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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 15, 2019 17:35:17 GMT -6
Backpressure into tributaries, reservoirs and natural wetlands allows for progressively lower crests as you go downstream as long as there isn't added input into the stream along the way. This stretch of dry weather is very much needed to relieve pressure from the watershed...but we're far from being out of the woods. There's still all that snow in the Dakotas and Minnesota waiting to melt Yeah, DM posted something earlier that showed 6-10" of water equivalent snowcover sitting on the Upper Midwest and N plains...not good. Hopefully that will melt off slowly and not all at once during a firehose rainfall event or blowtorch warm spell. Unfortunately, with it being an El Nino year the odds of a firehose event are greatly elevated. |
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luvhockey
Junior Forecaster
Arnold MO 1/2 mile from the Meramec Mississippi confluence
Posts: 455 
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Post by luvhockey on Mar 15, 2019 18:58:48 GMT -6
Glad I could stimulate a little discussion about NE and how it will affect downstream. My friend's farm isn't flooded. They're in Columbus NE but they can't go anywhere.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 15, 2019 19:51:05 GMT -6
Glad I could stimulate a little discussion about NE and how it will affect downstream. My friend's farm isn't flooded. They're in Columbus NE but they can't go anywhere. I haven't seen anything good come out of Nebraska today. Ranchers dealing with massive loss in the West, major flood in the east. Very sad. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 15, 2019 20:21:16 GMT -6
There's still all that snow in the Dakotas and Minnesota waiting to melt Yeah, DM posted something earlier that showed 6-10" of water equivalent snowcover sitting on the Upper Midwest and N plains...not good. Hopefully that will melt off slowly and not all at once during a firehose rainfall event or blowtorch warm spell. Unfortunately, with it being an El Nino year the odds of a firehose event are greatly elevated. Yeah I've been in touch with my brother in South Central MN and my cousin in east Central ND . Both are reporting 3-4 feet of snow on the ground. And that was before Wednesday's storm. That's not snow banks. - that's in yards and farm fields. And there are larger snow banks everywhere |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Mar 15, 2019 20:39:59 GMT -6
Man, 8 months until we start over again.
If we're lucky.
Probably 9.
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Post by ajd446 on Mar 15, 2019 21:33:03 GMT -6
You know it was a very active winter. I'm ready for a break from sleepless nights. It was a fun year
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 15, 2019 22:46:45 GMT -6
Correct me if I'm wrong but seems like it's been a long time since that depth snowpack has been present in the US at this point in the year. Good to see.
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Post by ams3389 on Mar 15, 2019 23:53:14 GMT -6
I’ve noticed while on 21 today they have closed outer roads along Meramec at 141/21. How high impact will Meramec be?
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 16, 2019 6:44:51 GMT -6
I’ve noticed while on 21 today they have closed outer roads along Meramec at 141/21. How high impact will Meramec be? As of the flood statement from 8 pm Friday night it's supposed to be minor at Arnold. Flood stage is 24' and the forecast is for 32.4' on Thursday. And someone asked about the Cuivre River. At Old Monroe flood is 24' and it's supposed to hit 26.9' on Thursday; also minor. Both of those are backwater from the Mississippi. But that doesn't include the snowmelt up north that still has to happen. |
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Post by bdgwx on Mar 16, 2019 9:39:59 GMT -6
There is still a lot of snow waiting to melt in the Missouri and Mississippi watersheds.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Mar 16, 2019 9:45:35 GMT -6
Went onto Offutt to get my husband's bag from his work. If he didn't forget his access badge at home, he would've had to walk there, get the bag, and leave. The south end is being evacuated, the planes and vehicles are moved to higher ground, and there are a lot of people sandbagging.
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Post by jeepers on Mar 16, 2019 11:24:01 GMT -6
Went onto Offutt to get my husband's bag from his work. If he didn't forget his access badge at home, he would've had to walk there, get the bag, and leave. The south end is being evacuated, the planes and vehicles are moved to higher ground, and there are a lot of people sandbagging. That doesn't bode well for the next few months...  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 16, 2019 14:00:27 GMT -6
Now that the water has gone down this is what remains of Spencer Dam in Nebraska. Photo from the NWS, Omaha  |
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Post by cozpregon on Mar 16, 2019 14:17:11 GMT -6
Damn
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 16, 2019 14:44:07 GMT -6
Holy crap. That damn dam
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Post by jmg378s on Mar 16, 2019 16:14:40 GMT -6
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 16, 2019 16:48:47 GMT -6
For Labrat. A picture posted to Facebook by the 55th Wing Commander of Offutt AFB. Posted about 5 PM CDT Saturday  |
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Post by Tilawn on Mar 16, 2019 18:01:18 GMT -6
Well I just killed 2 mosquitoes 🦟 guess the extreme cold temps didn’t make a difference.......again
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Mar 16, 2019 18:37:43 GMT -6
Noticed my front yard is turning green....so I bought some seed and some topsoil to start on bare spots...but with it being middle of March, I decided not to throw any down just yet....Maybe I'll wait a few days, to the late part of next week. Still too early?
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Mar 16, 2019 19:19:09 GMT -6
We are at Offutt sandbagging. Sirens are going off, the planes are taking off, and water is still rising.
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Post by Tilawn on Mar 16, 2019 19:28:45 GMT -6
Noticed my front yard is turning green....so I bought some seed and some topsoil to start on bare spots...but with it being middle of March, I decided not to throw any down just yet....Maybe I'll wait a few days, to the late part of next week. Still too early? Fall is the better time. Earlier the better in the spring. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Mar 16, 2019 19:42:17 GMT -6
Noticed my front yard is turning green....so I bought some seed and some topsoil to start on bare spots...but with it being middle of March, I decided not to throw any down just yet....Maybe I'll wait a few days, to the late part of next week. Still too early? Fall is the better time. Earlier the better in the spring. normally I do in the Fall...but since I didn't I'm in the situation I'm in. I prefer Spring for pre-emergents. But that doesn't seem to be an option, and with the recent heavy rains, I noticed bare spots in the front yard, and a lot of ponding. I'm going ahead with it. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 16, 2019 23:03:35 GMT -6
We are at Offutt sandbagging. Sirens are going off, the planes are taking off, and water is still rising. Hard work. Good luck! I hope it's successful |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Mar 17, 2019 7:40:45 GMT -6
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Post by REB on Mar 17, 2019 8:56:26 GMT -6
labrat, when is it supposed to stop rising? I hope you guys are high and dry.
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Post by jmg378s on Mar 17, 2019 9:10:41 GMT -6
Here's the river gauge on the Niobrara River downstream of the Spencer Dam. Reports are that the dam failed at about 5:30am Thursday morning.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 17, 2019 9:15:32 GMT -6
labrat, when is it supposed to stop rising? I hope you guys are high and dry. From the river graph from Omaha it looks to be cresting this morning. South of Omaha is still several days away  |
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Post by REB on Mar 17, 2019 9:53:13 GMT -6
Our David Koeller is keeping very busy in Nebraska.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Mar 17, 2019 9:53:45 GMT -6
Not sure when it's going to stop. I know it's from the Missouri and Platte. We do have rain forecast for this week. Right now only mission essential is supposed to report on base. This morning the Stratcom gate road was flooded so there really is only 1 gate open now.
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Post by Jeffmw on Mar 17, 2019 10:53:19 GMT -6
Just wondering how does the weather look for grilling for next weekend in the area?
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