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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 2, 2022 15:36:57 GMT -6
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 2, 2022 15:39:35 GMT -6
icon looks good lol
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Post by stlweatherguy - Hillsboro, MO on Feb 2, 2022 15:41:28 GMT -6
Navgem?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 2, 2022 15:44:36 GMT -6
Just going by the jet orientation...44/70 and the entire Metro is in a prime spot tonight into tomorrow AM. And that is reflected on the 700mb charts with good Fgen response developing across the region after several hours of strong upglide. Looks very nice.
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Post by landscaper on Feb 2, 2022 15:49:35 GMT -6
I have friends that said they have plowed 5-6” along I 70 between St. Peter and wentzville, so your probably not that far off
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 2, 2022 15:50:50 GMT -6
lol, the gfs continues to be just on steroids
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 2, 2022 15:53:34 GMT -6
Thank you landscaper. I definately think 10 inches is doable by the end.
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Post by tedrick65 on Feb 2, 2022 15:56:50 GMT -6
Just shy of 1" of "stuff" here in High Ridge. Grass sticking through and I cut mine way short at the end of the fall. I'm fine with whatever happens as long as there is no more ZR or sleet. Our subdivision's snow service can plow all day but they don't have the right equipment for a day like today when a heavy spread of chemicals is part of the right answer. They have pickups with the small strap on the tailgate spreaders. Takes a lot of bags of salt to do 1.3 miles of 30' wide pavement caked with sleet and ice.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 2, 2022 15:56:55 GMT -6
Bonus Thursday Night/Early Friday AM snow is back. Might be another D-2" worth especially south of I-70/I-44.
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 2, 2022 16:01:17 GMT -6
Also please please please, if someone is very near the quick trip and mid rivers area and willot, please let me know a good measurement, as I know many of you dont believe me and I understand why because of my past and I am being very upfront now, however everywhere I measure is between 4.9 and 7 averageing out its 5.5 and still snowing. I just want to see if there is genuinely a pocket of 5 to 6 from cottleville to alton. Illois area. Im not going to post any official measurements because wind has been whipping all over. My brother in law lives out there and he has 5”. You are good |
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 2, 2022 16:02:08 GMT -6
99, is that coming down pretty good out there? Radar shows some decent light snow?
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Post by TK on Feb 2, 2022 16:07:59 GMT -6
Looks like the greatest potential for 12"+ totals is going to set up roughly along and either side of a line drawn from Middletown to Litchfield. The NAM is showing 6"+ along that line with the final wave. Definitely a good signal for strong upglide and increasing mid-level frontogenesis as we come underneath the RER of the outbound jetstreak. Classic. So Brtn - what are the odds we can get an 80 mile shift to the South on that? |
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 2, 2022 16:16:23 GMT -6
21z rap 6 to 9 additional for the metro on kuchera came north a bit. We are in a great spot
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 2, 2022 16:17:02 GMT -6
Well, RAP got its act together. Wow
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 334 
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Post by bob on Feb 2, 2022 16:17:37 GMT -6
99 what is GFS showing?
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Post by ndolan387 on Feb 2, 2022 16:18:14 GMT -6
4.1 in for wave 1 in Northern Wildwood. Light salt shaker snow is continuing now.
The forecast has gone very well so far and that looks to continue! Everyone enjoy wave 2!
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Post by TK on Feb 2, 2022 16:18:53 GMT -6
Its just keeps up in st.peters. there must be a small boundary through st.charles county Yup - Snowed all day here even though light a lot of the time - Beautiful day... |
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Post by landscaper on Feb 2, 2022 16:19:56 GMT -6
Nice band coming down again in Earth city
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Post by TK on Feb 2, 2022 16:20:40 GMT -6
Looks like Reed Timmer retweeted Chris' tweet showing the car driving down the integrate with his rear left wheel stuck in place. Bet you it goes viral |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 2, 2022 16:23:53 GMT -6
Looks like the greatest potential for 12"+ totals is going to set up roughly along and either side of a line drawn from Middletown to Litchfield. The NAM is showing 6"+ along that line with the final wave. Definitely a good signal for strong upglide and increasing mid-level frontogenesis as we come underneath the RER of the outbound jetstreak. Classic. So Brtn - what are the odds we can get an 80 mile shift to the South on that? Where are you at? On mobile currently. 30-50mi S of 44/70 should get the goods too...but I expect the strongest forcing to set up near the Metro where Fgen is maximized. |
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Post by TK on Feb 2, 2022 16:24:45 GMT -6
I have friends that said they have plowed 5-6” along I 70 between St. Peter and wentzville, so your probably not that far off I agree |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 2, 2022 16:26:33 GMT -6
Basically a general 5 to 7" more for southeastern half of the area including the metro, but a couple of pockets where there might be overlap or persistent banding allowing amounts closer to 7 to 10" with 7-9" being the most common.
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Post by TK on Feb 2, 2022 16:27:21 GMT -6
So Brtn - what are the odds we can get an 80 mile shift to the South on that? Where are you at? On mobile currently. 30-50mi S of 44/70 should get the goods too...but I expect the strongest forcing to set up near the Metro where Fgen is maximized. O'Fallon Mo but the board is saying wagons South...Do you disagree Brtn? |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Feb 2, 2022 16:27:56 GMT -6
Updated 4pm  |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 2, 2022 16:29:24 GMT -6
Updated 4pm NWS seems to agree with my map, but theirs might be a little less contracted across the northwestern third of the area. Guess we'll see. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 2, 2022 16:29:40 GMT -6
18z RGEM
21z RAP
18z Icon
20z hrrr
18z NAM
Lock em in. Let’s make everyone happy!
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 2, 2022 16:32:57 GMT -6
You will bust low in northern section. From someone who lived in Macomb for 4 years, never underestimate a 10+ hour , high ratio, light snow from adding up.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Feb 2, 2022 16:39:07 GMT -6
Updated 4pm Looks good to me! Right in the bullseye lol |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 2, 2022 16:39:21 GMT -6
Where are you at? On mobile currently. 30-50mi S of 44/70 should get the goods too...but I expect the strongest forcing to set up near the Metro where Fgen is maximized. O'Fallon Mo but the board is saying wagons South...Do you disagree Brtn? I think it's pretty unlikely that you don't get at least another 3-4" if not 5-8". This last wave is looking solid for most of the area. |
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Feb 2, 2022 16:40:23 GMT -6
Updated 4pm Looks good to me! Right in the bullseye lol Even Snowman can’t complain about that one. Life is good in Franklin County for this storm. |
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