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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 3, 2024 6:53:06 GMT -6
3.06 and still ticking away!
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Post by cardsnweather on Jul 3, 2024 7:00:14 GMT -6
Half foot out by Columbia.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 3, 2024 7:06:01 GMT -6
Just getting into the heavier rain .19
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Jul 3, 2024 7:22:59 GMT -6
The Davis drought monitor on the roof in North St. Pete is really pleased to report 2.6" Fantastic!!!
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savunma
Weather Weenie
Granite City
Posts: 72 
Snowfall Events: 11/16/14 - 1.5"
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Post by savunma on Jul 3, 2024 8:25:02 GMT -6
.68" this morning, so not bad. I want this same thing tomorrow morning so I can enjoy it from the comfort of my bed.
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Post by amstilost on Jul 3, 2024 8:33:32 GMT -6
I've had several very short bursts of heavy rain mixed in with some light rain. Perfect for the ground 7 miles west of desoto. Guessing and looking at radar estimates, looks like around a half inch here.
Some pretty insane rain amounts north and west of me.
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 3, 2024 8:47:19 GMT -6
3.32 storm total from this round in st.peters.
I wonder if we will need a flash flood watch tonight now that the ground is saturated and Dardeene Creek is roaring
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 3, 2024 9:04:02 GMT -6
I would bet that FFW is likely. I do believe I recall the setup is that boundary would slowly sag south, then come back up as a warm front. As Ajd mentioned, this seems to be "overperforming" my expectations so early.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 3, 2024 9:36:40 GMT -6
I remember that cool July 4 from 1997. The O'Fallon celebration was still being held at Civic Park. I believe we wore jackets to the fireworks display. I don't recall what time of day that 71 degree temp was, but it was in the 60s for much of the day, it seems.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 3, 2024 9:50:50 GMT -6
.39 morning total. Nice and steady for a couple hours.
Also, this marks 1 year of my weather station being in operation. Been a pretty flawless year.
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Post by dmbstl on Jul 3, 2024 10:28:33 GMT -6
A tiny bit over 1.0 here. I’ll take it.
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Post by REB on Jul 3, 2024 12:48:58 GMT -6
Stopped at .3
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Jul 3, 2024 14:36:41 GMT -6
Radar is starting to come alive let's see how much more we get! 🌧️
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 3, 2024 14:59:53 GMT -6
Nice rainfall total minima right over MBY...lol It's really not even amusing at this point.  |
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Post by dschreib on Jul 3, 2024 15:09:06 GMT -6
Swingset Davis reports a paltry 0.07” in Marissa.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 3, 2024 15:41:57 GMT -6
What are the PWATS? It feels like I'm walking into a swimming pool outside... just gross.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 3, 2024 15:47:59 GMT -6
We'll need to keep an eye on trends tomorrow afternoon/evening ahead of the cold front...models have 30kts+ bulk shear with ample instability in place. Firework displays may be in jeopardy with a severe storm risk.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 3, 2024 15:48:46 GMT -6
What are the PWATS? It feels like I'm walking into a swimming pool outside... just gross. About as high as they get outside of tropical remnants...2"+ |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 3, 2024 15:52:58 GMT -6
HRRR has 3 plus inches along 70 through the metro, even 4+ inches in isolated spots. Alot of these same areas were under flash flood warnings this morning.
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Post by sgdragons on Jul 3, 2024 16:38:39 GMT -6
Nice rainfall total minima right over MBY...lol It's really not even amusing at this point. If you mirrored that map on a center axis across Ste. Gen, that is what the precip map will look like later tonight. Unbelievable. 0.0 |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 3, 2024 17:41:18 GMT -6
HRRR has 3 plus inches along 70 through the metro, even 4+ inches in isolated spots. Alot of these same areas were under flash flood warnings this morning. Models are still focusing strong low-level convergence near 70 overnight with potential for training convection...those amounts are believable unless you're in the Brighton area, haha. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 3, 2024 17:51:34 GMT -6
HRRR has 3 plus inches along 70 through the metro, even 4+ inches in isolated spots. Alot of these same areas were under flash flood warnings this morning. Models are still focusing strong low-level convergence near 70 overnight with potential for training convection...those amounts are believable unless you're in the Brighton area, haha. 64 in il? |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 3, 2024 17:55:16 GMT -6
Models are still focusing strong low-level convergence near 70 overnight with potential for training convection...those amounts are believable unless you're in the Brighton area, haha. 64 in il? "Close enough"...some models have the heavier convection setting up down that way |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 3, 2024 18:33:56 GMT -6
NAM 3K keeps the bullseye of heavy rains in central missouri with areas of 6+ inches. If I were to go out on a limb, I would say 1 to 3 inches, spots to 5 inches possible along the 70 corridor, and points to the south. The placement of the NWS flood watch seems to make sense to me
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Post by dschreib on Jul 3, 2024 19:35:35 GMT -6
Storm total update in Marissa, after the 0.04" this afternoon, 0.11".
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 3, 2024 19:38:37 GMT -6
.16" here just north of Mascoutah.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 3, 2024 20:20:08 GMT -6
HRRR is showing a concerning setup for flash flooding over the metro tonight
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 3, 2024 20:59:02 GMT -6
The GRAF model in house is equally as wet.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 3, 2024 22:13:14 GMT -6
seems like the HRRR is wagons north now with the 3+ inches of rain? Am I misreading?
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Post by ndolan387 on Jul 3, 2024 22:17:38 GMT -6
Yeah it's scary where the 00z HRRR is setting up the trailing overnight. Similar to what happened after midnight. This is a prolific heavy rain setup. Yes lots of convergence near the I-70 corridor. There's also signs that the lift in this ripple at 500mb even shows a ever so slight neg tilt to it...heavy rain!  |
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