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Post by mchafin on Dec 16, 2019 12:21:23 GMT -6
I have zero doubt We will be at 7” by the lull. O’fallon, Il Hrrr says no lull. Do you guys think this thing will keep backbuilding till the deformation zone sweeps in? |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 16, 2019 12:21:23 GMT -6
Updated disco at 1137 am. Forecast Totals cut on the nw periphery of the current shield, and may drop wwa in parts of nemo. As chris stated earlier, nw side hasnt been as efficient with accums. Im happy with my earlier post re 1 to 2 imby for the rest of the duration of this storm. I do not expect to see the heavy snow that many of you are reporting, but rather a persistent light to occasionally short lived moderate as the vortex swings through.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 16, 2019 12:24:29 GMT -6
A mixed bag of everything here. It keeps changing constantly. Is the changeover going to sag S anytime soon?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 16, 2019 12:24:52 GMT -6
M3.0” new snow in Arnold
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 16, 2019 12:24:53 GMT -6
I have zero doubt We will be at 7” by the lull. O’fallon, Il Hrrr says no lull. Do you guys think this thing will keep backbuilding till the deformation zone sweeps in? There is evidence of that on radar now, so maybe. We are back to extremely heavy snow with massive flakes in N Ste. Gen county. Just amazing. This is like the "hampsterfest" in February last year in Perryville...right there at that transition line. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Dec 16, 2019 12:25:09 GMT -6
Two hours and almost 4" of snow.
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443 
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Post by mccarthb on Dec 16, 2019 12:26:41 GMT -6
Rode inside this blueberry dingdong for a good 2.5 hours (don’t say it!!)... Happens and I’m certainly ok with it. 😊 Glad a lot of you that weren’t winners yesterday are getting your lions share so far this morning/early afternoon. This morning’s setup certainly provided a much more a much more amplified, single convective snow band with great lift and instability. But again (as most of us are used to), these storms yield a razor thin snow shield that is I’m sure difficult to impossible to pinpoint where that sweet spot will be, bringing joy to some and lost hope to others. I always say this to people, to be a met in the Midwest, you have to be a little crazy in the head (in a good way!). I’m sure it drives the passionate ones like Chris bonkers. But they wouldn’t be in the profession if they didn’t enjoy the challenge that comes with it (even with all the backlash they get from the ignorant crowd). Amazing job with this storm so far Chris, once again!! Kudos!  |
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Post by mchafin on Dec 16, 2019 12:27:31 GMT -6
A mixed bag of everything here. It keeps changing constantly. Is the changeover going to sag S anytime soon? "Some slide shift to the southeast of the area of all snow should occur over the next 1-2 hours." |
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Post by toddatfarmington on Dec 16, 2019 12:30:28 GMT -6
Transition to heavy freezing rain with a mix of sleet at KFAM.
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Post by bororug on Dec 16, 2019 12:31:25 GMT -6
M 3.25” just SW of Desoto for today. Heavy snow piling up fast. Temp has dropped back down to 28.
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Post by cozpregon on Dec 16, 2019 12:32:26 GMT -6
2.25" so far today here near Grant's Farm
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 16, 2019 12:32:49 GMT -6
Transition to heavy freezing rain with a mix of sleet at KFAM. Thanks...I thought things looked a little different on the webcam when I checked. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 16, 2019 12:33:40 GMT -6
I mentioned this before. Starting to look ahead. First of all christmas pretty quiet and mild. In fact gfs may not be mild enough. Then bw christmas and new years a pattern change is depicted. During this time period, potentially wet times and the pattern is suggestive of thunderstorms. Around the new year we settle back into cold times and quiter wx. There is some upslope snow depicted in the front range of the rockies as high pressure sinks south and new low pressure tries to spin up in the sw. Not sure if this will lead to more snow in the first week of jan but for now i stand by my conceptual seasonal outlook that we will wait a long time for our next big winterstorm. Got a long way to go for my 20 inch forecast verifies.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 16, 2019 12:35:46 GMT -6
Impressive debris ball down in Louisiana  |
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Post by jmg378s on Dec 16, 2019 12:37:57 GMT -6
Yeah, been watching that. Not sure why the local office isn't tagging that with confirmed. I image they're busy...but still.
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 16, 2019 12:37:59 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Dec 16, 2019 12:41:50 GMT -6
Transition to heavy freezing rain with a mix of sleet at KFAM. Thanks...I thought things looked a little different on the webcam when I checked. Just checked thickness on elevated surface at >.20". Roadways and even most objects at ground level still wet, however anything elevated more than about 10' is accruing ice at a good clip. |
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Post by jmg378s on Dec 16, 2019 12:42:45 GMT -6
Ah ok there we go. Tornado emergency for Alexandria.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 16, 2019 12:42:57 GMT -6
Yeah, been watching that. Not sure why the local office isn't tagging that with confirmed. I image they're busy...but still. Tornado emergency tagged now |
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304
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Post by padlur on Dec 16, 2019 12:43:05 GMT -6
Radar not looking promising and appears to be thinning out to the west of me right now in Ballwin. Flake size has diminished quite a bit in the last 30 minutes. Dropped to light snow as well.
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Post by dschreib on Dec 16, 2019 12:43:13 GMT -6
Wife reports that it's FINALLY transitioning to snow in Marissa. Confirmed with a video. Deck is sleet-covered, with hamsters splattering on top.
EDIT--no carp or snakes to report as of yet.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 16, 2019 12:44:24 GMT -6
Wife reports that it's FINALLY transitioning to snow in Marissa. Confirmed with a video. Deck is sleet-covered, with hamsters splattering on top. Nice, that should translate to here soon. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 16, 2019 12:45:22 GMT -6
Heavy snow starting to wane here downtown.
4-5" so far
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 16, 2019 12:46:42 GMT -6
Had a report of 6 in festus.
Checking off a bucket list item now... olaying golf in the snow with my son at top golf! Beautiful!
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Post by jmg378s on Dec 16, 2019 12:47:16 GMT -6
Thanks...I thought things looked a little different on the webcam when I checked. Just checked thickness on elevated surface at >.20". Roadways and even most objects at ground level still wet, however anything elevated more than about 10' is accruing ice at a good clip. Still a lot of precip upstream too. If it stays FZRA you may start having some power issues. |
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Post by landscaper on Dec 16, 2019 12:51:33 GMT -6
I think the earth City area got the worst of both waves yesterday and today . We received about 2” yesterday and so far maybe 1-1.5” today it’s not looking like we will get much more
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 16, 2019 12:51:51 GMT -6
I'm afraid we are going to hear some bad stuff come out of Louisiana in the coming hours. Still a major debris ball on the south end of Alexandria International Airport.
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Post by perryville on Dec 16, 2019 12:54:11 GMT -6
Just checked thickness on elevated surface at >.20". Roadways and even most objects at ground level still wet, however anything elevated more than about 10' is accruing ice at a good clip. Still a lot of precip upstream too. If it stays FZRA you may start having some power issues. I’m starting to get that heavy freezing rain as well, west of Perryville. Hopefully we change to sleet here soon. The trees and power lines may not take what’s coming up from the southwest if it stays liquid. Temperature seems to have dropped since this morning. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 16, 2019 13:00:07 GMT -6
Looks like we've picked up about an inch today in Alton. A bit disappointed with this second round but glad to see some of those that missed out yesterday getting a good thump today.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 16, 2019 13:00:18 GMT -6
I can't believe it has stayed heavy snow here in N STG county. Eyeballing 3-4" and its still pouring.
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