|
|
Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on May 25, 2018 17:01:08 GMT -6
 Looking north |
|
|
|
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 25, 2018 19:20:08 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on May 25, 2018 21:14:18 GMT -6
The list is really much longer than that.
I can add to that...
"The Weather Channel said..."
|
|
|
|
Post by bdgwx on May 25, 2018 22:24:25 GMT -6
It looks like we have a shot at breaking a record for the warmest May ever. Yay!
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on May 25, 2018 22:35:52 GMT -6
Alberto is looking more and more likely by the run to have at least some impact on our weather mid week as the weakness in the upper level ridge dome looks like it wants to split right along the Mississippi River Valley into the Ozarks. That should steer what's left of Alberto and it's moisture our direction. Add to that the MCS pattern looks like it really wants to get going just as Alberto leaves and you have the recipe for an unsettled and potentially soggy week. It would help keep the excessive heat at bay, but that humidity is gonna be killer. Plus side is beneficial rains before things get too dry. Thinking most will see an inch or 2 of rain possibly a lot more before next weekend into the first couple days of June, but lets not get too silly right now. Key is that a week that was looking hotter then heck and dry as a bone just a couple days ago, dang even yesterday is looking less and less so.
|
|
|
|
Post by bororug on May 26, 2018 9:12:11 GMT -6
Holy humidity out there today.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on May 26, 2018 10:16:02 GMT -6
Looks like the GFS has ALberto as a hurricane making landfall Monday morning on the western FL panhandle.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on May 26, 2018 10:36:14 GMT -6
I'm surprised I haven't passed out from loss of blood with all the damn mosquito bites I have. #summersucksbigtime
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on May 26, 2018 11:07:23 GMT -6
Alberto rains looking more likely mid week. Nam takes it right to us while Gfs is further east but trending in our direction. What's the earliest landfalling hurricane?
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on May 26, 2018 14:09:15 GMT -6
3pm...100 degrees at St Joseph, record was 94. Jesus
|
|
|
|
Post by bdgwx on May 26, 2018 14:13:30 GMT -6
The globals (GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET) keep most Alberto's rains to our east. Of the hurricane models HWRF is the only one that tracks it close enough to us fling some rain into Missouri. The HMON and COAMPS are also to the east. The GEFS was further west getting the metro area in on the rain action a bit. I don't know what the EPS says yet.
By the way, I just looked it up. For 2018 the TVCN consensus (which is what the NHC sticks close to on official forecasts) is the GFS, ECMWF, UKMET, COAMPS, and HWRF.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on May 26, 2018 14:22:09 GMT -6
I kind of doubt we see anything from Alberto. Seldom see much from tropical systems if they landfall east of New Orleans.
|
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on May 26, 2018 16:24:50 GMT -6
Wow, west of Macomb is radar indicated 9-10" rainfall totals.
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 26, 2018 16:26:16 GMT -6
Think those storms north of Quincy will make it this far south?
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 26, 2018 16:28:00 GMT -6
3pm...100 degrees at St Joseph, record was 94. Jesus But of course!! We never have a problem making or breaking those records |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on May 26, 2018 16:32:19 GMT -6
Think those storms north of Quincy will make it this far south? Doubt it. But if they do somehow the environment is very supportive of severe winds and hail. Some of the models have been hinting at a few pop up storms in the metro after sunset |
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 26, 2018 19:12:37 GMT -6
It's getting closer to me. Doubt it will stay strong though....  |
|
|
|
Post by jmg378s on May 26, 2018 19:29:29 GMT -6
No violent (rated EF4+) tornadoes have occurred yet this year. I had to go all the way back to 2005 to find an occurrence later than May 25; in that year it took all the way to November 15.
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 26, 2018 19:36:11 GMT -6
Yep, starting to fade......
|
|
|
|
Post by bdgwx on May 26, 2018 20:07:27 GMT -6
3pm...100 degrees at St Joseph, record was 94. Jesus 102F was the high. That absolutely annihilated the old record. |
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on May 26, 2018 22:12:47 GMT -6
Yep, starting to fade...... And just like that it's rapidly blowing back up again around Jerseyville, IL drifting generally due south and still intensifying. Might get a little fun around the wee hours in especially parts of the metro east, but I wouldn't hold my breath.
Also models really showing the eastward shift in the track of Alberto now showing a swing and a miss for all but the eastern most counties. Still some time for things to shift back though. A lot depends on how rapidly the upper level ridge restrengthens from the southern plains back in to our area. If it's slower and weaker then the track could shift back west, stronger and quicker and we get left high and dry. Models still waffling about how June will go ranging from an inferno to not that bad to actually slightly cool. Best to take middle of the road approach for now, least till Alberto gets out of the way and the models can get a better idea on the overall pattern.
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on May 26, 2018 22:32:53 GMT -6
Just outside taking the dogs out and it's quite the lightning show up north. Consistent lighting as if it was some kind of disco rave party. Some folks are going to have a noisy time of it. Also anvil of the storm is clearly visible even from this distance. This storm is meaning business.
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 26, 2018 22:59:39 GMT -6
Ur about to get it good BRTN!
|
|
|
|
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 26, 2018 23:22:19 GMT -6
I'm getting a nice light show to the Northeast and from the storms blowing up along the Illinois River. Too far away to hear the thunder. Maybe if I was outside.
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 26, 2018 23:43:54 GMT -6
Ya it looks wicked from Troy, MO. No thunder, but tons of lightning
|
|
|
|
Post by ComoEsJn on May 26, 2018 23:51:28 GMT -6
close to dime-sized hail here and a torrential downpour
|
|
|
|
Post by cozpregon on May 27, 2018 0:20:25 GMT -6
Lining up for a nice hit for the metro
|
|
|
|
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 27, 2018 0:20:39 GMT -6
Getting some nice outflow winds. Guessing 20-30 mph. I'm also now getting near constant distant thunder. Sure wish they would drift a little further west - we could use the rain.
|
|
|
|
Post by ComoEsJn on May 27, 2018 0:26:18 GMT -6
continues to just pound us, our backyard is already turning into a river.
|
|
|
|
Post by cozpregon on May 27, 2018 0:30:18 GMT -6
Any more hail- looks like some good hail just to your east
|
|
