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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Dec 18, 2019 7:42:37 GMT -6
Im not sure it will be slow for long. Im concerned about heavy rain potential developing out of the pattern just past Christmas. No please. Rain from now till May makes me nervous with the river lol.
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Post by bororug on Dec 18, 2019 7:55:47 GMT -6
Any chance the cloud cover may break up today? Many of our rural roads in Festus are still snow/ice packed. Hoping we can get back to school tomorrow & Friday. I love snow but we need the sun so our kids can get in their finals before Christmas break. Any help is appreciated.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 18, 2019 8:00:52 GMT -6
Im not sure it will be slow for long. Im concerned about heavy rain potential developing out of the pattern just past Christmas. Seems like that's been a fairly common occurrence in the week between Christmas and New Year's for many years recently. This snow will insure the ground is fully saturated
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Post by toddatfarmington on Dec 18, 2019 9:45:50 GMT -6
Light sleet falling at KFAM
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 18, 2019 10:20:10 GMT -6
Anyone else hate the new layout on tropical tidbits?
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 18, 2019 10:30:17 GMT -6
Anyone else hate the new layout on tropical tidbits? new for mobile, or pc?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 18, 2019 10:33:41 GMT -6
Anyone else hate the new layout on tropical tidbits? new for mobile, or pc? PC. It moved the hour segments to the top and the ads are blocking some of it. This run of the gfs is looking good in the Day 9-10 range though. Strong high pressure coaxed in place by a lead wave to our north. Energy loaded in the southwest. Looks loaded
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 18, 2019 10:35:44 GMT -6
PC. It moved the hour segments to the top and the ads are blocking some of it. This run of the gfs is looking good in the Day 9-10 range though. Strong high pressure coaxed in place by a lead wave to our north. Energy loaded in the southwest. Looks loaded Ah, work pc has an adblocker.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 18, 2019 10:40:20 GMT -6
Ive been watching the days after christmas for a a while. At least it looks progressive. Trough in the west, ridge in the east just after christmas with abundant moisture. We will be a singin in the rain for part of that time before the flow becomes more zonal.
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Post by dschreib on Dec 18, 2019 12:03:02 GMT -6
I feel for the folks down South who were blanked. Your time is coming We weren’t completely shutout like some others, but for me it’s easier to stomach when it the forecast nails it instead of those 4-6 inch forecasts that turn into 1/2 inch of sleet. This one was locked in down our way from the start.
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Post by dschreib on Dec 18, 2019 12:04:42 GMT -6
I’m not sure if showtime put any totals in, but we ended up with a couple inches of “stuff”—all types.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 18, 2019 14:39:37 GMT -6
Things look to get active as we head into the new year looking at the ensembles. A warm SW flow will dominant through the end of the year with a trough centered on the west coast. Unseasonably warm with rain and storms will be the norm. Things start to look more interesting in early January as the trough stays to out west but more cold air starts to filer in from Canada. The big picture setup has the look of an ice storm around here buts that’s trying to get way to detailed this far out
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 18, 2019 15:11:34 GMT -6
Things look to get active as we head into the new year looking at the ensembles. A warm SW flow will dominant through the end of the year with a trough centered on the west coast. Unseasonably warm with rain and storms will be the norm. Things start to look more interesting in early January as the trough stays to out west but more cold air starts to filer in from Canada. The big picture setup has the look of an ice storm around here buts that’s trying to get way to detailed this far out We're waaaaay overdue for a significant to major ice storm...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 18, 2019 15:20:52 GMT -6
Things look to get active as we head into the new year looking at the ensembles. A warm SW flow will dominant through the end of the year with a trough centered on the west coast. Unseasonably warm with rain and storms will be the norm. Things start to look more interesting in early January as the trough stays to out west but more cold air starts to filer in from Canada. The big picture setup has the look of an ice storm around here buts that’s trying to get way to detailed this far out We're waaaaay overdue for a significant to major ice storm... Yep I was just thinking that during the last storm. I think the southern counties got lucky because surface temps were just warm enough to keep accretion rather limited.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 18, 2019 15:35:39 GMT -6
We're waaaaay overdue for a significant to major ice storm... Yep I was just thinking that during the last storm. I think the southern counties got lucky because surface temps were just warm enough to keep accretion rather limited. We've been saying this for several years now. Have had a couple close calls where another 2 degrees would have made a major difference. Overdue indeed.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 18, 2019 16:54:19 GMT -6
The effect of the near minimum sun angle is very noticeable. Even though it’s been in the low/mid 30’s with near full sun for 2 days, there has been minimal melting at work with the 5 inch snow pack. Heck, there’s a good bit of ice accretion on the trees still in Perryville.
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 18, 2019 17:18:24 GMT -6
I hope my thermometer is wrong but i dropped.from 30 to 15 in 19 minutes
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Post by mosue56 on Dec 18, 2019 17:48:44 GMT -6
I thought it used to be getting dark at 4:30 but now it’s 5 And the solstice hasn’t occurred yet! I must be weird!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 18, 2019 17:53:39 GMT -6
I hope my thermometer is wrong but i dropped.from 30 to 15 in 19 minutes Very good radiational cooling setup this evening...down to 18* in Brighton.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 18, 2019 18:26:24 GMT -6
I hope my thermometer is wrong but i dropped.from 30 to 15 in 19 minutes Very good radiational cooling setup this evening...down to 18* in Brighton. At 5 pm Glenn commented that the temp dropped 8 or 10 degrees as soon as the sun went down
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Post by Tilawn on Dec 18, 2019 19:47:47 GMT -6
I thought it used to be getting dark at 4:30 but now it’s 5 And the solstice hasn’t occurred yet! I must be weird! It has never gotten dark at 4:30.....unless it is extremely cloudy.
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Post by amstilost on Dec 18, 2019 20:19:25 GMT -6
Temp 24* 7 miles west of de soto. there is still substantial snow cover on the ground. There is still snow on the sides of cedars on Hwy H and lining my driveway.
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Post by birddog on Dec 18, 2019 21:00:44 GMT -6
I noticed the temp at sunset was 21, less than an hour later it was 14! It has since came back up to 18.8 now with a light wind out of the east.
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Post by amstilost on Dec 18, 2019 21:08:04 GMT -6
Maybe my temp gauge is wrong...I am still at 24* 7 miles west of de soto. Bororug or anyone else close to help with calibration. It is an old unit. So am I, but I am not ready for replacement just yet.
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Post by bororug on Dec 18, 2019 21:16:13 GMT -6
Maybe my temp gauge is wrong...I am still at 24* 7 miles west of de soto. Bororug or anyone else close to help with calibration. It is an old unit. So am I, but I am not ready for replacement just yet. Sitting at 25 right now. We’re only about 10ish miles apart so I think your good to go.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 18, 2019 21:19:32 GMT -6
24* looks right for DeSoto
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Post by amstilost on Dec 18, 2019 21:22:08 GMT -6
That is good to hear thanks.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 18, 2019 22:48:12 GMT -6
Judah cohen tweeting about the gfs showing a very strong polar vortex into early January. If thats the case cross January off your calendars now for any real cold ..or even snow. Likely warm warm warm
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 19, 2019 1:14:25 GMT -6
Lol
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 19, 2019 6:38:26 GMT -6
Judah cohen tweeting about the gfs showing a very strong polar vortex into early January. If thats the case cross January off your calendars now for any real cold ..or even snow. Likely warm warm warm Right, but he also says the GFS-FV3 is on an island and gives it maybe a 30% chance of verifying. The other models and ensembles disagree.
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