Amazing gradient. I'll be headed up to the WI border next weekend to pick morels and I was concerned about the heat building this weekend...luckily the NW flow and cloud/precip keeps N IL locked in the cool air until next week.
How did you do around here? I only found 120 which is about 25 percent of my average good years. It was really strange...I have many hotspots on my farm and they produced practically nothing. I've heard similar from other folks in the area. Seems like that mid April cold snap killed the season as they were beginning the fruiting process. Many of the larger morels I found had frost nipped tips.
I had about the same luck around here, but I did find a few pounds of big yellows last Sunday. The cool snap seemed to put the kabosh on most spots...same old story for the past several years now. Hoping for much better luck up north...it's amazing how much more consistent their springs are 300mi to the north.
This bro lives a stones throw NNW of Brighton, IL.
"The trouble with weather forecasting is that it's right too often for us to ignore it and wrong too often for us to rely on it." ~Patrick Young
GFS has a strong tropical system off the east coast for Memorial Day weekend. Of course, that's way out
It's been developing this system deep in the Caribbean run after run after run. Remarkably consistent, but most likely wrong. The GFS does have issues from time to time with false alarm TC genesis events and the ECM doesn't have much of anything at the end of it's run either. And as you already pointed out...it's way out there.
Post by bellevillewxguy on May 10, 2018 23:11:35 GMT -6
Could be a tropical depression or weak storm forming off the west coast of Florida in the next few days that could add additional moisture and humidity to the picture for areas along and east of the Mississippi River next week. Welcome to July in May everyone. It's gonna be a long hot Summer possibly rivaling that of 2012 (Yeah there's that year again), maybe not quite as bad, but could be close.
Location: Unincorporated West Belleville @ Stookey Township between IL Route 15 and Old St. Louis Rd/Route 13.
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 11, 2018 7:25:30 GMT -6
Two videos from storm damage last evening near Broadwater, Nebraska - about 30 miles north of Sidney, NE. Not sure if it's tornado or just wind. They're tagged as "not for broadcast" so I'll only post links
Post by Chris Higgins on May 11, 2018 10:42:38 GMT -6
They will dry up..although it will be close call for a few sprinkles out west. Warm air aloft/capping inversion expected to become quite strong resulting in significant inhibition. The forcing just simply will not be strong enough to overcome the cap.
Posts: 1,133 Snowfall Events: 2018-19: 26.4"
Nov. 11: (2")
Dec. 15-17: (5.5" + some ice glazing)
Jan. 11: (sleet at onset + 3.1")
Jan. 17-18: sleet in morning, break, then 0.20" of ice glazing mostly on elevated surfaces
Jan. 20: 0.25" Dusting
Jan. 22-24: Some Glazing/Dusting + 2" of super wet snow factoring in compaction
Jan. 28th: Dusting
Jan. 29th: 0.70"
Feb. 5th: 0.50" of stuff + 0.25" of light snow: 0.75"
Feb. 7th: 0.25"
Feb. 12-13th: Dusting
Feb. 25-26: 1.25"
March 22: 0.75" -some of if not, the biggest flakes I have ever seen in my life
Post by Chris Higgins on May 11, 2018 15:28:09 GMT -6
Interesting set-up the next few days...devils (as always) in the details.
For Saturday.... The cap/inhibition does not appear to be as strong tomorrow...especially in the morning...and have some concerns we may end up with some convection. The NAM, NAM3km, GFS and Euro all show a small 500mb shortwave rolling across Missouri tomorrow...with a modest mid-level flow of 40kts. The NAM and NAM3km maintain a cap (but barely) and the GFS erodes it completely by midday before mid-level warm air advection strengthens it again. So there may be a window where some storms may be possible tomorrow morning into the very early afternoon. I am not comfortable enough to mention or put in the forecast just yet...but at the very least we may end up with some mid-level clouds.
As for the temperatures... no question records are in jeopardy... but the juxtaposition of the more active convection zone just to our north...is so close that it could a) spread some dense cirrus into our skies and slow the warm-up...or b) send an outflow south and cool us of and/or generate new storms that cool us off as well. As a result...going down a middle of the road track...still forecasting 90...but not a record.
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 11, 2018 17:20:38 GMT -6
This article suggests a direct lava tube link between Kilauea and the activity of the Steamboat Geyser in Yellowstone. Has anyone seen anything that provides more information and facts to support this?
Waiting for snow The first of the year I just can't believe That it almost is here Like cousins and Christmas And places to go Nothing takes longer Than waiting for snow - John McCutcheon
maddogchief: LOUD NOISES!!!
Feb 25, 2019 2:31:00 GMT -6
grizzlebeard: I'll put this here since it rarely rolls over: Please include your location in your profile, or identify your location when posting observations. You saying it is 20 and raining doesn't help if we don't know where you are. That is all.
Feb 7, 2019 13:44:40 GMT -6
giarC71: Hello...this could be historic. And those models of 16 inches or 19 inches.. coild be real..
Jan 11, 2019 18:04:52 GMT -6
snowday_lover: So weird.... sun is really out here right now. I just expected it to be full cloud cover by now. Hopefully the clouds move in soon. I'm ready to see what we get down here.
Feb 6, 2018 12:15:23 GMT -6
tk: Wagons East- Never was close....I'm with Snowman for once even though he is crazy negative but I get it....
Jan 9, 2018 20:50:54 GMT -6
STGOutdoors: Why is forum locked?
Dec 18, 2017 10:55:20 GMT -6
gonefishin - WashMO: Okay. I know these storms are no laughing matter, and I don't know if anyone has posted this, AND I know it's from the Weather Channel, which in and of itself causes it to lose some credibility, but this is one of the funniest things I've ever seen.
Sept 10, 2017 11:27:09 GMT -6
bellevillewxguy: Let's give a BIG Shout for the Great American Total Solar Eclipse! Here's to good viewing conditions for everyone!
Aug 20, 2017 19:09:33 GMT -6
MakeitRain: The 12z NAM wants to develop a line of storms through the metro around 1-2pm this afternoon. However, the HRRR is not picking up on this piece. I would not rule out the chance of severe weather as we head into the afternoon.
May 18, 2017 11:13:07 GMT -6
REB: 1.57 Wednesday. 2.31 since midnight. 5.92 since Friday. Total........7.49 and still coming down.
Apr 30, 2017 9:59:34 GMT -6
fojginmo: Glad I'm on higher ground & won't have to worry about flash flooding any more.
Aug 2, 2016 21:58:56 GMT -6