|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 3, 2022 10:29:32 GMT -6
Why does the radar show the storm falling apart around 4PM if there is tons of moisture still down 44? Because it's a dumb computer model Thank you! That’s exactly the answer I was hoping for! 😊
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 3, 2022 10:24:33 GMT -6
Pretty heavy stuff falling now. Flake size is much larger. Barnhart, MO
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 3, 2022 10:23:07 GMT -6
Why does the radar show the storm falling apart around 4PM if there is tons of moisture still down 44?
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 3, 2022 6:49:51 GMT -6
The plow came though at 4:00 and our street is completely covered again. I’m guessing we have 3” but it’s blowing all over the place. Barnhart, MO
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 2, 2022 11:25:30 GMT -6
Down to 23* from 28* with heavy sleet in Barnhart.
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 2, 2022 8:27:24 GMT -6
Yeah--just a friendly reminder to always include locations in posts when reporting conditions. A lot of people follow along on mobile, so they can't see locations even if they're in the signature. THANK YOU! 😊
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 2, 2022 2:20:38 GMT -6
34* in Barnhart
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 1, 2022 22:35:17 GMT -6
The fact that 1982 only recieved 13.5" at the airport is crazy. I wonder if that's reliable. My grandparents measured 22"+ in Fairview heights, IL. But the official Belleville amount was 14.8" I think. We had 14-15" in 2014 in Belleville. Yet the impact from the 1982 storm was crazy. I know it was wetter snow but still. I, unfortunately, was not here. Was here from CA to get married on 12/30/81 and was back in CA when this hit. My brother-in-law had a 72 Chevy 4 wheel drive and he was ferrying nurses to Jefferson Memorial Hospital and delivering prescriptions. He said 22-24" fell in Festus. I was in 8th grade. First boy/girl party parents ever let me attend. Dropped me off and they went on to have a night in with friends, not realizing the snow was literally pouring down. Got stuck at the party for three days. One of the greatest memories of my life. My dad measured 19-20” in Hillsboro.
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 1, 2022 13:20:21 GMT -6
The models all are honing in on an incredible long duration event centered along and just South of 44/64 between. Roughly 3/4AM Thursday until near rush hour Thursday. With a window inside of that of possible 1" an hour roughly for 8-10 hours. In most events as the 850mb low tracks past us PWATs quickly plummet. This event is set up with a spectacular caveat. Above rough)y 800MB or so. Winds are out of the SSW to SW to WSW as you go up in height. It's not moot. There is substantial warming. Nothing to effect precipitation type. Since the exact track of the second portion of the system isn't set in stone it's not yet possible to pin point where the sweet spot will be. Where moisture, lift, temperature, and wind meet to maximize snow totals. The uknet and Euro are the furthest South. GFS and NAM are a little further North than those two. And the GEMs are the furthest North. Snow ratios for the second half along 44/64 and just South will definitely be well above 10-1. It appears 15-1 will be a good starting point. A blend of the uk, nam, GFS, and Euro yields 15-1. Verbatim those 4 models probably average out higher than that. But that is a fair compromise given the winds are pretty strong especially between 875-950MB. The Canadian models are a lot warmer and North with the 0C is otherm. I didn't include them because if they are right then a lot of factors change. Considering the huge difference between the Canadians and Europeans with the Americans in-between/closer to the Europeans. For now it's a good blend. So far now Im thinking 10-15" at 44/64 and within 40 miles to the South of that line for the second part.n I like anything that reads, “a good starting point.”
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Jan 19, 2022 17:02:43 GMT -6
Yep! As we were having the conversation on whether to call or not, it certainly came down to timing and when buses would be on the road if precip did start coming down and causing issues. We’d always rather err on the side of safety for students and staff! Always have to think about the High School kids who will be driving home as well as the buses. Always a tough call. Probably doesn't hurt that it has been a quiet winter to this point. And staffing is a huge issue right now, so inclement weather would be welcome by most of us in the field.
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Jan 15, 2022 9:04:43 GMT -6
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Jan 14, 2022 16:56:03 GMT -6
Went from 45 to 39 in a half an hour. And my head feels it. -Barnhart, MO
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Dec 5, 2021 10:53:41 GMT -6
Apparently, I am on the wrong side of St. Pete. According to the Davis on the roof in North St. Pete we only had .05" Barely got the street wet. We need some rain. Wish me luck, please. I'm getting a brand new right knee in the morning. To say I am nervous about it is an understatement. I got a brand new knee three years ago. My best advice is do everything the drs. and physical therapists tell you to do!
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Apr 20, 2021 18:20:31 GMT -6
Hillsboro Primary School— 345 PM
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 17, 2021 15:42:55 GMT -6
I’m not sure if anyone else is having issues, but I have not been able to join this group using Tapatalk all day. When I search for Morethanweatherstl, nothing comes up. Anybody have any ideas?
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 16, 2021 16:34:38 GMT -6
Well I know fox called off tomorrow and so did Hillsboro. I am a principal in Hillsboro. Some roads are in great shape, while others are slushy and others snow packed.
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 15, 2021 19:27:55 GMT -6
Did Proboards go down for a few minutes there? Think so I had issues also I couldn’t get on either.
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 14, 2021 16:47:45 GMT -6
Flurries/light snow in Barnhart.
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 14, 2021 14:50:45 GMT -6
I just received a CODE RED winter storm warning from St. Clair County. And we just got our Jefferson County notification.
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 14, 2021 11:57:44 GMT -6
Problem is that most of society is completely oblivious to weather and the dangers of it. Unfortunately we live in a world where most people can’t or won’t make their own decisions and rely on others to warn them or tell them. But will a WSW make them pay attention? Will they prepare differently if they are that oblivious? I doubt it. Probably not, but then I get to say I told you so.....
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 14, 2021 11:40:31 GMT -6
I don’t get the warning stuff. It’s 0 degrees out and accumulating snow is being called for. Do you really need somebody to tell you to be careful with that? Seems silly It does seem silly to a group of people who pay attention to the weather, but there are lot of people—my twenty-something son included— who do not know what’s coming until they get a notification. A lot of people will make plans and go out and about without a care in the world and then be shocked when conditions deteriorate. And I’ve said this in the past-we do not get storms and temps like these often. Many people have no idea how to drive in heavy snow, let alone be prepared in case they get stuck somewhere in frigid temps
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 14, 2021 11:35:17 GMT -6
I don’t get the warning stuff. It’s 0 degrees out and accumulating snow is being called for. Do you really need somebody to tell you to be careful with that? Seems silly It does seem silly to a group of people who pay attention to the weather, but there are lot of people—my twenty-something son included— who do not know what’s coming until they get a notification. A lot of people will make plans and go out and about without a care in the world and then be shocked when conditions deteriorate.
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 14, 2021 9:04:26 GMT -6
Someone please explain to me why we aren’t under a WSW?
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 14, 2021 6:50:13 GMT -6
Disregard that, I’m sure that’s a computer generated error, it will not be raining on Wednesday , should be all snow unless something changes drastically Thank you! I’m no expert, but I thought that looked a little suspect. LOL! Now, back to this storm!
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 14, 2021 6:40:39 GMT -6
So......if Wednesday starts as rain? We will be talking a major ice event?
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Jan 30, 2021 17:20:03 GMT -6
Will the wind pick up as the low gets closer? Just wondering as we haven’t gotten the forecasted wind yet! Wind has picked up in Barnhart.
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Dec 25, 2020 5:01:08 GMT -6
Merry Christmas!
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 5, 2020 13:52:05 GMT -6
Sleeting pretty darn hard in Barnhart, MO.
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Feb 4, 2020 14:38:13 GMT -6
I was just out at the NWS working on a story for later this month... It appears entire watch will kick to a warning... but for STL and metro east that is to cover mix of SN/IP...looked like they were goind 1-2 for metro..and then fast jump to near 6 in Lincoln/Warren County area... maybe small part of NW St Charles. I didnt get a good look. Recon! Yes!!!!
|
|
|
Post by freezyfree on Jan 28, 2020 8:18:23 GMT -6
Light snow in Hillsboro, MO. Surfaces, including roads are covered.
|
|