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Post by Tilawn on May 20, 2018 9:12:13 GMT -6
Breezy, pea size hail stones, heavy rain, thunder and lightning
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 20, 2018 9:25:39 GMT -6
Cells have become more discrete/fragmented but still look to be maintaining strength. There was a funnel cloud report out by Owensville
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 20, 2018 9:49:15 GMT -6
Dark roll cloud just came over. Getting brighter already. Thunder, but no rain yet
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Post by ajd446 on May 20, 2018 10:18:45 GMT -6
Will there be enough instability for strong storms this evening
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 20, 2018 10:25:48 GMT -6
Will there be enough instability for strong storms this evening We should clear out quickly behind these showers and storms allowing for some destabilization to occur |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 20, 2018 10:44:10 GMT -6
I love mother nature!  |
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Post by Tilawn on May 20, 2018 11:23:32 GMT -6
Milky sunshine and humid as #%&@!!!!
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 20, 2018 11:39:52 GMT -6
Hrrr is fairly robust with storms this evening across the area. It has performed the best during this mess so I'm going with that.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 20, 2018 12:07:27 GMT -6
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 20, 2018 13:03:10 GMT -6
All sunshine here... has been for two hours.
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Post by ajd446 on May 20, 2018 13:12:57 GMT -6
This evening may be fun I'm 80 so of 71. Several more hours may get to 87 88
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 20, 2018 14:34:24 GMT -6
Small slight risk area added in SW MO.
EDIT: With a watch!
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Post by cozpregon on May 20, 2018 15:08:39 GMT -6
Haven't looked too closely for this evening/overnight... but that is a pretty good looking shortwave.  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 20, 2018 15:19:05 GMT -6
Good amount of effective shear out there. Even with the sunshine mixed layer CAPE hasn't rebounded around here. I think we will see some heavy rain tonight but strong/severe storms could be a struggle  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 20, 2018 18:59:20 GMT -6
That’s a healthy bow segment out west. Low level winds are feeding right into it to
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Post by jmg378s on May 20, 2018 19:03:54 GMT -6
I see at least one severe report southwest of Columbia with the next line of storms. I could be wrong, but I think we'll see a weakening trend as the line approaches the metro area. SPC mesoanalysis shows lackluster MLCAPE < 250j/kg and weak shear less than 20kts.
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Post by jmg378s on May 20, 2018 19:09:16 GMT -6
That’s a healthy bow segment out west. Low level winds are feeding right into it to Both of those bowing segments have fairly good rear inflow jets and nice erect updrafts right now. Definitely worthy of severe warnings at the moment. |
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Post by mosue56 on May 20, 2018 19:10:52 GMT -6
It amazes me how these storms are bad news out west and they weaken by the time they hit here and then get strong again in Illinois. That arch effect year around!
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on May 20, 2018 19:24:24 GMT -6
When will the drought end?
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Post by ajd446 on May 20, 2018 19:25:33 GMT -6
I could still see severe winds and a qlcs tornado in the metro its muggy east low level wind and afternoon full of sun. That squall could be mean along and west of the Mississippi. Stay alert
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Post by unclesam6 on May 20, 2018 19:46:00 GMT -6
When will the drought end?
Got a half an inch of rain in 20 minutes at our station ASOS. Does that count?
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 20, 2018 19:55:42 GMT -6
When will the drought end? Im concerned about flooding. I think i may put that statement in my signature. |
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Post by Snowman99 on May 20, 2018 19:59:44 GMT -6
I'm worried that our chances for snow may be dwindling.
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 20, 2018 19:59:58 GMT -6
They are still holding strong and looking even better. Who knows they might just make it.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 20, 2018 20:05:37 GMT -6
They are still holding strong and looking even better. Who knows they might just make it. Could be feeding off the strengthening low level jet |
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Post by cozpregon on May 20, 2018 20:16:17 GMT -6
Still a good looking shortwave  |
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Post by jeffcobeeman on May 20, 2018 20:18:32 GMT -6
I'm kind of tired of living in a rain forest. Any end in sight?
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Post by scmhack on May 20, 2018 20:31:52 GMT -6
It amazes me how these storms are bad news out west and they weaken by the time they hit here and then get strong again in Illinois. That arch effect year around! It is beause the urban heat island also causes dry air over the city proper but the recent rains should overcome that and leave us in a nice soup to let these fire. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 20, 2018 20:32:51 GMT -6
Looks like it could get a little noisy in a couple of hours
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Post by jeffcobeeman on May 20, 2018 20:46:11 GMT -6
When will the drought end? Im concerned about flooding. I think i may put that statement in my signature. I guess the good thing is it hasn't been widespread heavy rain for a long period of time. Been dry time in between allowing the rivers and streams to drop back down. Ground has got to be getting saturated though in some areas now. Hopefully we get a few days break. |
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