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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 16, 2024 9:54:53 GMT -6
watered and mowed early but it's still miserable. The breeze is glorious out here...the sun, not so much! |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jun 16, 2024 9:55:52 GMT -6
Humidity is noticeable today. Yuck.
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lunchladyd
Junior Forecaster
On the Troy -Silex, Mo. line
Posts: 395 
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Post by lunchladyd on Jun 16, 2024 11:39:52 GMT -6
Happy Belated Birthday BRTN! Sorry I missed it. Glad you had a good day.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 16, 2024 12:34:42 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Brtn! And Happy Father's Day to all our dads!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 16, 2024 14:35:04 GMT -6
Happy Dad's day, Dads!
Really cool looking MCV near KDVN this afternoon with a huge, arcing outflow around it(or maybe a gravity wave?)
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 16, 2024 15:26:05 GMT -6
Models are trending stronger with the ridge that's going to retrograde into the Midwest this week which means less influence from the tropical system in the Gulf here. The good news is that the low-level flow is E/SE for much of the week, pulling Atlantic airmass in and keeping the torch at bay...but precip chances don't look as impressive now. Our best bet is tomorrow and Tuesday with that subtle wave and moisture stream off the Gulf.
It's a bit concerning how quickly the jet retreated northward over the past several weeks...it seems like the La Nina is starting to gain traction now. If there's not a significant pattern change soon, it's going to turn hot and dry quickly with the drought building back in like last summer. Ensembles do show the flow turning more out of the NW later in the month, but it's not a very amplified pattern and fairly zonal overall.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 16, 2024 15:49:05 GMT -6
Happy Dad's day, Dads! Really cool looking MCV near KDVN this afternoon with a huge, arcing outflow around it(or maybe a gravity wave?) That's a healthy bow echo head across northern IL towards Chicago. Meanwhile, odd looking ground clutter moving across the KLSX super res 1 radar. Not sure if it's moisture flow or what. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 16, 2024 16:05:36 GMT -6
Happy Dad's day, Dads! Really cool looking MCV near KDVN this afternoon with a huge, arcing outflow around it(or maybe a gravity wave?) That's a healthy bow echo head across northern IL towards Chicago. Meanwhile, odd looking ground clutter moving across the KLSX super res 1 radar. Not sure if it's moisture flow or what. Yeah, they've got a special marine advisory out for the outflow winds. Those are convective streamers on LSX radar...looks like a few small showers are trying to develop. |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jun 16, 2024 17:26:26 GMT -6
Old outflow backing towards the nw through Southern st Clair county
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 16, 2024 18:09:51 GMT -6
KSTL made it to 97 F today.
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Post by Jeffmw on Jun 16, 2024 19:02:08 GMT -6
A little OT but KPLR is airing the movie Armageddon tonight.
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Post by tedrick65 on Jun 16, 2024 21:33:14 GMT -6
Well... Tapatalk pretty much backed me in to paying for VIP. The performance of MTWSTL on Tapatalk free had pretty much been crippled for me the last couple of months. Page load times of over a minute plus the 5 second full page pop-up ads. That all mysteriously disappeared the instant I paid for VIP.
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Post by yypc on Jun 17, 2024 5:25:44 GMT -6
I think that may be the first 80+ degree low of the season
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 17, 2024 8:06:00 GMT -6
We could see a pretty good string of consecutive 90+ days. We are already up to 5 and odds look good of at least 7 more.
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 17, 2024 8:10:17 GMT -6
I think that may be the first 80+ degree low of the season Yeah. The low this morning at KSTL was 81 F. The record is 80 F from 2018. We have to wait and see what happens this evening before declaring a record. The NBM is saying it will be 80 F at midnight tonight so it will be close. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 17, 2024 9:06:22 GMT -6
I would think it won't be close unless there's a storm over or near Lambert or an outflow.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 17, 2024 9:28:24 GMT -6
I think that may be the first 80+ degree low of the season Yeah. The low this morning at KSTL was 81 F. The record is 80 F from 2018. We have to wait and see what happens this evening before declaring a record. The NBM is saying it will be 80 F at midnight tonight so it will be close. 8* warmer than MBY in the heat island... |
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Post by tedrick65 on Jun 17, 2024 10:28:56 GMT -6
Made it down to 72.5° in High Ridge
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jun 17, 2024 11:05:17 GMT -6
Yeah. The low this morning at KSTL was 81 F. The record is 80 F from 2018. We have to wait and see what happens this evening before declaring a record. The NBM is saying it will be 80 F at midnight tonight so it will be close. 8* warmer than MBY in the heat island... It's pretty incredible. We are 8.5 miles SE of the arch. We got down to 74. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 17, 2024 11:28:12 GMT -6
Pretty nice cluster of storms working up the river valley...we'll see if it holds together
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Post by REB on Jun 17, 2024 11:35:04 GMT -6
Pretty nice cluster of storms working up the river valley...we'll see if it holds together . I sure hope so. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 17, 2024 14:27:17 GMT -6
Pretty nice cluster of storms working up the river valley...we'll see if it holds together Not looking promising HRRR has shown it fizzling out over the IL counties later this afternoon |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 17, 2024 15:21:10 GMT -6
Pretty nice cluster of storms working up the river valley...we'll see if it holds together Not looking promising HRRR has shown it fizzling out over the IL counties later this afternoon Chris has a map on Facebook showing them making a hard right into southern Illinois. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 17, 2024 15:32:14 GMT -6
Pretty nice cluster of storms working up the river valley...we'll see if it holds together Not looking promising HRRR has shown it fizzling out over the IL counties later this afternoon Yeah, looking like a big juicy nothingburger..."not great" |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jun 17, 2024 15:51:03 GMT -6
Things will be turning brown quickly.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 17, 2024 16:02:11 GMT -6
Things will be turning brown quickly. These hot winds are giving me flashbacks to last summer...crazy how quickly the weather turned on us |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jun 17, 2024 17:17:50 GMT -6
All the rain just disappeared right before it made it here …. Had about 1O drops lol
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 17, 2024 18:25:44 GMT -6
Is all the rain in the plains and across Minnesota going to start causing river level problems for us? Or is there still some wiggle room in the river volumes?
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Post by amstilost on Jun 17, 2024 21:16:07 GMT -6
I spent about a quarter of the day yesterday deburring and painting the edges of the outbuilding roof. To keep this weather related, it was hot.🥵🥵 The gutter men came at 6:30 this morning and they were done at 7:30. them guys are quick. It was cool this morning but the roof was pretty wet from the dew. Now I know why the gutter guy does not do sheet metal work.🤔🤔🤪🤪
I was hoping to get some rain just to see how well they did with keeping the water from splashing at/into the doorways. Looks like I might have to wait a little bit on that. It was a beautiful evening this evening seven miles west of DeSoto.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 18, 2024 8:48:25 GMT -6
Radar echos upstream look to be on a better trajectory today...hopefully there's good development this afternoon.
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