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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 26, 2019 14:35:44 GMT -6
Consideration of nao and ao....a few days ago was showing strong positive. Seems to be flipfloppy. I have not looked at it today. It might not be too useful to us in trying to figure out upcoming patterns. I did see favorable epo. I am personally thinking our next chance for accumulating snow will be around the 10th to 20th of december which fits well with an idea of a bookend winter.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 26, 2019 14:54:18 GMT -6
Sounds like the same winds will likely ground the balloons in the Macy's Thanksgiving parade Thank God. I hate that stupid parade. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 26, 2019 15:25:38 GMT -6
First severe cell in south central Mo going tornado warned. That didn’t take long
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Nov 26, 2019 15:56:47 GMT -6
Already getting pretty windy here now.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 26, 2019 15:57:35 GMT -6
Dont forget to check your trampolines to make sure they are anchored down in the soft ground. 55 mph wind gusts are forecast.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 26, 2019 16:05:07 GMT -6
Man is it going to get muddy-er Thursday thru Saturday. What a bummer.
Make sure to tie your turkeys up tonight so they don't get blown away.
The EPS look kind of ugly heading thru the 1st week of December.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 26, 2019 16:51:13 GMT -6
Got all my yard stuff...things like patio furniture, hammock, and any loose items remediated from the high winds. Thght abt turning my patio table over but decided not to bc its round and i didnt want it rolling around. Trampoline is secure. Only thing that concerns me is a hickory tree nw of my daughters bedroom. Its live but its next to a swale and the ground is soft. I may opt to move my daughter to another bedroom, especially if we get alot of rain. These wind gusts are going to last all through the night. I dont think the post front winds are to be taken lightly. In fact im more concerned abt them than any thunderstorm spinups.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 26, 2019 17:03:34 GMT -6
Sounds like the same winds will likely ground the balloons in the Macy's Thanksgiving parade Thank God. I hate that stupid parade. I'm not a fan of it myself. But my wife likes it |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 26, 2019 17:15:54 GMT -6
Who doesn't like huge creePy balloons being carried by creepy people and other creepy performances?
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 26, 2019 17:22:16 GMT -6
Who doesn't like huge creePy balloons being carried by creepy people and other creepy performances? Turning otherwise happy cartoon characters into creepy depictions. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 26, 2019 17:31:39 GMT -6
Latest hrrr doesn't have squat north of Hwy 70 in Mo.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Nov 26, 2019 17:38:16 GMT -6
Storms firing in the SW corner on MO now.
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Post by Jeffmw on Nov 26, 2019 17:39:34 GMT -6
Just wondering why don’t we have any storm watches up yet?
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 26, 2019 17:49:48 GMT -6
Well.. the winds are rapidly ramping up! Wow... just let the dog out and is howling!
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 26, 2019 17:52:14 GMT -6
Given the development now down near Springfield and just north, I’d expect a watch of some sort for south of 44 soon.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 26, 2019 18:06:08 GMT -6
Tornado watch incoming  |
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 26, 2019 18:21:23 GMT -6
Warren franklin and lincoln tornado watch. Not st.louis yet
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Post by bear1 on Nov 26, 2019 18:24:57 GMT -6
Just got a tornado watch warning on my phone for Crawford County, Mo.
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 26, 2019 18:25:38 GMT -6
That complex in SW MO initiated pretty far north. Keep an eye on that for sure.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Nov 26, 2019 18:26:50 GMT -6
It has been raining here in Mascoutah for several hours. I would imagine this will impede the severe threat over here.
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 26, 2019 18:36:37 GMT -6
Here is the watch box for central MO.  |
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 26, 2019 18:38:34 GMT -6
Id say it will include metro by 9 p.m.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 26, 2019 18:44:33 GMT -6
It has been raining here in Mascoutah for several hours. I would imagine this will impede the severe threat over here. Nah, daytime heating or breaking through the cap isn't in play here. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 26, 2019 18:46:46 GMT -6
St louis will likely be in the watch in an hour or 2. Antecedent rain Will really have no effect on severe possibilities
All wind driven,low cape high shear. Should be interesting.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 26, 2019 19:02:53 GMT -6
Seeing reports of thundersleet and thundersnow in the Omaha/Council Bluffs area, including from Bridget Mahoney.
I hope you got out of Dodge already Labrat
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 26, 2019 19:05:22 GMT -6
Low level 0-3km CAPE is still forecasted to increase to over 200 j/kg over a wide area and well north of I-70. This would be considered high even for a spring setup. Having the equilibrium level down near 500mb makes traditional CAPE metrics deceptive.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 26, 2019 19:10:03 GMT -6
Latest Hrrr brings a few strong UH tracks (rapidly rotating updrafts) up 44 into the metro the next few hours
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Nov 26, 2019 19:18:55 GMT -6
Very dense fog from Iowa through KC and east. 70 is a little freaky in the fog. Less than 1/4 mile visibility. Scary stuff.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Nov 26, 2019 19:26:23 GMT -6
It’s really calmed down and got quiet outside since the rain moved out.
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Post by eurekakim on Nov 26, 2019 20:04:47 GMT -6
It feels downright balmy for a late November night....just stacked the patio chairs and made sure all was secure. It’s warmed up here 2 degrees since mid afternoon as well.
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