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Post by Jeffmw on Dec 21, 2022 14:05:27 GMT -6
I don't think anyone has brought this up yet, but we will have the somewhat unusual experience of snowfalling during the day! I feel like the snow seems to always come at night in recent years. I did notice that. Is just because of our area the snowfall most of the favors the night more. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 21, 2022 14:13:45 GMT -6
And we dont hv to worry about melting. Might sublimate though lol.
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mmkjmg
Weather Weenie
Posts: 21 
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Post by mmkjmg on Dec 21, 2022 14:14:57 GMT -6
About to start my run. Future radar shows snow ramping up around Cedar Rapids around 7:00 this evening. About the same time I get there
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mmkjmg
Weather Weenie
Posts: 21
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Post by mmkjmg on Dec 21, 2022 14:16:07 GMT -6
Currently 36 degrees and overcast on the west side of Jefferson City
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 21, 2022 14:21:19 GMT -6
Chris - Curious what your schedule is for the next 24-48 hours? Stormrunner? You'll have to watch to find out. It is fluid. Needless to say I, along with emergency responders, road crews and others who have to respond will have some very long days ahead. |
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 21, 2022 14:45:18 GMT -6
When is the last time we had wind chills of this magnitude? I seem to remember something when I was a kid in the 90's that was probably close, but that was under the old wind chill value system. January of 2014 I think Yep we had WCs of -30ish on Jan 5th, 2014. As BTRN mentioned, sub zero air high temps all day as well! Got down to around -10 air temp wise for Northern Wildwood. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 21, 2022 14:48:15 GMT -6
It looks like the main difference between the 15z sref and virtually all the other models is whether the digging southern energy can quickly develop dominance or if the northern low wins out initially.
18z nam stuck with its northern stream dominance. If it’s right, it did awesome from 84 hours out on this one.
If the sref is right, it will be an all time model coup.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 21, 2022 15:11:20 GMT -6
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 21, 2022 15:12:40 GMT -6
Haha!!! I was just going to post this. Your so quick. |
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Post by thechaser on Dec 21, 2022 15:14:30 GMT -6
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 21, 2022 15:15:25 GMT -6
I don't think anyone has brought this up yet, but we will have the somewhat unusual experience of snowfalling during the day! I feel like the snow seems to always come at night in recent years. Yes absolutely right! Daytime snow that sticks is a bonus around here it seems Yes!!! I've noticed that too. Seems like we had more occurrences back in the 2000s |
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Post by The Commish- Lake St. Louis on Dec 21, 2022 15:17:22 GMT -6
So is there a possibility of see a snow squall warning tomorrow with all the activity on the way?
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Post by landscaper on Dec 21, 2022 15:28:44 GMT -6
No we’re under a Winter Storm warning already
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 21, 2022 15:38:45 GMT -6
Kinda what we can expect tomorrow
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Post by dschreib on Dec 21, 2022 15:40:13 GMT -6
pivotals snow depth map has more than the total snow map does. Weird Probably measured in a drift. They need to go back and read the "how to measure snow" article. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 21, 2022 15:41:00 GMT -6
Nice westerly downslope/compressional warming ahead of the boundary here in Colorado Springs. Lots of sun... mid 50s. Feels pretty good. Hope nothing happens to ruin that. /s
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Post by dschreib on Dec 21, 2022 15:52:10 GMT -6
Crazy times. The normally-moist NAM is the driest model, and our neighbors to the north and Uncle Ukie have been the most consistent. Curious to see how this one plays out.
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Post by jmg378s on Dec 21, 2022 15:52:12 GMT -6
Haha!!! I was just going to post this. Your so quick. 920 knows what you're going to post even before you do. He's probably a beta tester for the Neurolink and that's why he's so quick. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 21, 2022 15:55:30 GMT -6
Haha!!! I was just going to post this. Your so quick. 920 knows what you're going to post even before you do. He's probably a beta tester for the Neurolink and that's why he's so quick. shhhhh don’t expose my secret |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 21, 2022 15:56:02 GMT -6
920 knows what you're going to post even before you do. He's probably a beta tester for the Neurolink and that's why he's so quick. shhhhh don’t expose my secret Lol |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 21, 2022 15:57:08 GMT -6
Nice westerly downslope/compressional warming ahead of the boundary here in Colorado Springs. Lots of sun... mid 50s. Feels pretty good. Hope nothing happens to ruin that. /s This is going to be moving at light speed. So I have a gut feeling moisture will too. Lol |
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Post by dschreib on Dec 21, 2022 15:58:41 GMT -6
And as far as the SREF plumes, the ARW cores went from a mean of 0.76" to 7.19" from 9z to 15z (for KSAR). Not sure what happened there...
Edit: QPF nearly tripled--from .13 to .36
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Post by Jeffmw on Dec 21, 2022 15:58:56 GMT -6
Don’t know why but felt like posting this today. If it’s not allowed feel free to remove it.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Dec 21, 2022 16:38:08 GMT -6
I made it to Nashville. Enjoy it folks!
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Post by Madaboutweather on Dec 21, 2022 16:52:22 GMT -6
It blows my mind that despite the numerous forecast about the danger and impact of this storm, people still only focus on the expected snowfall as a gauge for how bad the storm will be. I was in a meeting with several people today and some didn't even know about the wind and blowing snow with near blizzard like conditions or the extreme cold. When trying to explain the going forecast, the second I say 2-4 inches across the area, their facial expressions immediately look less interested or concerned. Trying to explain to decision makers the dangers of this storm, they still only heard 2-4 inches and based their office hours off of that. Guess they will have quite the surprise tomorrow.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 21, 2022 16:57:35 GMT -6
There's an old saying...
"You can't fix stupid"
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Dec 21, 2022 16:58:00 GMT -6
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Post by maddogchief on Dec 21, 2022 17:14:07 GMT -6
It blows my mind that despite the numerous forecast about the danger and impact of this storm, people still only focus on the expected snowfall as a gauge for how bad the storm will be. I was in a meeting with several people today and some didn't even know about the wind and blowing snow with near blizzard like conditions or the extreme cold. When trying to explain the going forecast, the second I say 2-4 inches across the area, their facial expressions immediately look less interested or concerned. Trying to explain to decision makers the dangers of this storm, they still only heard 2-4 inches and based their office hours off of that. Guess they will have quite the surprise tomorrow. My own wife made the mistake of mentioning that her co-worker said that it was only going to be 2-4” of snow. |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Dec 21, 2022 17:15:10 GMT -6
For once a storm is coming and I'm not sick with worry about having to drive in it.
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Post by bdgwx on Dec 21, 2022 17:48:47 GMT -6
18Z NBM is still stingy on the snowfall. I don't how it is getting 1.7" of snow out of 0.15" of QPF. Assuming we get at least 0.15" of liquid that has to be good for 2"+ of snow with this setup. 21Z SREF should be available shortly. Let's see if holds firm with 0.25" of QPF.
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