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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 26, 2024 14:48:14 GMT -6
This is turning into a scary situation fast with the frontal wave riding up 44 and surface winds backed ahead of it. The shear parameters are loaded for strong tornadogenesis.
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Post by weatherj on May 26, 2024 14:49:06 GMT -6
I wondered if the morning storms being not nearly as organized as the severe MCS which was expected would factor into afternoon development. I know there still was a bow-MCS, but it was so far displaced S I'm wondering if it didn't scrub the atmosphere like it would have if the intensity and organization would have been much stronger in the CWA from the morning storms. Then again it may not have mattered either way since I am just taking a guess, lol.
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Post by scmhack on May 26, 2024 14:50:15 GMT -6
Okay i’m at the point of wondering now what the hell the NWS is doing. I normally give them all the leeway
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 327 
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Post by bob on May 26, 2024 14:50:32 GMT -6
Have tickets for cards game do you think i should skip game tonight
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Post by let it snow11 on May 26, 2024 14:52:17 GMT -6
Bumped up dinner plans from 5:30 to 4:30. Thanks for the good info guys, and thanks to Chris for being on top of it all day.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 26, 2024 14:52:57 GMT -6
I wondered if the morning storms being not nearly as organized as the severe MCS which was expected would factor into afternoon development. I know there still was a bow-MCS, but it was so far displaced S I'm wondering if it didn't scrub the atmosphere like it would have if the intensity and organization would have been much stronger in the CWA from the morning storms. Then again it may not have mattered either way since I am just taking a guess, lol. The timing of it moving out by early to mid-morning and the EML/subsidence behind it coupled with strong moisture advection allowing rapid destabilization was the wild card. |
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202
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Post by BDS on May 26, 2024 14:53:07 GMT -6
Okay i’m at the point of wondering now what the hell the NWS is doing. I normally give them all the leeway I don’t think this is the local offices…they were putting out on social media that there was a risk for severe weather today and in the areas it’s going to develop and is currently…SPC was behind on the messaging, and the atmosphere very quickly destabilized. Sometimes that isn’t evident until short term. SPC is behind today. |
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Post by scmhack on May 26, 2024 14:54:38 GMT -6
Okay i’m at the point of wondering now what the hell the NWS is doing. I normally give them all the leeway I don’t think this is the local offices…they were putting out on social media that there was a risk for severe weather today and in the areas it’s going to develop and is currently…SPC was behind on the messaging, and the atmosphere very quickly destabilized. Sometimes that isn’t evident until short term. SPC is behind today. I meant spc/noaa/nws as a whole. They all work together |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 26, 2024 14:56:51 GMT -6
Just to be clear, the local NWS offices don't typically hoist watches...just ammend or cancel them. This is squarely on the SPC.
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 26, 2024 14:57:07 GMT -6
PDS watching coming shortly.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 26, 2024 14:57:37 GMT -6
lots of commas in sw mo
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Post by thechaser on May 26, 2024 14:59:01 GMT -6
SPC has conference calls with WFOs so everyone is on the same page and agreement about where to put higher end outlooks and watches. They likely had to coordinate with several WFOs since it will be a PDS Tornado Watch, so it takes time. Just my two cents.
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Post by scmhack on May 26, 2024 14:59:34 GMT -6
PDS watching coming shortly. Crud. Damn. Shoot. Just got the alert. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 26, 2024 15:00:27 GMT -6
The earlier MDs are becoming way outdated as well...wondering if they are having some server issues or something
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 26, 2024 15:01:22 GMT -6
Radio just went off. Tornado watch up till 11pm
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 26, 2024 15:02:08 GMT -6
PDS Tornado watch up Man, today has gone from 0-100000  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on May 26, 2024 15:03:21 GMT -6
The earlier MDs are becoming way outdated as well...wondering if they are having some server issues or something Short staffed for the holiday maybe |
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Post by The Commish- Lake St. Louis on May 26, 2024 15:12:31 GMT -6
I don’t think I have ever seen a radar where every single cell is currently warned. Hopefully the cardinals will error in the side of caution and just send everyone home. Not a good time to be at the ball park
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Post by yypc on May 26, 2024 15:12:57 GMT -6
Lake of the ozarks is getting pounded with 2.75” hail right now.
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Post by dgl1004-Moberly, MO on May 26, 2024 15:13:18 GMT -6
PDS Tornado watch up Man, today has gone from 0-100000 Started with an enhanced risk, then marginal, then back to enhanced and a PDS watch. Crazy. Everyone down that way stay safe. |
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Post by dgl1004-Moberly, MO on May 26, 2024 15:14:26 GMT -6
I don’t think I have ever seen a radar where every single cell is currently warned. Hopefully the cardinals will error in the side of caution and just send everyone home. Not a good time to be at the ball park Keeps everyone safe and means the Cards didn’t lose to the Cubs this weekend. |
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Post by bororug on May 26, 2024 15:14:47 GMT -6
Marble size hail falling currently at Lake of the Ozarks. It’s coming.
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Post by yypc on May 26, 2024 15:17:30 GMT -6
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on May 26, 2024 15:20:26 GMT -6
I finally gave up on Ryan Hall about 1:15 am, back on the live stream...
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202
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Post by BDS on May 26, 2024 15:21:27 GMT -6
I don’t think I have ever seen a radar where every single cell is currently warned. Hopefully the cardinals will error in the side of caution and just send everyone home. Not a good time to be at the ball park Not a good time at all. If they held the start back until 8 or 9 they may be able to get the game in…but the cards play tomorrow in Cincinnati at 3. |
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Post by bororug on May 26, 2024 15:21:34 GMT -6
It’s looks like there is a decent size hail core just to our south. Pea to marble size still here. We are staying in Rocky Mount, MO.
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202
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Post by BDS on May 26, 2024 15:22:00 GMT -6
Definitely two inch hail fell on the north side of the lake. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 26, 2024 15:31:45 GMT -6
Washington, MO needs to be on high alert...that supercell is trying hard to wrap up on the S/SW flank
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Post by dschreib on May 26, 2024 15:37:54 GMT -6
Need to pay close attention to anything that runs out in front of the line.
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 387 
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Post by twocat on May 26, 2024 15:58:31 GMT -6
Pea sized hail in North St. Pete.
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