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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 19, 2019 7:55:06 GMT -6
Here's my revised and final forecast...should a doozie with the winds picking up.
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Post by REB on Jan 19, 2019 7:55:45 GMT -6
Chris, your honesty and humility when things just don’t go the way they should have makes you a more trusted forecaster. Thank you for all of the extra hours you spent on this difficult forecast.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 19, 2019 7:57:41 GMT -6
So no one is going to comment on the NAM going ham???
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Post by sullivandave on Jan 19, 2019 8:00:20 GMT -6
Poor Chris, had to go as far as writing BUST on the storm runner.... I'm sad too buddy. Better luck next time, keep up the great work!!! Hope everyone enjoys their Saturday
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Post by dschreib on Jan 19, 2019 8:00:23 GMT -6
So no one is going to comment on the NAM going ham??? The NAM is close...for some.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 19, 2019 8:02:53 GMT -6
Its blizzarding at my place. Winds off the lake and the dry snow are pretty wild. Obviously impossible to measure, but will probably end in the 4-7 inch range before the lake effect gets cranking into Sunday.
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Post by dschreib on Jan 19, 2019 8:03:56 GMT -6
Its blizzarding at my place. Winds off the lake and the dry snow are pretty wild. Obviously impossible to measure, but will probably end in the 4-7 inch range before the lake effect gets cranking into Sunday. We'll live vicariously through you.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 19, 2019 8:04:48 GMT -6
So no one is going to comment on the NAM going ham??? The NAM is close...for some. Close?? That's way more than close.
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Post by pbc12871 on Jan 19, 2019 8:05:10 GMT -6
Hit me again Ike..this time put some stank on it!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 19, 2019 8:08:59 GMT -6
So no one is going to comment on the NAM going ham??? I still don't understand how the deformation sets up underneath the 850mb low...
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Post by dschreib on Jan 19, 2019 8:09:23 GMT -6
The NAM is close...for some. Close?? That's way more than close. Shhh. You'll scare it away.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 19, 2019 8:10:21 GMT -6
lol. Nam. Wake me when we have 2 inches..in union. Goodnight.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 19, 2019 8:11:28 GMT -6
So no one is going to comment on the NAM going ham??? I still don't understand how the deformation sets up underneath the 850mb low... [br Maybe that's why it's adjusting?? The nam tracks a much healthier looking vorticity through the bootheal. Yeah I'm wishing But the name conceptually looks way more realistic
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 19, 2019 8:11:40 GMT -6
6"+ in Poplar Bluff...I just don't see how.
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Post by snowjunky on Jan 19, 2019 8:15:03 GMT -6
Someone has to start the normal STL winter slogan for the corner. Two More Weeks....
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 19, 2019 8:15:07 GMT -6
6"+ instead Poplar Bluff...I just don't see how. The Springfield MO radar has left turning precip exploding now. Because the vort max is maturing and punching NE
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Post by tedrick65 on Jan 19, 2019 8:18:31 GMT -6
BWG..You revel in schadenfreude, don't you? I learned a new word today. Had to look that one up. I also wasn't sure which 4-letter word you had paired with "goat"
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Post by tedrick65 on Jan 19, 2019 8:21:16 GMT -6
I hope Chris is taking Tim Ezell's act this morning in good fun.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 19, 2019 8:24:16 GMT -6
I hope Chris is taking Tim Ezell's act this morning in good fun. You have too... it is good fun. In all honestly... looks like only 50% bust... along and northwest of I44 and north of I70 are busting hard... but seeing as the original forecast included up to 3" for Farmington...and 1-3 for just south of there...it really should play out quite nicely down there.
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 19, 2019 8:24:52 GMT -6
Looks like there’s a vort up in IA that may join the fun. I just wish this mess was over. Such a promising storm that went kaput
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 19, 2019 8:30:49 GMT -6
I wish this could have been an all around snow for the whole area, but in looking forward to watching this play out. No offense y'all, but the first November snow shifted way north, second November snow shifted way north, and last weekend's system was 4 inches for me that got rained away for the most part the next day while you guys were all measuring 9-12 inches. I'm due.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 19, 2019 8:32:03 GMT -6
Well I knew I'd bust here! But didn't think north of me would bust this bad and not get anything! I'll say it agsin, I just had this horrible feeling about this storm all week. What a very weird setup!!! It's like it is going to really blow up east of us in southern IL.
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Post by ams3389 on Jan 19, 2019 8:33:12 GMT -6
I loved Tim sledding down Art Hill this morning. Speaking of mornings, hopefully Steincross is doing better and can still work those mornings in the future. What a weird storm. Even the extreme cold isn’t happening. Thanks Chris for all as always. Cold and no snow here in the metro just isn’t the same haha.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 19, 2019 8:34:57 GMT -6
I wish this could have been an all around snow for the whole area, but in looking forward to watching this play out. No offense y'all, but the first November snow shifted way north, second November snow shifted way north, and last weekend's system was 4 inches for me that got rained away for the most part the next day while you guys were all measuring 9-12 inches. I'm due. The Springfield MO radar is blowing up. We will know in a couole hours what's up. I think you will see 2"+. If it goes really well you will cash in 4" and I'll get 2". And BOOOM
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 19, 2019 8:35:42 GMT -6
If it's any consolation, the big cities of the northeast and Mid-Atlantic aren't going to get much if any snow either, which just 12 hours ago was showing heavy snow and a solid Nor-Easter now it looks much warmer along the coast and any snow pushed well Inland. So even the east coaster Winnies are gonna be hurting. This storm just doesn't want to follow the normal rules of meteorology and seems to have a mind of it's own. Weird system indeed even if it didn't perform how we would of liked it too.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 19, 2019 8:37:49 GMT -6
This storm reminds me a lot of the storm last winter where I was so adamant that it was coming in further N and it ended up dumping snow up the OH river.
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Post by pbc12871 on Jan 19, 2019 8:37:57 GMT -6
It is of no consolation. More schadenfreude though..
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 19, 2019 8:38:52 GMT -6
Also for some good news, the sun returns tomorrow along with mostly clear skies for Sunday Night in time for the Lunar Eclipse which looks to be the last total lunar eclipse visible in St. Louis that's at a convenient time (as in not ridiculously late at night or early morning hours) for quite some time.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 19, 2019 8:41:36 GMT -6
I wish this could have been an all around snow for the whole area, but in looking forward to watching this play out. No offense y'all, but the first November snow shifted way north, second November snow shifted way north, and last weekend's system was 4 inches for me that got rained away for the most part the next day while you guys were all measuring 9-12 inches. I'm due. The Springfield MO radar is blowing up. We will know in a couole hours what's up. I think you will see 2"+. If it goes really well you will cash in 4" and I'll get 2". And BOOOM Yea, radar looks great down there. The area of precip is more north-south oriented than I expected which is a good thing.
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Post by dschreib on Jan 19, 2019 8:41:50 GMT -6
I loved Tim sledding down Art Hill this morning. Speaking of mornings, hopefully Steincross is doing better and can still work those mornings in the future. What a weird storm. Even the extreme cold isn’t happening. Thanks Chris for all as always. Cold and no snow here in the metro just isn’t the same haha. I'll say it again--some of the best "sledding" I did was down the band practice field hill at SEMO during a torrential downpour.
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