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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 30, 2019 19:23:07 GMT -6
Possible tornado a bit ago in central TN. Can't remember the name of the town. Spring... something I think.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 30, 2019 19:55:44 GMT -6
Spring Hill, TN
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Mar 30, 2019 20:57:56 GMT -6
I was at a winery in Defiance, and there was sleet and snow mixing in as I was leaving...car thermometer dropped to the upper 30s.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Mar 31, 2019 6:53:35 GMT -6
They are calling for a wet midweek up here. My husband finally was able to go into his old work center. He's 6'2", and he said there was a layer of mud on everything almost up to the top of his head. The runway is open again, but the airshow for June is cancelled.
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Mar 31, 2019 9:42:04 GMT -6
Storm total rain according to the Davis on the roof is 2.80".
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 31, 2019 10:53:18 GMT -6
Storm total rain according to the Davis on the roof is 2.80". I knew it was a lot of rain. The ground is like pudding |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 31, 2019 11:07:27 GMT -6
Storm total rain according to the Davis on the roof is 2.80". I saw a quote from the mayor of Grafton stating that river level forecasts had not changed because the rainfall totals didn't reach expected amounts...I think he was mistaken. I've noticed that some of the business owners and officials there often paint a picture that's prettier than reality when it comes to flooding which is a disservice to people in the interest of monetary gain, IMO. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 31, 2019 20:12:30 GMT -6
The rain coming later this week - is it looking like it will be fairly light? A few tenths or maybe a half inch at most? Or does it look to be another inch or two?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 31, 2019 21:07:22 GMT -6
The rain coming later this week - is it looking like it will be fairly light? A few tenths or maybe a half inch at most? Or does it look to be another inch or two? If you are referring to the system on Thursday it's a pretty slow mover...thinking amounts up to an inch are possible along/S of 70. The next storm in line about a week out could be a prolific rainmaker...maybe some severe potential too. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Apr 1, 2019 0:31:58 GMT -6
The rain coming later this week - is it looking like it will be fairly light? A few tenths or maybe a half inch at most? Or does it look to be another inch or two? If you are referring to the system on Thursday it's a pretty slow mover...thinking amounts up to an inch are possible along/S of 70. The next storm in line about a week out could be a prolific rainmaker...maybe some severe potential too. Yeah I was thinking of Thursday's system. Boy, this could be a really bad news pattern. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 1, 2019 6:36:29 GMT -6
If you are referring to the system on Thursday it's a pretty slow mover...thinking amounts up to an inch are possible along/S of 70. The next storm in line about a week out could be a prolific rainmaker...maybe some severe potential too. Yeah I was thinking of Thursday's system. Boy, this could be a really bad news pattern. The storm around Sunday is still up in the air...it's trying to pull a disturbance from the NW Gulf northward and if that occurs there will be deep moisture available which would greatly increase rainfall totals. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 1, 2019 10:30:34 GMT -6
If we can ward off any more late freezes, this is shaping up to be a phenomenal morel season!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 1, 2019 16:11:59 GMT -6
If we can ward off any more late freezes, this is shaping up to be a phenomenal morel season! I'm cautiously optimistic that we're done with hard freeze potential but models are trying to amplify the trof into the E US and lakes next week. But I don't believe the large scale pattern supports any significant cold intrusions from here out though...the onshore flow is just too persistent. This has potential to be a bumper crop year for sure...it should be on after this weekend! |
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Post by birddog on Apr 1, 2019 17:17:25 GMT -6
If we can ward off any more late freezes, this is shaping up to be a phenomenal morel season! I'm doing a little experiment (non-scientific) with a patch I have here by the house. Took the leaf blower and cleared the whole area. Now just waiting to see if the sun's direct contact expedites the mushrooms or the grass and weeds! Time will tell. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 1, 2019 18:59:30 GMT -6
I saw a comment on a post about the lawsuit against TWC that claimed there's a conspiracy theory that insurance companies are in cahoots with TWC/NBC.
The claim is that the naming of mid-latitude storms was started because some insurance policies have a clause that exempts payout from damage claims resulting from named storms.
Has anyone else heard of this? It seems far fetched but I never discount the greed factor these days...insurance companies aren't exactly straight shooters. A quick search confirms the exemption or increased deductible for named storms in some policies...but obviously nothing to link insurance companies to TWC and their antics.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 1, 2019 23:57:56 GMT -6
I saw a comment on a post about the lawsuit against TWC that claimed there's a conspiracy theory that insurance companies are in cahoots with TWC/NBC. The claim is that the naming of mid-latitude storms was started because some insurance policies have a clause that exempts payout from damage claims resulting from named storms. Has anyone else heard of this? It seems far fetched but I never discount the greed factor these days...insurance companies aren't exactly straight shooters. A quick search confirms the exemption or increased deductible for named storms in some policies...but obviously nothing to link insurance companies to TWC and their antics. That seems far fetched to me. From a legal perspective, the only WMO body who can name storms are the various governmental tropical forecast centers around the world. JTWC, NHC etc. |
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Apr 2, 2019 8:07:41 GMT -6
If we can ward off any more late freezes, this is shaping up to be a phenomenal morel season! I'm cautiously optimistic that we're done with hard freeze potential but models are trying to amplify the trof into the E US and lakes next week. But I don't believe the large scale pattern supports any significant cold intrusions from here out though...the onshore flow is just too persistent. This has potential to be a bumper crop year for sure...it should be on after this weekend! Im going to start looking this weekend. Im hearing some reports out of southern Missouri that they are beginning to find some. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 2, 2019 11:21:16 GMT -6
I'm cautiously optimistic that we're done with hard freeze potential but models are trying to amplify the trof into the E US and lakes next week. But I don't believe the large scale pattern supports any significant cold intrusions from here out though...the onshore flow is just too persistent. This has potential to be a bumper crop year for sure...it should be on after this weekend! Im going to start looking this weekend. Im hearing some reports out of southern Missouri that they are beginning to find some. May find a few blacks this weekend. It'll be on in a big way by the end of next week with this warm weather coming. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 2, 2019 11:24:09 GMT -6
I saw a comment on a post about the lawsuit against TWC that claimed there's a conspiracy theory that insurance companies are in cahoots with TWC/NBC. The claim is that the naming of mid-latitude storms was started because some insurance policies have a clause that exempts payout from damage claims resulting from named storms. Has anyone else heard of this? It seems far fetched but I never discount the greed factor these days...insurance companies aren't exactly straight shooters. A quick search confirms the exemption or increased deductible for named storms in some policies...but obviously nothing to link insurance companies to TWC and their antics. That seems far fetched to me. From a legal perspective, the only WMO body who can name storms are the various governmental tropical forecast centers around the world. JTWC, NHC etc. That's what I was thinking too. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 2, 2019 13:21:23 GMT -6
Euro has 2-6 inches of snow from the Missouri river north next Wed evening/night. Hahahaha
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 2, 2019 17:42:57 GMT -6
Euro has 2-6 inches of snow from the Missouri river north next Wed evening/night. Hahahaha 12z Fv3 looked good too. It has since gone poof on the 18z runs. Would be fun though lol |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Apr 2, 2019 20:15:47 GMT -6
Any severe outbreaks showing up yet. I assume the atmosphere is taking a break currently across the Nation. Haven't heard much in several days.
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Post by jmg378s on Apr 2, 2019 21:12:15 GMT -6
Any severe outbreaks showing up yet. I assume the atmosphere is taking a break currently across the Nation. Haven't heard much in several days. Not really. Maybe something marginal-ish next weekend, but that's iffy. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Apr 2, 2019 23:53:14 GMT -6
00z super gfs has antics next wednesday
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 3, 2019 5:46:37 GMT -6
00z super gfs has antics next wednesday 6z fv3 drops 20 inches of snow across the metro. 00z euro still shows a big storm too, but has the snow just north of the metro and up through Chicago. Pretty funny to see this time of year, but the models did this a week ago predicting snow for last weekend and we all know how that went. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 3, 2019 6:03:59 GMT -6
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Apr 3, 2019 9:59:40 GMT -6
00z super gfs has antics next wednesday 6z fv3 drops 20 inches of snow across the metro. 00z euro still shows a big storm too, but has the snow just north of the metro and up through Chicago. Pretty funny to see this time of year, but the models did this a week ago predicting snow for last weekend and we all know how that went. To me if anything, its probably telling us more rain is on the way. Maybe alot more. Am i right?? |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 3, 2019 10:07:11 GMT -6
Take away from the models is this... It's about to get very, very active very soon and potentially well into May. But I'll take the Day After Tomorrow storm the 6Z is showing for 1000 Alex.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 3, 2019 10:17:54 GMT -6
Here comes that -NAO that was absent most of the Winter as well...  |
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Post by ndolan387 on Apr 3, 2019 10:17:57 GMT -6
Great article! I shared it on Facebook. Thanks for sharing! |
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