sullivanjohn
Wishcaster
Sullivan, MO
Posts: 141 
Snowfall Events: Code Monkey
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Post by sullivanjohn on Aug 30, 2019 21:30:45 GMT -6
Did the soccer field and baseball fields at Eureka high school go under again today? They were playing soccer on the field when I came by this afternoon about 4. Also, someone posted a pic of the scating rink in Sullivan on Facebook. Suspected tornado. Can confirm the skating rink in Sullivan is sans roof. We got hammered. Reports from both Sullivan and Stanton of golf ball sized hail. Out here near Japan (6 miles NW of Sullivan), we had pea to dime sized hail, torrential rain (took our gravel road down to almost bed rock), and high winds. Lost power at 3:23pm, back on at 10pm. Good times 😎 |
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Post by dschreib on Aug 30, 2019 21:34:35 GMT -6
I’m betting it stays off the coast Ditto. Seems like once models pick up on them getting pulled north, it's a done deal. Then again...I can't even remember if I HAD supper last night. |
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202
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Post by BDS on Aug 30, 2019 21:53:11 GMT -6
I have no idea how much rain we've had in Arnold but it's been pouring for hours. Not just pouring, but pouring-pouring. It's gotta be 4" if it's a drop. ETA: Card will have a dbl dbl. Wonder when the last time for back to back doubleheaders Pretty sure they had them back to back days in New York against the Mets. Want to say it was 98 because I think it was in the middle of McGwire's HR chase. |
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Post by jeepers on Aug 30, 2019 21:54:38 GMT -6
2.13 in and of course it's still raining, although not as hard. At least we're not Florida.
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Post by repomasterstl on Aug 30, 2019 21:56:18 GMT -6
Hearing reports that maintenance worker was sucked into a culvert pipe tonight in Pacific area. Via social media. Haven't heard any other reports.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Aug 30, 2019 22:06:00 GMT -6
00z gfs pays South Carolina a visit.
Probably couldn’t be more than a CAT 3 on approach that far north, but would still be bad.
If it misses Florida completely though, I have a hard time believing it makes landfall in the U.S.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 30, 2019 22:09:23 GMT -6
Wow gfs doesn’t even hit FL, but is a direct hit for Charleston. Euro may win the model wars yet again.
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Post by ams3389 on Aug 30, 2019 22:13:34 GMT -6
Really curious on total amount of rain in Hillsboro. We have gotten tons of rain inside the house at Lake Wauwanoka... standing inches of water. Please and thanks.
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Post by dschreib on Aug 30, 2019 23:00:42 GMT -6
Tis but a sprinkle in Marissa.
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Aug 31, 2019 6:00:30 GMT -6
2.65”, the first wave missed completely.
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Post by amstilost on Aug 31, 2019 7:21:46 GMT -6
A relative just said they got 5" of rain at Somerset Lake. Looking at radar estimates I got near 2 and 1/4 2 and 1/2". They r about 10 miles east of me.
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Post by jmg378s on Aug 31, 2019 7:39:01 GMT -6
The SFMR instrument on the Air Force plane just measured a 141kts surface wind in the NE eyewall of Dorian. But so far no additional drops in pressure since the last advisory. The wind measurement wasn't technically suspect, but it may be subjectively suspect since flight level winds were only 131kts.
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Post by bdgwx on Aug 31, 2019 7:41:02 GMT -6
The airport is up to 42.94" on the year. This is still the highest year-to-date as of Aug. 30th.
If you include what fell after midnight then the airport is up to 43.06".
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 31, 2019 8:17:23 GMT -6
picked up another inch last night, total was near 5, lol.
And I wouldn't say the euro won any model war if this thing misses FL. For days the euro was the furthest south almost hitting Miami, so it sucked just as bad as anything else.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 31, 2019 8:19:35 GMT -6
Dorian may well stay off the coast. Crazy how it hits an invisible wall just off shore. Now we watch if it ever comes into SC.
May end up very similar to Matthew in 2016.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 31, 2019 8:49:10 GMT -6
I am so not impressed with the forecasting on Dorian. I know they're tough to forecast. But considering the forecast originally called for it to never make hurricane status and be a depression as it went in to Florida this is a million miles off the mark.
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Post by dschreib on Aug 31, 2019 9:04:39 GMT -6
I am so not impressed with the forecasting on Dorian. I know they're tough to forecast. But considering the forecast originally called for it to never make hurricane status and be a depression as it went in to Florida this is a million miles off the mark. Maybe the toughest of all, and what got me interested in weather way back when. Some storms in great environments never pan out, while others seem to blow up when they shouldn't. Remarkable creatures. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 31, 2019 9:12:09 GMT -6
Latest update has it now up to 150mph. Also adjusted Dorians track further east. Dorians forward speed has also slowed down. Which is giving time for the trough to move in and ridge to weaken. Steering Dorian further out to sea. So far very good news for folks in FL. Still could change though.
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Post by REB on Aug 31, 2019 9:14:38 GMT -6
.70" at my house last night. Sister got back to STL after they refueled in IND and figured out the weather. Then she had to drive to Belleville in a downpour. Not a fun day for her after flying to Charlotte from Madrid. The good news is that she's catching up on lost sleep and safe.
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 31, 2019 9:29:17 GMT -6
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Post by Tilawn on Aug 31, 2019 9:41:10 GMT -6
Do we expect more rain to develop this afternoon?
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Post by jeepers on Aug 31, 2019 9:44:07 GMT -6
Long past time for this. It reminds me a lot like internet security for companies back in the day. They didn't want to spend the money until they got hacked and hosed. Then suddenly security was important. We'll see I guess over time if this is just smoke or something real. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Aug 31, 2019 10:05:56 GMT -6
12z gfs sure wants to scare the Carolinas.
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Jeke
Junior Forecaster
Old Jamestown, MO
Posts: 320
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Post by Jeke on Aug 31, 2019 10:08:09 GMT -6
.70" at my house last night. Sister got back to STL after they refueled in IND and figured out the weather. Then she had to drive to Belleville in a downpour. Not a fun day for her after flying to Charlotte from Madrid. The good news is that she's catching up on lost sleep and safe. I'm sure not a fun day for her but when all is said and done the most important thing is she got back safe! |
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Post by Jeffmw on Aug 31, 2019 10:27:40 GMT -6
A little sidebar question from Hurricane Dorian. It seems like we’re in for a significant cool down around here after Tuesday or Wednesday. Is anyone else seeing that?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Aug 31, 2019 10:31:30 GMT -6
I doubt the Icon or Ggem are any good with hurricanes, but it is a little interesting how much further west their 12z runs are. Legacy gfs was west of the new gfs a bit too.
Maybe they need to make that cone twice as big in the day 5 range
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Post by dmbstl on Aug 31, 2019 11:16:49 GMT -6
Total of 4.0 yesterday in Maplewood.
What did Lambert get officially?
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 31, 2019 11:24:40 GMT -6
Total of 4.0 yesterday in Maplewood. What did Lambert get officially? Just under an inch by midnight. Don't know if it was still raining at that point |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 31, 2019 11:43:37 GMT -6
And we think we are inconvenienced when the models flip flop on winter storms. Imagine one day thinking your house is going to be swept away to the next day being told it should stay offshore and vise versa. Models continue to get worse.
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Post by ndolan387 on Aug 31, 2019 12:32:36 GMT -6
And we think we are inconvenienced when the models flip flop on winter storms. Imagine one day thinking your house is going to be swept away to the next day being told it should stay offshore and vise versa. Models continue to get worse. I believe it's really hard to know if models have gotten better or worse. The medium long range 3-5 days I think has gotten better over the years. Though the hurricane model family (WRFs) may have not had as much funding recently. Also Dorian is a very complex hurricane to forecast! Anyone know specifics on the hurricane models? |
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