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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2023 10:01:49 GMT -6
GFS is extremely close to burying us in cement.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 20, 2023 10:05:40 GMT -6
gfs is huge
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2023 10:06:03 GMT -6
GFS takes 700 almost right over us. Brings surface low to a screeching halt near bootheel and shuts down the NW half of the viewing area.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 20, 2023 10:06:44 GMT -6
GFS is extremely close to burying us in cement. 12-18 inches in southwest Missouri. 4-8 inches for the metro. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2023 10:06:47 GMT -6
These would be some hand grenade sized flakes  |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2023 10:07:56 GMT -6
That would be an absolute Defo Death band moving through. Goodness.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2023 10:09:30 GMT -6
The GFS just gave us the Palm Sunday Storm... in January.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 20, 2023 10:11:15 GMT -6
NAM is showing some mid-level Fgen developing Sun AM that works up 44/55 through the Metro...might be enough to get the ground covered if there's snow growth. Models are still trying to close off a mid-level low as the phasing occurs just to the west. Still worth keeping an eye on.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2023 10:11:21 GMT -6
A historic run from the GFS 5 days before the event. What could go wrong.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2023 10:12:05 GMT -6
NAM is showing some mid-level Fgen developing Sun AM that works up 44/55 through the Metro...might be enough to get the ground covered if there's snow growth. Models are still trying to close off a mid-level low as the phasing occurs just to the west. Still worth keeping an eye on. FV3 hinting at this as well and then some. |
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edzdad
Weather Weenie
Arnold, MO (Tenbrook Road and Jeffco Blvd.)
Posts: 5 
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Post by edzdad on Jan 20, 2023 10:17:05 GMT -6
I have been reading and enjoying this board and the previous board from the epic ice storm of November 2006. I appreciate all the discussion and hope we see some snow soon!!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2023 10:20:13 GMT -6
The cobb map from that GFS run has 30" in Springfield MO and 20" in STL
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 20, 2023 10:20:34 GMT -6
Looks like the ggem is taking the morning shift off.
Stuck on the 00z run still.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 20, 2023 10:20:38 GMT -6
NAM is showing some mid-level Fgen developing Sun AM that works up 44/55 through the Metro...might be enough to get the ground covered if there's snow growth. Models are still trying to close off a mid-level low as the phasing occurs just to the west. Still worth keeping an eye on. Yeah... I need to take a second look when I get in. New data looks more interesting than the sheared mess from yesterday. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 20, 2023 10:21:02 GMT -6
The cobb map from that GFS run has 30" in Springfield MO and 20" in STL Kuchera looks a lot more reasonable for the metro. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2023 10:24:39 GMT -6
NAM is showing some mid-level Fgen developing Sun AM that works up 44/55 through the Metro...might be enough to get the ground covered if there's snow growth. Models are still trying to close off a mid-level low as the phasing occurs just to the west. Still worth keeping an eye on. The GFS briefly closes off the 500 low across the boot heel Sunday evening |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 20, 2023 10:26:36 GMT -6
The cobb map from that GFS run has 30" in Springfield MO and 20" in STL Kuchera looks a lot more reasonable for the metro. This will be a much more March-like system. VERY wet snow.... so LSRs will probably be 1:10 at best I would think. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 20, 2023 10:28:41 GMT -6
And unlike the pre-Christmas snow... this will be really pretty up in the trees and such.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2023 10:33:35 GMT -6
Kuchera looks a lot more reasonable for the metro. This will be a much more March-like system. VERY wet snow.... so LSRs will probably be 1:10 at best I would think. We rarely cash in from high ratios here anyways. When we do get a high ratio event, the dry air eats it alive or it's so windy it gets shredded to crumbs. All evens out. Give me 1:10 with the beautification over the former. Plus, those snowballs that fall from the sky as precip switches from R to S is the best. |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jan 20, 2023 10:34:31 GMT -6
Would love to have a decent snow to let the dog run around in, and I don't have to watch railcams to see the snow.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 20, 2023 10:35:07 GMT -6
until the limbs come crashing down under 15 inches, lol. Hahaha
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2023 10:35:13 GMT -6
As BRTN would say, TEXTBOOK  |
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 20, 2023 10:38:42 GMT -6
These would be some hand grenade sized flakes LOL. That's a new one for me. And I better not be hearing "we dodged a hand grenade" from the news anchors next week. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2023 10:40:56 GMT -6
I think we need to give Chris a few words to work into the broadcast like that one guy.
We want to hear
Kaboom
hand grenade flakes
Rosie's feet
By end of next week!
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 20, 2023 10:45:40 GMT -6
ukie is on vacay too. This is great.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 20, 2023 10:46:09 GMT -6
I wouldn't mind a little more cold air at the surface. But let's face it... that is hard to come by these days.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 20, 2023 10:50:32 GMT -6
GFS with the DIAMOND STUDDED BONE CRUSHER!!!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 20, 2023 10:52:22 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2023 10:52:31 GMT -6
ukie is on vacay too. This is great. Ukie is running on Pivotal. Looks about the same as last run. Big hit, especially along and S of 44 |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2023 10:52:32 GMT -6
UKIE looks really good as well. Bring heaviest snow up 44
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