep and will take a bit to come out. If the raindrops are warm that will help pull it out quicker tho. A few years ago we had an icing issue with a scenario like this. Mainly on gravel surfaces tho
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 5, 2022 15:33:58 GMT -6
Need to watch Saturday morning for a short round of freezing drizzle before temperatures warm above freezing as low level moisture increases. The models have been indicating saturated lower in the low levels topped off by a dry layer above the inversion. This, coupled with gentle lift provided by warm air advection may result in a very fine drizzle/mist that will be freezing for a while with air temperatures possibly still in the 20s to low 30s. Something to watch.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2022 15:39:46 GMT -6
Was thinking the same about Saturday...the ground will be frozen solid by then.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 5, 2022 15:44:00 GMT -6
That’s funny I told one of my snow contractor friends about the very same thing. Possible salting Saturday morning. Once the ground is frozen solid, you can have freezing on pavement until the air temp gets above 34-35 at times
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 5, 2022 15:56:16 GMT -6
This is going to sound like a dumb question for most but I’m asking anyway. We have smart tv’s in the house and I’m curious if there are any apps that can either be installed on tv or casted to tv by phone where we can view a large image of the radar. Any suggestions?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2022 16:02:59 GMT -6
This is going to sound like a dumb question for most but I’m asking anyway. We have smart tv’s in the house and I’m curious if there are any apps that can either be installed on tv or casted to tv by phone where we can view a large image of the radar. Any suggestions? Your best bet is probably to screen share an app like RadarScope from your phone or computer. Other than that I know the weather channel and non accu weather make smart tv apps. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 5, 2022 16:03:13 GMT -6
MoDot has elected not to treat roads... lookout!
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 5, 2022 16:05:27 GMT -6
not sure of any offhand but you can do a search on your tv for something
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 5, 2022 16:05:48 GMT -6
This is going to sound like a dumb question for most but I’m asking anyway. We have smart tv’s in the house and I’m curious if there are any apps that can either be installed on tv or casted to tv by phone where we can view a large image of the radar. Any suggestions? Your best bet is probably to screen share an app like RadarScope from your phone or computer. Other than that I know the weather channel and non accu weather make smart tv apps. Thanks buddy |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 5, 2022 16:06:28 GMT -6
Modot has no employees, its pathetic, i pray we dont get much this winter only for that reason.
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