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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 31, 2022 17:30:19 GMT -6
From Lincoln, IL
..WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY...
* WHAT...Significant snow likely with a brief period of mixed precipitation. Total snow accumulations in excess of 12 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph will create blowing and drifting snow Wednesday night into Thursday
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 31, 2022 17:34:32 GMT -6
Snow days are over. My son has virtual learning now. I feel sorry for kids now.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jan 31, 2022 17:40:50 GMT -6
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 31, 2022 17:46:04 GMT -6
From Lincoln, IL ..WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Significant snow likely with a brief period of mixed precipitation. Total snow accumulations in excess of 12 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph will create blowing and drifting snow Wednesday night into Thursday heres whats funny: "Total snow accumulations in excess of 12 inches with locally higher amounts possible"...just strikes me funny.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 31, 2022 17:49:05 GMT -6
Snow days are over. My son has virtual learning now. I feel sorry for kids now. Agree. We are doing real snow days. I can see if you take one of Wed, Thursday, Friday but don’t take them all.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 31, 2022 17:51:50 GMT -6
Yep DeSoto is doing virtual wed-fri this week. Our kids in Richwoods won’t have school for two weeks probably lol
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Post by SnowManJoe - Wentzville, MO on Jan 31, 2022 17:57:45 GMT -6
I really like the way we have been doing snow days in Wentzville the past couple of years. We get 6 free, real deal snow days, then the 6 after that we do virtual learning. If we were to have more than that, we make them up at the end of the year.
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 31, 2022 17:59:48 GMT -6
Glenn was just on this last half hour with model amounts that would blow your mind! I don’t believe it on a couple of them. But we are going to get lots!
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 31, 2022 18:05:20 GMT -6
18Z EURO coming in wetter, and a couple degrees colder. More frozen and freezing precip, less plain rain.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 31, 2022 18:07:29 GMT -6
Looks like a break Wednesday Afternoon per the EURO, then here it comes the main thrust Wednesday night into Thursday.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 31, 2022 18:09:30 GMT -6
Looks like along I-44 and just south of gets the hammer this run with round 2.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 31, 2022 18:09:35 GMT -6
Lot of ice S of 44 on first wave. 2nd wave coming in hot and juiced
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Post by snowjunky on Jan 31, 2022 18:10:45 GMT -6
Glenn was just on this last half hour with model amounts that would blow your mind! I don’t believe it on a couple of them. But we are going to get lots! I saw that too. I do however hope he comes up with his own snowfall amount totals map instead of using the models. He is a Chief Meteorologist so I feel he should be able convey to the public by using his expertise, experience and skills set to put a snowfall prediction map together. Sorry, that just frustrates me when he does that. Sorry for the rant.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 31, 2022 18:12:17 GMT -6
Another great run.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 31, 2022 18:13:55 GMT -6
St. Charles to BRTN are in sweet spot.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 31, 2022 18:14:53 GMT -6
I think I'm only going to get a couple...
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 31, 2022 18:16:59 GMT -6
EURO gives a line along 44 a half inch plus of zr and a foot of snow lol
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 31, 2022 18:17:32 GMT -6
I think I'm only going to get a couple... Yep... You are golden!
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 31, 2022 18:18:33 GMT -6
The 18Z Euro pulling the axis of maximum snow/sleet a bit further south. It is now on the north and west side of the metro area.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 31, 2022 18:18:40 GMT -6
EURO gives a line along 44 a half inch plus of zr and a foot of snow lol And over in our neck of the woods?
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 31, 2022 18:21:26 GMT -6
EURO gives a line along 44 a half inch plus of zr and a foot of snow lol And over in our neck of the woods? Models print the same for us. I think 6-10" of snow and sleet after a quarter of an inch of ice for us.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 31, 2022 18:21:45 GMT -6
And over in our neck of the woods? Models print the same for us. I think 6-10" of snow and sleet after a quarter of an inch of ice for us. Awesome...
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 31, 2022 18:25:45 GMT -6
18Z GFS Cobb totals at KSTL are about 17" which includes about 0.5" of sleet. There is about 0.25" of freezing rain before that.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 31, 2022 18:35:11 GMT -6
18Z GFS Cobb totals are about 17" which includes about 0.5" of sleet. There is about 0.25" of freezing rain before that. At airport?
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Post by landscaper on Jan 31, 2022 18:35:50 GMT -6
One more nice little 20-30 mile push south tonight would put the metro right in the sweet spot , not that current modeling is bad
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 31, 2022 18:38:30 GMT -6
18Z GFS Cobb totals are about 17" which includes about 0.5" of sleet. There is about 0.25" of freezing rain before that. At airport? Yes. I forgot to say that. I edited my posts.
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Post by The Commish- Lake St. Louis on Jan 31, 2022 18:50:36 GMT -6
One more nice little 20-30 mile push south tonight would put the metro right in the sweet spot , not that current modeling is bad Getting greedy now. Lol. Go big or go home at this point
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 31, 2022 18:53:44 GMT -6
Updated NWS forecast through 6 PM Wednesday.
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 31, 2022 19:00:31 GMT -6
Here is what bufkit looks like in terms of elevated instability. There is an hour with about 40 j/kg of elevated right as we transition from sleet to snow. It's been years since I've looked at this stuff, but if I remember correctly you really want to see it closer to 100 j/kg to see a few rumbles of thunder. I don't think we can eliminate the possibility of an isolated strike. This is only for thermodynamic convection. There is conditional slantwise convection that can contribute as well, but I don't have the tools to assess that.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 31, 2022 19:01:08 GMT -6
Wonder what they'll do with the piles of snow in developed areas like downtown STL and downtown Clayton. In 1982 the National Guard dumped it in the Mississippi. But I think that's prohibited for environmental reasons now. Wonder if they can dump it in an empty lot or whether that's not permitted, either.
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