|
|
Post by cozpregon on May 14, 2024 19:58:50 GMT -6
So I guess we can say... drought does not always lead to more drought.
|
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 14, 2024 20:21:25 GMT -6
So I guess we can say... drought does not always lead to more drought. Definitely a feedback cycle until the pattern that led to the drought breaks down. |
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 14, 2024 20:28:59 GMT -6
I'm starting to get concerned about river flooding heading into summer with the current elevated flows, saturated ground and model forecasts showing a spray of shortwaves in the S stream over the next couple weeks. This seems to be a different animal than the last couple seasons that were dominated by dry conditions overall. I'm also getting cool and rainy summer vibes with frequent amplifications in the N branch across the Lakes/NE knocking back the thermal ridge being advected E/NE into our region and an active MCS train. It's been a while since we've had a truly cool summer...2013 was the last one that I recall. Quite a breakneck switch from all the drought concerns. I was trying to figure which event(s) and when broke the back of the drought. Those heavy storms last weekend really put the kibosh to any lingering drought conditions in most areas I'd say. The exposed soil in my garden was getting dry and cracked after the dry spell and warm winds this weekend but the yard is still swampy in spots. The river valleys have had a lot of rain recently and current stages are ahead of forecast due to the heavy rainfall this morning. |
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on May 14, 2024 20:39:16 GMT -6
Definitely hit or miss the last 2 days. So glad I was on the miss side this time. I borrowed a box blade to fix the driveway from last Wednesday's storm. I had 3 14ton dump loads dumped on 1/3 of my driveway and some of that area still needs a little more height. Then the attention turns to the area around the house and outbuilding. Definitely need a little more 'dry' time. Tractor blew a seal in a lift cylinder early yesterday and I was shoveling damp 3/4 minus rock into a little trailer towed by a 4 wheeler. 4 loads of that and I had enough. Glad I can still do that stuff, but it is getting 'old'. Kudos to Gary at Newco Hydraulics in De Soto for fixing the cylinder on short notice. I hope the 'kudos' is within bounds of the rules.
|
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 14, 2024 20:40:59 GMT -6
Radar storm total estimate shows close to 2" of rainfall in Godfrey and less than a tenth IMBY...I'd say that's pretty accurate. We've really been in a consistent minima with the majority of the systems the past couple years for some reason. It got extremely dry here last summer while Godfrey and Alton were getting soaking storms. It also seems like the Belleville/StClairCo area has been an absolute magnet for precip and snow lately. It's amazing the difference a few miles can make.
|
|
|
|
Post by dmbstl on May 14, 2024 21:04:13 GMT -6
That was one hell of a deluge. Over 2 inches in one hour. Far too much water in my basement. Another .9 so I’m well in to the low 3 inch range for the day. |
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 14, 2024 21:28:39 GMT -6
I'm starting to get concerned about river flooding heading into summer with the current elevated flows, saturated ground and model forecasts showing a spray of shortwaves in the S stream over the next couple weeks. This seems to be a different animal than the last couple seasons that were dominated by dry conditions overall. I'm also getting cool and rainy summer vibes with frequent amplifications in the N branch across the Lakes/NE knocking back the thermal ridge being advected E/NE into our region and an active MCS train. It's been a while since we've had a truly cool summer...2013 was the last one that I recall. have to agree, and I think the cpc agrees with a precip hazard for later in the month. |
|
|
|
Post by REB on May 15, 2024 4:24:42 GMT -6
Ended up with 2” yesterday. Storm total of 2,24”
|
|
twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
|
Post by twocat on May 15, 2024 7:15:12 GMT -6
The Davis on the roof in North St. Pete reports that we were mostly missed yesterday, compared to some of you. He says .28"
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on May 15, 2024 7:41:05 GMT -6
1.46 in south st.peters from yesterday's event. Yard is a swamp
|
|
|
|
Post by dschreib on May 15, 2024 9:13:00 GMT -6
Storm total (started 4:45 05/13) of 1.3" in Marissa, according to Bette Davis on the swing set.
Around 1.2" of that yesterday afternoon in a relatively quick span.
p.s. Although our kids are 22 and 26, the swing set and all members of the Davis family will remain intact for the near future. We're going to be 1st time grandparents in October!!
|
|
|
|
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 15, 2024 9:41:28 GMT -6
The Davis on the roof in North St. Pete reports that we were mostly missed yesterday, compared to some of you. He says .28" I knew we didn't get a whole lot. I was surprised to hear about all the flooding. Definitely a feast or famine situation. |
|
|
|
Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on May 15, 2024 10:12:56 GMT -6
Storm total (started 4:45 05/13) of 1.3" in Marissa, according to Bette Davis on the swing set.
Around 1.2" of that yesterday afternoon in a relatively quick span.
p.s. Although our kids are 22 and 26, the swing set and all members of the Davis family will remain intact for the near future. We're going to be 1st time grandparents in October!!
Congratulations! |
|
|
|
Post by sgdragons on May 15, 2024 10:36:41 GMT -6
Definitely hit or miss the last 2 days. So glad I was on the miss side this time. I borrowed a box blade to fix the driveway from last Wednesday's storm. I had 3 14ton dump loads dumped on 1/3 of my driveway and some of that area still needs a little more height. Then the attention turns to the area around the house and outbuilding. Definitely need a little more 'dry' time. Tractor blew a seal in a lift cylinder early yesterday and I was shoveling damp 3/4 minus rock into a little trailer towed by a 4 wheeler. 4 loads of that and I had enough. Glad I can still do that stuff, but it is getting 'old'. Kudos to Gary at Newco Hydraulics in De Soto for fixing the cylinder on short notice. I hope the 'kudos' is within bounds of the rules. Mannnn that hits close to home. We have a 1/2 mile shared drive, all rock. It took me three hours to fix ours from the storms last week. We really need 3-4 dump loads of 1"+. |
|
|
|
Post by ElburnDave on May 15, 2024 11:57:59 GMT -6
Congratulations, dschreib!
|
|
|
|
Post by REB on May 15, 2024 12:45:12 GMT -6
Storm total (started 4:45 05/13) of 1.3" in Marissa, according to Bette Davis on the swing set.
Around 1.2" of that yesterday afternoon in a relatively quick span.
p.s. Although our kids are 22 and 26, the swing set and all members of the Davis family will remain intact for the near future. We're going to be 1st time grandparents in October!!
Exciting days ahead. Congrats |
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 15, 2024 13:30:41 GMT -6
This was posted yesterday. So I'm sure it's changed. This is for next week.  |
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on May 15, 2024 16:00:15 GMT -6
Storm total (started 4:45 05/13) of 1.3" in Marissa, according to Bette Davis on the swing set.
Around 1.2" of that yesterday afternoon in a relatively quick span.
p.s. Although our kids are 22 and 26, the swing set and all members of the Davis family will remain intact for the near future. We're going to be 1st time grandparents in October!!
Congratulations, hang on tight.😊 We had a great-granddaughter born at the end of March.😳😳😊😊🥰🥰😍😍 |
|
|
|
Post by showtime - Marissa on May 15, 2024 18:33:46 GMT -6
Storm total (started 4:45 05/13) of 1.3" in Marissa, according to Bette Davis on the swing set.
Around 1.2" of that yesterday afternoon in a relatively quick span.
p.s. Although our kids are 22 and 26, the swing set and all members of the Davis family will remain intact for the near future. We're going to be 1st time grandparents in October!!
c Congratulation!!! It’s literally the best job in the world!! |
|
|
|
Post by bdgwx on May 15, 2024 18:50:05 GMT -6
The heat index in Key West hit 115 F today. That obliterates the previous record by 17 F and ties the all time high and its only mid-May. 99 is super jealous.
|
|
sisu
Weather Weenie
Bourbon, MO
Posts: 38
|
Post by sisu on May 15, 2024 19:02:56 GMT -6
Storm total (started 4:45 05/13) of 1.3" in Marissa, according to Bette Davis on the swing set.
Around 1.2" of that yesterday afternoon in a relatively quick span.
p.s. Although our kids are 22 and 26, the swing set and all members of the Davis family will remain intact for the near future. We're going to be 1st time grandparents in October!!
Congratulations on your happy family news!! In my eyes, the sun rose and set with my maternal grandparents. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on May 15, 2024 19:03:25 GMT -6
The heat index in Key West hit 115 F today. That obliterates the previous record by 17 F and ties the all time high and its only mid-May. 99 is super jealous. It just goes to show that going to Florida, any part of Florida, any time of the year is a horrible horrible decision. |
|
|
|
Post by REB on May 15, 2024 19:50:12 GMT -6
The heat index in Key West hit 115 F today. That obliterates the previous record by 17 F and ties the all time high and its only mid-May. 99 is super jealous. It just goes to show that going to Florida, any part of Florida, any time of the year is a horrible horrible decision. I’m with you 99 |
|
|
|
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 15, 2024 20:10:51 GMT -6
More water on its way down the Missouri. Heavy rain and flash flooding in the Omaha area this evening.
|
|
|
|
Post by Jeffmw on May 15, 2024 21:44:40 GMT -6
Do we have an early forecast for the Memorial Day Holiday weekend next week?
|
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 16, 2024 5:23:27 GMT -6
Looks like instability will be limited today with widespread clouds/precip and meager lapse rates.
|
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 16, 2024 10:20:35 GMT -6
Looks like there's some broken clearing down south...CAMs have been showing a few storms firing this afternoon/early evening across the Ozarks with around 750-1000j/kg CAPE.
|
|
|
|
Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on May 16, 2024 13:30:19 GMT -6
Sun is in and out here
|
|
|
|
Post by REB on May 16, 2024 14:16:14 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on May 16, 2024 19:13:16 GMT -6
Houston got hammered
|
|
